Tuesday assorted links


#2b: People lost jobs because steel bust is not equal to people lost jobs to automation. Perhaps some steel mill, similar to the one in Youngstown, is still producing with the same technology level from the 70s but somewhere else in the world. When there's a lot of people around the world that charges less for the same work, those evil robots may help to keep costs down and avoid outsourcing.

Unionized steel production in particular suffered from greater foreign competition (from other rich countries first, then much later China), and from the shift towards mini-mills and steel recycling.

The opening short movie for the most recent Pixar film was "What if volcanic islands had feelings?" A few movies ago, it was, "What if umbrellas had feelings?"

2. I often make the self-deprecating comment that, unlike plumbers, electricians, air conditioner repairmen, and auto mechanics, I have no useful skill. It's also to make the larger point that people with "useful" skills will always have work; indeed, in my community, more work than they can handle. I have encouraged by Godson to learn a trade, like his friend who has learned air conditioning installation and repair from his father. I've emphasized that he may not wish to make a career out of the skill, but with the skill he can always work, and work most anywhere he may choose to live. Of course, what these words of wisdom imply is that the path followed by most ambitious young adults for the past 50 years may not be the path that will be followed by tomorrow's young adults. Goodbye, Columbus!

It wouldn't surprise me to find that Pepper has some Indian in Mumbai paid to run him.

#3 No great stagnation in marketing -- after all, this is Prof. Cowen's very own prediction..

Sorry, I mean #4

#3 - Sorry, Dourado and Castillo are way off base with that one. They need a better mole.

#3 > "... increasing rates of federal information security failures.... these systemic cybersecurity weaknesses demonstrate the federal government to be an especially poor candidate for managing national systems... it will explain the shortcomings of a top-down, technocratic approach."

...but, but, but ObamaCare is astoundingly successful with this same government bureaucratic control model, as are all other government operations. There can not possibly be any fundamental problem with the government-model approach to running things? Must be that the government is critically underfunded.

#3 You could substitute "busness sector" for "government" in that paper and not need (many) substantive changes. Is that indicative of a problem with 1) government, 2) businesses, or 3) the paper? (keeping in mind the disjucts are not exclusive)

They recommend the following:

"To truly improve cybersecurity preparedness, unsuccessful top-down technocratic measures should be replaced by self-organizing collaborative security approaches that emphasize flexibility, evolution, consensus, participation, and incrementalism."

I have absolutely no idea what that means. Instead of issuing policy to its agencies, the government should just say, "Self-organize yourselves to improve your cyber security!" This is nonsense.

Pixar 2015: what if feelings had feelings?

Awesome. The photo says alot as well. Blonde. Not suprising but forward/inward looking at the same time. I love that combo. Just taught two Japs how to dive it was baller out here in Afrika.

There is no great stagnation.

I don't think I much care for the "see-through truck." It's difficult enough to judge distances and speeds of approaching vehicles as it is (especially at night), and it'll probably be more difficult to do so on the basis of the image on that flat screen. Thus, either it'll have little effect (other than the glare may annoy following drivers at night) or it'll make drivers over-confident, resulting in more carnage.

Presumably an algorithm could provide go/no-go advice on that screen (as it could better estimate speed and distance of the nearest approaching vehicle) but then there'd be liability issues.

2b. It's nearly impossible to predict what the Jobs of the Future will be, but if I had to guess, it will have something to do with the twin forces of aging and increasing complexity in our economy. The larger and more complex a system gets, the more supervision and management you need just to manage the complexity in addition to fulfilling its basic functions - and the economy of the future is going to require a lot of monitoring and maintenance because the consequences of major failures will be so disastrous in economic terms. Picture human beings atop ever large hierarchies of automation and specialized machinery, in the way that someone using a computer is a person atop a whole ton of specialized electronic functions like word processing, various programs, e-mail, etc. And of course, it won't be early 21st century humans - they'll be then present day humans with access to all kinds of electronic and mechanical "aids".

As for the aging, well - aging population, shrinking work-force. You do the math on wages.

3. Speaking of needing ever more effort in order to manage the complexity, we sure could have used much better monitoring and cyber-security around OPM.

2b. I kept thinking of Morgan Warstler. GI/CYB!

Having something to do is as important as eating, sleeping, and sex.

Depression, spousal abuse, and suicide all became much more prevalent; the caseload of the area’s mental-health center tripled within a decade. The city built four prisons in the mid-1990s—a rare growth industry. One of the few downtown construction projects of that period was a museum dedicated to the defunct steel industry

Is that mostly because people start drinking for breakfast?

The article seems like and argument to replace the minimum wage with BIG. It is saying that work has non-monetary benefits and if that is true a very small effect on employment of a minimum wage is a good enough reason to lower and not raise the minimum wage. On the other hand if people are choosing drinking over work who are we to but in.

I would like see a response to the article from those who advocate a much higher minimum wage.

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