If all this happens, or even half of it, I won’t count as an economist any more. Thanks to kottke.org for the pointer.
The future of science
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“There will be more change in the next 50 years of science than in the last 400 years.”
Hyperbole, surely. I doubt that even the next 100 years will match the 19th century for scientific advances. Still, it’s an intriguing notion, the idea that chemistry in 2056 will make our chemistry look like alchemy, the idea that astrophysics in 2056 will make our astrophysics look like Ptolemy.
And how will our current smarty-pants, know-it-all scientists look? Like John Dee, probably.
Oh, come on.
Keven Kelly are speaking about speculations. Not more and not less. And please, do not confound quality with quantity.
The essential questions will remain the same. There is nothing really new on earth. Different perspectives. Yes.
“There will be more change in the next 50 years of science than in the last 400 years.”
Funny, I thought that was the obvious part of what he said. And the rest was speculation. As to many scientists preaching on Global Warming…maybe many are, but not many of those preachers are scientists whose field is how to prioritze concerns. Those folks are called economists.
“And how will our current smarty-pants, know-it-all scientists look? Like John Dee, probably.”
That’s an awfully bold statement to make based on speculations by a non-scientist (actually, completely
non-degreed) with a background primarily in photojournalism and “cyberculture”.
And let’s not forget the possibility that the Boomers will live to be 100 and, having abolished mandatory retirement as soon as doing so acrued to their advantage, will hold on to senior scientific positions into their dotages, thereby immobilizing the nation’s scientific culture for the next few decades.
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