1. More Easter Eggs. I liked "WTF".
2. John Tierney on Geoffrey Miller.
4. Kobe vs. LeBron.
5. Ranking global financial centers: which have fallen?
by Tyler Cowen on May 20, 2009 at 12:58 pm in Web/Tech | Permalink
1. More Easter Eggs. I liked "WTF".
2. John Tierney on Geoffrey Miller.
4. Kobe vs. LeBron.
5. Ranking global financial centers: which have fallen?
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I’m surprised that Boston is so (relatively) high on the list of financial centers.
megan mcardle: “It will raise the prices of cars, and make them less safe”
It should also raise the prices of used vehicles of the size Americans prefer. It should increase the value of companies which manufacture and sell replacement parts.
The one good thing about W|A is that hopefully the general public will learn to no longer take Wolfram seriously. His claim to fame, Mathematica, was never anywhere near as powerful as its main competitor, Maple. Nonetheless, many people found the GUI to be easy to use and visually appealing.
Leveraging Mathematica’s popularity, Wolfram set about, through his book and a series of lectures, to convince the stat learning and NLP communities that cellular automata was the next big thing. Very few researchers took him seriously largely because the CA approach to training is to sit around and pray for these cells to magically orient themselves to give the correct classification. That Wolfram Alpha, which was built around CA ideas, works so poorly comes as no surprise.
I’m guessing, then, that McArdle would prefer higher gasoline taxes to higher fuel economy standards?
“Over the last decade or so Boston has had all of its home grown multinational banks taken over, so it no longer has a world class bank headquartered there.”
State Street Bank is headquartered in Boston.
Try going to Wolfram Alpha and typing in “2009 global human population.”
WolframAlpha.com = Epic Fail.
I agree that CAFE standards are an inefficient way to reduce fuel usage, because of McArdle’s (and many other people’s) point that higher mileage will encourage more driving by lowering the marginal cost of driving. BUT: McArdle (and others) also makes the point that the new standards will raise the cost of cars, so to be intellectually honest, one has to factor in the increased fixed purchase cost and thus depreciation cost of a car into the future cost per mile of driving. For example, the cost per mile of my minivan’s depreciation is already much higher than my gas use, perhaps 2x. If the price of replacement minivan’s rises 10% to meet the new standards, then I would have to save roughly 20% on gas costs just to break even on per mile driving expense. So, the increased driving effect is surely overstated. Gas taxes would do the trick more efficiently, but critics can’t have it both ways.
liberalarts,
I’m also skeptical about the increased driving effect, but for another reason. Given the high value most folks assign to their time, I doubt many are currently foregoing any car trips – or combining trips – to save gasoline expenses. For most people, the demand curve for driving is fairly steep – a reduction in the price of driving will induce only a tiny amount of additional driving.
Middle income and upper income folks will likely hold on to the pre-2016 larger cars they own. Well-maintained vehicles can provide service for decades. Also, I would not be surprised to see demand for pickups and SUV’s surge in the last few years before the new standards are implemented.
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