Friday assorted links


Why yes, a disagreement about tax policy and urban planning must mean we're only weeks away from subhuman mobs of Carol Gardens residents descending on Brooklyn Heights with machetes.

To paraphrase Tyler:. Leave Brittney alone!

I still think Giri should publish My 60 Memorable Draws.

#4 - you will note Ding Liren has a higher draw rate than the supposed draw master Giri, albeit at half the sample size so more standard error.

#3. From what I've heard, those pictures with written signs do not reflect the views of people living in NYC.

Everything I have read thus far indicates exactly that. Most people were for this, even those opposed to the $3 billion incentive package (which was performance based btw).

What the new NY 'commissariats' and 'political officers' have just blasted out is that NY is so screwed up, such a morass of regulation, and so political disjointed the largest marketplace corp. in the world couldn't make it work taking their 25,000 jobs with them.

So how about it world? Want to come to NY? You feelin' lucky? Well do ya, punks?

#3 - Descent into barbarism? Barbarism would be a societal advance. Those signs represent insults both to barbarism and to everybody's intelligence.

This is why democracies self-destruct. Agenda-driven dummies literally don't know anything, and they vote.

I find it odd that the liberal arts post compares Elite liberal arts colleges to Heavy Stem schools without segregating the elite STEM schools. We all know that going to an elite school it is not as important what your degree is in and that many classics or history majors at HYP or Amherst/Swarthmore end up in Law or Business anyway with little prejudice to their chances for success. That the authors don't deal with this suggests they weren't trying hard to be balanced and were dealing in advocacy.

Private colleges with a certain amount of cachet enroll about 3% of the students attending baccalaureate-granting institutions. Private research universities enroll another 8 or 9%. They're expensive, so you need to compare the supposed benefits with the additional costs. I doubt the quondam President of Vassar College is keen to do that. They're also not keen to explore what benefits students actually receive from the additional time necessary to complete distribution requirements.

The medical care study never answers its headline question, "what is the contribution of medical care to life expectancy versus hygiene, nutrition, environment etc.?" I suspect it would be significant but the article runs off on tangents (spending, ratios).

2: In the editorial room at CNBC: "Hey guys, I got something we can still tie Russiagate too and explain away the shi*tty reponse and security from a Experian": RUSSIA OR CHINA may have possibly stolen your all your private data and hurt our spies.

Wow, foreign governments may possibly hack another foreign government or industry! I'm glad the US does not engage in such behavior!

Just ask Angela Merkel's cell phone?

Thank you for your service TC: Russia is already influencing the 2020 election by telling Hillary not to campaign in the Midwest again and be a neocon.

You spelled PMSNBC wrong.

Yes. Russians are highly-successfully influencing the 2020 re-election for Donald J. Trump. Their minions/nut jobs (such as AOC and this Muslim female) are constantly providing free, in-kind campaign contributions worth billions $$$ to the Trump2020 Campaign.

Ha! PMSNBC, adding the 'P' makes it like that network full of stupid liberals (redundant) is having PMS! Oh man that's funny.


#3: I don't think so, Tyler. The stupidity was always there. It was just waiting for someone like the Buzzfeed crew to give it a platform and a false sense of respectability.

#3 I am officially amending NYC's un-official motto:

"New York City...Well if you can't make it there you can make it anywhere else!"

Well, that's exactly what the original song is singing if people bother to think about the words. If you can _even_ get by here...

#3 So that is it. Dissent must be crushed lest malefactors of a great wealth end up with wounded feelings. Americans must not be free anymore to express their opinions and defend their communities. All hail the Almighty Dollar.

Oh, sure, dissent is allowed. But calling the dissenters idiots is also allowed.

Maybe a man's idiot is another man's freedom fighter.

Sometimes a freedom fighter is just a cigar.

Yes, but sometimes a freedom fighter is someone who fights for freedom.

I’m guessing none of those immatiated hipsters in the buzzfeed photos are the face of authentic high ethics freedom fighting.....

They are something more akin to smug, short sighted center left millennial-ish new wave American socialists fully repleat with cute artsy tattoos, treviso salads, Twitter in groups, the most self righteous and self centered conception of “justice” ever contrived of, and an absolute inability and unwillingness to debate. For them, anything that doesn’t agree with them is tantamount to the political Love child of Adolfo Hitler, a 17th century Barbadian slave lord, and Jay Gould.

Did I miss anything?

"Did I miss anything?" - yeah, your meds

Bravura display of cliche mongering. Realize that you are as big a cliche as they are for posting that.

#3: This will likely be the crudest comment on the topic, but thought the activists and protesters here were claimed in the comments yesterday to all be supposed to be "Stuff White People Like style" urban upper middle class established White New Yorkers? Doesn't *look* like it...

They look like a cohort of SJW.

As if the white reporter would commit the solecism of failing to carefully select voices from the official list of marginalized identity groups for representation.

Yeah you saw comments from the strange anti-white faction of the right that sees middle class whites who live on the coasts as the enemy to be mocked endlessly. These people are strangely disproportionately white.

Members of the white community need to speak out on this white on white violence. It is destroying our schools, our homes, our neighborhoods, and our communities.

