Wednesday assorted links

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1b) I have a copy of John Stoddard's 1893 photo book. The 1893 Porto photo shows the only city view that looks essentially the same today. A copy of the plate is here, though a bit hard to see:

http://www.ebay.co.uk/itm/1893-VICTORIAN-PRINT-OPORTO-PORTUGAL-PLUS-DESCRIPTIVE-TEXT-/141618592515

Building, after building, is still there.

Re: #2

Not to worry. The bioethicists of the West will condemn these factories and will ensure no such abomination occurs here. Thank gosh we have them.

It always seems like it works out. Country A does research that country B bans. Country B does research that country A bans. There is some marginal reduction in GDP when a country bans a rewarding field, but I think they'll backtrack on anything major.

It only works out when all of the countries competing have the bioethicist albatross hung around their necks.

Seriously, when have these vampires ever added any value?

Nothing Hank Aaron says is really inconsistent with the death spiral -- he's just saying there isn't conclusive proof of the death spiral yet.

5a) Is there a free-to-access preprint available somewhere?

I think the deep voice thing has always been part of the Republican love affair with Bibi Netanyahu.

A deep voice hasn't hurt Barack Obama's career among Democrats.

That is prima facie obvious....not sure what your point is though

Also I agree with Zach Lowe four on the perimeter is here to stay. But the five small lineup isn't going to work if you don't have unique talents like Curry and Draymond Green.

Really excited to see the Warriors against the new look Spurs.

"Being smart does not..make you rich"
That is not what it says. In a sample of smart people smartness doesn't explain much of the variance after multiple controls. Being smart is a necessary condition but being very smart doesn't necessarily make you richer again.

If you are really smart you can get a much better job that entrepreneur, like college professor or scientist, way more fun than taking calls all day about what is going wrong in the business.

5 (b). "What Laustsen and Petersen do is both exciting and important."

Au contraire. It is both boring and trivial, but that is what social scientists who have an unhealthy envy of the natural sciences gravitate towards studying.

E. Harding, What does overrepresented by a factor of 234 actually mean? (From a base of 2% of the population.) And I love the "about".

I assume they mean a factor of about 23.4. Since Jews make up about 2% of the population it suggests about 46.8% of ultra-rich people are Jewish. That sounds about right. Based on the Forbes list, Jews appear to be more than a third but fewer than half of American billionaires.

A nice juxtapositions for 1.1: http://www.nytimes.com/2015/11/25/world/asia/a-storied-bookstore-and-its-late-oracle-leave-imprint-on-islamabad.html?_r=0.

1c: Mozgov was at about 75% in the finals, Shumpert was at 50%, the Cavs were missing their #2 (best guard) and #3 players and their point guard was a third stringer. Warriors should have swept easily. So, perhaps the Warriors ascent into heaven should be delayed a bit.

#1. I hate the 3 point shot but IMO you need 5 guys who can shoot it well. The USA was way behind in this and that is why the USA has lost games in international competition. Put a 7 foot tall guy on Draymond Green and he will either score 3 points or if the 7 footer chase him out at the 3 point line cut or drive to the basket and get a dunk.At Atlanta Teague is not a great player but with the middle wide open he can play like he is in a game of 1 on 1 and the scoring percentages are much higher in 1 on 1 than in 5 on 5, that is until now.

Their seems to be no chance of ending the 3 point shot so you have to go with it, go small.

One more point, I think that to combat the 3 point shot teams should return to straight up non switching one on one defense. Just everybody guard your man. Fight trough or get in front of all picks. This will work especially well against the generally slow European style players who cannot drive very well.

If, after all these years, one still has to "argue" that Obamacare is "still" doing "OK," you can be utterly assured that Barry's signature legislation is a failure.

3. The invasion of more pseudo-science into the legal system. Just like DNA analysis, breathalyzers, gun powder residue, dope and explosive dogs and even finger printing, forensic pollen studies are esoteric enough that no jury has the technical expertise to evaluate them. The hired expert snows the rubes with molecular mumbo-jumbo and a grateful state's attorney keeps his number on file for the next opportunity. This scientism means anybody can be convicted of anything.

"This scientism means anybody can be convicted of anything."
Anybody CAN be convicted of anything, as the fates of innocent people convicted well before this "scientism" were a thing --and sometimes exonerated afterwards by these very techniques-- shows.

You mean the jury can't tell truth from falsehood. Well, it is an argument for abolishing juries--I admit I have much more faith in the common man than you have--, not for abolishing science. And evidently the same can be said about voters. Can they understand economics, law, encvironmental issues well enough to make good choices?

Palynology is not a pseudoscience, but you are right that it is ripe for abuse, if you have incredibly incompetent , it is a lot more reliable than fingerprintsdefense attorneys.

As somebody who has actually been trained in it, a defense attorney just needs to find a palynologist to look at the same samples. The guy who taught me is internationally known and drives an early nineties oldsmobile with cracked seats and an dysfunctional heater, the guy who teaches it where I am, is paying alimony to four women, a gambling problem, and two daughters in college which he manages by taking on small jobs for independent drillers. You could get an unknown sample analyzed for a pretty low price and if you are just trying to indict a sample I bet it would cost less than $700 a sample though you would need to pay them more to testify.

It may be too expensive for the feds to employ another person full time, but it is not exactly an obscure subject, oil companies employ lots them and we make more of them every year. Just look up your local land grant school and you will find a few of them.

Economists belong to the same group as Sociologists

Well, at GMU at least, the same College of Humanities and Social Sciences at least.

At least I should proofread with a bit more precision, at least.

In case you haven't noticed, Tyler and Alex don't publish in economic journals. Neither does Paul Krugman, Brad Delong, Arnold Kling, Noah Smith, etc.

These are econ bloggers, mate.

Of your list, one of those people does not, precisely, belong. Unless you are attempting to argue that a winner of the Sveriges Riksbank Prize in Economic Sciences in Memory of Alfred Nobel didn't publish in economic journals, at least in the past.

And let us be honest - winning that prize means coasting afterwards. Look at Buchanan, for example, particularly in contrast to the non-winner Tullock. There is a certain truth in the idea that winning the top prize in a field leads to a sharp drop off in that person's work in that field.

Growing old leads to a sharp drop off in productivity in terms of academic publishing for economists. The majority of papers in top journals seem written by people in their 30s and 40s. Economists tend to start "coasting" -- meaning doing things aside from trying to publish papers in academic journals -- between age 45 and 50. The Nobel Prize in economics is typically treated as a lifetime achievement award and an award to someone who had a lasting impact on the field. That means it is for work that was published at least 15 years ago that has clearly changed the way other economists think about a certain subject.

Of course Krugman published a lot when young. I meant that they, among several other economists, are fundamentally bloggers. I've learned a lot through them.

Book Hotel? Clearly a pale imitation of Gladstone's (residential) Library https://www.gladstoneslibrary.org/

Oh good, my chance to be pedantic. "That is book used as a noun, not a verb." Isn't book an adjective? It's describing the type of hotel.

#2c: simply amazing! This adds info the nature Vs nurture issue.

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