Chris Mooney’s new tract is one of the most important books of this year. Here is a CrookedTimber review. If you can’t figure out the book’s contents from the title, here is Chris’s blog.
My take: I agree with most of the arguments but would have called it The Political War on Science. Democrat politicians are excessively enamored of government regulation, for instance, and many of them do not pay enough attention to incentives. (Admittedly these issues are not as clear cut as the theory of evolution; Mooney in fact suggests a scientific approach will lead to more regulation.) The left often treats human beings as excessively malleable. Both Carter and Clinton committed some gross errors out of self-deception; they violated the simple principle of dominance rather than any complicated scientific hypothesis. (What exactly should count as an error of science?) In fairness to Mooney he does point out many Democrat or left-wing transgressions although not all of these.
Has the increase in Republican hostility to science sprung from an especially bad and craven administration on this issue? Or has there also been a more fundamental shift in the political equilibrium, due to the greater mobilization of interest groups? Perhaps voters will be judging science on a more frequent basis from now on, and asking their politicians to take the side of untruth. Advances in biology will spur this tendency. Why do Democrat errors more frequently get framed as failures of will or morality, rather than ignorance, vice versa for current Republican errors? How much of the difference is real and how much is framing? For how long will media take the side of the Democrats on scientific issues? Here is today’s New York Times piece on related issues.
Elsewhere on the book front, John Coetzee’s Slow Man is due out September 22, pre-order it here. The FT reviewer was not crazy about it but I hold greater trust in the author.
No, it’s the Republican war on science. The fact that the HHS doesn’ t know things like the below is part of why we call it a Republican war against Science. Both parties are grossly irrational, and both deny what is well known about human nature, but for most people, beliefs about human nature count as political beliefs, not as scientific ones. Social science, even economics is not generally considered “science” in common parlance, and while this is substantially due to ignorance of the amount of consensus within economics, it is also because socila sciences genuinely do not make the kinds of precise predictions that natural sciences make.
Both parties uphold PC delusions. Both parties act irrationally, but only one party actually attacks the beliefs that fit everyone’s definition of science.
It’s also worth mentioning that while the Republicans may verbally advocate “free market principles”, to them, such “principles” are merely a justification for uneven wealth distribution and pork, not scientific beliefs.
Anyone who thinks that “science” is always accurate, value-free, and neutral need only look at how the imprimature of science has been used to claim that George Bush caused the flooding of New Orleans by his failure to push for the ratification of the Kyoto treaty.
And everyone should re-read Alex Tabarrok’s recent posting on why most scientific findings are false ( http://www.marginalrevolution.com/marginalrevolution/2005/09/why_most_publis.html ) Especially findings which justify someone’s political hobby horse.
As for the question of whether blind, random forces of genetic mutation and natural selection are entirely responsible for the all too obvious fact of evolution, there are certainly many serious questions about that.
–
Rationalists take the view that if it can’t be measured, it doesn’t count; that if it can’t be rationally articulated, it doesn’t count; that if it can’t be reduced to a materialistic or naturalistic explanation, it doesn’t count.
–
This is a very common misconception about (critical) rationalism in general, although I admit there may be people out there with such an attitude. However, this attitude is logically untenable, because the statement in italics cannot be measured or explained rationally or materialistically. Scientists do not accept hypotheses of the form “because it just is that way” for the simple reason that no useful conclusions may be drawn from such an “explanation”. A critical rationalist will always respect the beliefs of people who, in their turn, respect the beliefs of others; those who fear others’ beliefs often construe them as attacks even if no attack has taken place.
This, of course, is not to say that there is nothing to fear from any belief. Indeed, “rational fundamentalism” is probably even worse than any other. All people make mistakes; rationalism cannot be rationally justified. Moral dimension does exist independently of the rational dimension, but rational discussion of moral precepts is possible and even desirable, even if the results are mixed.
Regarding “blind, random forces”: put a burning cigarette on the edge of a table and look at the beautiful swirls of smoke. These delicate tendrils are produced by blind, random forces of molecular interaction — essentially the same as collisions between solid balls.
“Why do Democrat errors more frequently get framed as failures of will or morality, rather than ignorance, vice versa for current Republican errors?”
It’s even more than that i think. Republican errors are mostly not considered errors, but crimes. When it are just errors, they only can be malign. Left-wing people are considered and consider themselves to occupy the moral high ground. If if they fail they are just that… failures, never criminals. Ché Guevara and Fidel Castro make mistakes (dixit Noam Chomksy), it’s only Bush and Pinochet who are the criminals (they are of course, but so is Fidel).
Assuming t=0 and big bang is *not* correct. It’s as much a mythology as Archbishop Ussher’s calculations, only more sophisticated. The big bang theories are jury-rigged anew every time it is contradicted by observational data, just as Ptolemy’s solar system. There are some alternatives (look them up in Wikipedia), but they are ignored by most cosmologists. These alternatives don’t have a significant following; it’s both a cause and an effect of their being ignored.
The requirement to “predict from t=0 to 2005″ is another misunderstanding. It cannot be done in the sense of the Laplace demon; instability sets in at once and the system’s state depends on more and more subtle details of the initial state. Very soon it becomes impossible to predict anything. That’s what the butterfly effect is about, and it manifests itself even in very simple systems, e.g. 2 pendulums connected with a spring.
Regarding evolution and a’ that, read Prigogine. He explains these things very nicely, much better than I can. “Random ooze accident” is so crude and obsolete an idea that it’s not even worth discussing; unfortunately most people believe that it’s the very edge of scientific thought, when in reality it’s only a straw man.
There is an anecdote about a young soldier seeing an Oxford Don during World War I. The soldier says to the Don: “What are you doing to save civilization from the Hun?”
The Don thinks for a moment and replies: “I am civilization.”
What we have here is not a war on science. Science is a method. It is a war between the Blue State Elite (BSE) and the Red State Rebellion. The BSE includes the faculties of the major research universities.
The Administration is an outgrowth of the RSR. The RSR fears and loathes the BSE, largely because they perceive that the BSE has condescended to them for years.
The BSE understands the fear and loathing and replies with more condescension and fear. Issues like evolutionary theory become emotional touchstones for both sides. Screed and counter-screed are written. This is another. Its not important. Its no more important than last years outpouring (like the trifle about assassinating the president) of screeds was.
Wake me up when somebody has something important or interesting to say.
In my view, and a lot of other scientists’ view, it’s not an accident in the sense of the general direction, and arguably not even in large-scale details. But this view does not preclude naturalistic explanation. I wonder what is the “random ooze” worldview and who’s actually holding it.
I am forced to agree with those who point out that science is not the only way to look at the universe. Why restrict ourselves to rationalism and knowledge when ignorance and superstition are equally valid?
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