#5 Re; the illegality of blackmail, note that if you do make blackmail illegal, and seriously enforce this, you remove a lot of the incentive for anyone to restrain and withhold "kompromat" from general circulation.

Enquirer offered for Bezos to not have his dick pics flashed in public as an alternative to him using his power and resources to comb through their organisation.

Assume "blackmail is illegal" is enforced seriously, and Enquirer have no incentive to restrain the material - if they offer it to Bezos as an alternative to his pursuing whatever it is against them, they'll just be charged. So makes more sense for them to release it, and take a "Come what may" attitude to Bezos throwing his resources at them.

You don't change the equilibrium so much to "Let's not look into his life" but towards "Fuck it. Our source has given us this. Let's just throw this out there and see what happens, as there's no deal we can work here. Why not damage him?". You're not going to be thinking about how to use it as a bargaining chip, but how to use it in the most damaging and embarrassing way for him.

I think you already have the "Fuck it. Our source has given us this. Let's just throw this out there and see what happens, as there's no deal we can work here. Why not damage him?" equilibrium when it comes to tabloids and famous people (mainly because that is the business model). I think the main concern is what happens to the common folk if blackmail is legal. In that case, you have greater incentives to dig into people's personal lives. That would certainly a change for the worse.

True. Depends on how it hashes out between the guys who do it for the lulz then not having a reason to restrain their behaviour due to the opportunity greed (if they could credibly be believed to withhold, which is doubtful anyway), vs greater incentives to obtain compromising information systematically.

7. Self-driving cars limited to 25 mph? Who knew? Well, anybody reading comments at this blog. Or anybody who reads the NYT and the quote from the Google engineer who said early on that driverless cars would be limited to about 25 mph if they shared the road with non-autonomous cars. Who didn't know? One who believes in magic. A driverless car exceeding 25 mph cannot safely share the road with non-autonomous cars driven by, my God, teenagers, and distracted soccer moms, and impatient bankers in their Maseratis moving at 100 mph. [An aside, Google and Apple gave up building a car soon after undertaking the project, realizing that building a reliable mechanical device is much harder than building software for advertising; indeed, Google redeployed scarce resources to turning the driverless car into a billboard.]

#7...At these speeds, they could save a lot of money by using golf carts.

The Trumpian boom ... when even Arts Majors can do very very well.

A serious liberal arts education is an excellent education.

Indeed. An excellent one and indeed perhaps even an average one can yield not only a career that puts bread in the table but it can also provide a lifetime of thinking pleasure and aesthetic consumption pleasure.

Some of my best friends are Pilates instructors.

Serious liberal arts majors are cognitively fairly elite and go to schools where they can network like mad and some small percentage of them get gigs in the academy. Much return beyond that? I doubt it.

I actually doubt there's any return to virtually anything other than STEM and professional qualifications for the masses of higher ed grad. For the elites of higher ed achievement, again outside of STEM professional qualifications, the amount of actual jobs leveraging their specific qualification beyond what they'd get out of a simple cognitive test sift is probably very small.

Higher ed as mostly professional pathways and a comparatively little broad general arts education (e.g. higher ed as practiced by motivated minority immigrants) would probably work much better than what the Anglo nations have today, in terms of doing more than noisy and expensive signalling.

where they can network like mad

That's a caricature.

About the first time I heard the word 'Network' used as a verb by a college student was 30-odd years ago. Noodling around Linkedin, I see he had a satisfactory corporate career up to a few years ago and now has a small consulting firm providing on contract what he used to supply for his company. All the work he lists on Linkedin had to do with PR and marketing and lobbying. Very pleasant guy back in the day. I gather he's been networking his whole life.

I guess you know more ultra elite liberal arts types than I do to be able to disconfirm.

("Networking" not being as useful outside this elite circle er, well... that doesn't really oppose anything much I proposed).

3. Typical NYC-crude nincompoops (the type that shows up to Occupy Wall Street or votes for AOC).

#3. I thought it was mostly just a Trump thing, but I see where he gets it. Too many New Yorkers are low-grade and not very bright.

It's worse than that. Too many PEOPLE are low-grade and not very bright. They hold up dumb signs all over the country. Remember 'keep your government hands off my Medicare'? NYC has a rep for coastal sophistication but in a city of 8+ million, they are still mostly idiots like everywhere else.

#7 - Or maybe a completely different strategy will be successful...

#5..."There is, in general, no "right to information"; otherwise, someone who acquired knowledge of an affair, for example, would be under a duty to disclose it"

Maybe I missed it, but the issue involves how the information was acquired, which is most often by illegal means. Finding out something embarrassing to someone out of context is a strange discussion to me. How is it that only one person acquired this knowledge?

#5 Just curious ... Would it change anything if the blackmailer asks blackmailees to pay in sex?

1.using life expectancy seems like a crude yardstick. I would guess that correlates to a few procedures, meds, etc. The rest of the spending is extraneous. Healthfullness (as measurable) seems a better metric.

3. So this is supposedly a libertarian blog, right? If a group if locals cant organize to exert control over the community where there investment is located, then tell me please whats the damn point of all this jibberjabber about?

