The public choice approach to monetary policy

It remains neglected, even today.  Yet Martin Fackler is on the case when it comes to Japan (or try this link):

By speeding the flood of less expensive imported products into Japan, the strong yen is contributing to a broader drop in the prices of goods and services, known as deflation, that has helped retirees stretch their pensions and savings. The resulting inaction on the yen, according to a growing number of economists and politicians, reflects a new political reality, with already indecisive leaders loath to upset retirees from the postwar baby boom who make up nearly a third of the population and tend to vote in high numbers.

‘‘Japan’s tolerance of the strong yen and deflation is rooted in a clash of generations,’’ said Yutaka Harada, a professor of political science and economics at Waseda University in Tokyo. ‘‘And for now, the seniors are winning.’’

The problem, many economists warn, is that the victory comes at a high price, mortgaging the future by hastening the hollowing out of the economy as companies move abroad, and contributing to the deflation that has already exacerbated a nearly two-decade decline in Japan. It may also, ultimately, be self-defeating, threatening the very industries that created the huge trade surpluses sustaining Japan’s still comfortable living standards.

How many major political battles do the elderly actually lose?  I get a little worried about the conflation between nominal and real, and the blurring of short- vs. long-run time horizons, but still this is a point worth making:

‘‘The strong yen robs from youth, but there is not much awareness here yet of generational inequalities,’’ said another lawmaker, Keiichiro Asao, with the opposition Your Party.

Comments

Comments for this post are closed