+1 it's a libertarian blog that showcases jibberjabber in the form of polemics AND where centrism is dismissed as complacency

We like democracy except when it gets in the way of the aristocracy

-- The New Libertarianism

7. Should Waymo be trying to put an actual product on the market?

The software depreciates in value as everyone get their own version.

2. Did spies steal the Equifax data?

No, replaced it with the Yahoo theft combined with the DHS theft.
We had too many versions of ourselves and the black market needed to merge databases.

4: This analysis has the core flaw of only starting from 2008 - in 2008 draws were already a critical problem in Chess. The entire dataset is showing draw rates above 50%, poison for any competitive sport. Its just that any large institution will have lag effects in noticing these changes, so discussion only starts years after the effect begins. The real comparison needs to be to draw rates in say the 70's.

Yeah but when is Big Chess gonna acknowledge the concussion crisis?

Seriously, and totally spitballing here, because I am not a chess follower, but I assume the level of play has risen dramatically - with a large number of players having grown up from age two with private coaches etc etc - and so the number of super competitive players has risen dramatically, and there must be only so far you can go in chess before there's a sort of ceiling. So the only choice is to change the rules to make it harder.

Fischer Random.

5. Yes, the blackmail vs extortion distinction is important. Bezos was in fact being extorted. He was not being asked to pay money, he was being asked to issue a statement about the character of an investigation.

In the case of much blackmail in corporate and politics worlds, there is no cash payment, the "payment" is in fact a quid pro quo, usually requiring an elective inaction - a decision to not pursue an investigation, or to not propose a legislation, or to not disclose a secret that the target person is in possession of.

#5...And how the information was obtained doesn't matter?

Of course it does.
Theft of documents, trespassing, peeping, illegal wiretaps, hacking, impersonation, etc These are all already illegal. As is possession of stolen items.

In the Bezos case, it sounds like the BIL may be guilty of some sort of theft.

#6 Having done Arts with majors in Psyc and Philosophy, and now on a reasonable salary I have reflected quite a bit on these points. It seems really hard to disentangle employer signalling issues from the value of the actual skills/knowledge. But this kind of sorts itself out over time. And I feel like there is a sort of 'delayed multiplier' effect with other qualifications. So I completed an MBA a couple yrs post BA, and early in my career the Psyc/Phil background seemed to be a hindrance: Econ/Accounting/Finance grads would get the gig. Now 10yrs in, it's the inverse: the broader background seems to be a positive both in signalling, and in actual skills/value.

1. Duh. Over 200 plus years, back when leaches were the standard for care. Here's a more recent study, which finds consolidation in the health care industry is hazardous to one's health:

Medical care is still dominate by leeches, only now they drain you of money instead of blood. With similar results!

7. Of course, the solution is a separate right of way for autonomous cars. That's what used to be called "transit". But that's a dirty word today, so self-driving cars it is. Who will pay for the separate right of way for self-driving cars? Elon Musk wants to build the separate right of way underground. We used to call that a "subway". This isn't complicated, it's simple. The problem is that simpletons don't understand.

#6 was cherry picking the data?? Look at the overall data from the NY Fed Reserve Bank on student loan debt default by majors or the under-employment rate (graduates working in jobs that do not require ANY university degrees) "Labor Market Outcomes of College Graduates by Major, Last Updated: February 6, 2019"  chart. Was the job mobility the movement from the under-employed jobs to the professional jobs requiring university degrees??

They asserted "more than 60 percent of them (liberal art graduates) are ending up in the top two quintiles of income postgraduation, even if they started out in the bottom three quintiles." Look like many were waiting for that job mobility. However again from the FedReserve data the longer they wait, the higher their their student loan default rates

Do you feel lucky giving those odds??

7: People who predict and write about the future of self-driving cars are now about where people who predict and write about the future of online education and MOOCs were around 2014 or so: finally realizing that the grand pronouncements of upcoming disruption were overoptimistic both in terms of how much disruption would occur and how soon.

Online education is not going to replace bricks and mortar schools. And our streets are not going to be filled with self-driving cars.

The self-driving cars are coming of course, and indeed are already here. But in a much more limited fashion than the Jetson-ish future envisioned by overenthusiastic commenters.

Online education is just getting started. Credentialing is an issue - the old model with degrees as signalling will have to be replaced with or reduced by an emphasis on actual skills and accomplishments.

Just wait ...

The article says the main problem that self-driving cars are facing is not software but the quality of LIDARs. So why are they funding software startups instead of optical engineering labs?

If the speed limit for commercial self driving cars is 25mph then European car companies have a huge advantage over their US competitors as 25mph is enough for most European cities.

#7. Anyone wondering why Google/Alphabet/Waymo isn't commercializing their self-driving horseless carriages needs to look no further than any tech company's portfolio of buggy hardware and software.

Making a product that randomly acts in an unexpected manner seems to have become perfectly acceptable in the app and phone world. Not so much on the roads.

There will never be autonomous vehicles sharing the roads with humans until the software industry gets its act together and start making quality assurance an intrinsic part of their production. Or, until we start accepting the same level of low quality coding in our cars.

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