Tuesday assorted links

1. Did Ecuador do the right thing by legalizing gangs?

2. The big recent dinosaur fossil discovery: “DePalma was a scientific nobody, a Ph.D. candidate at the University of Kansas, and he said that he had found the site with no institutional backing and no collaborators.”

3. The spiritual shell money on Papua New Guinea.

4. “NASA will pay people $19,000 to stay in bed for 2 months.”  Autostarting video at that link, btw.

5. Single women are playing a major role in Hong Kong gentrification.

6. Taiwan Chinese Taipei markets in everything.


#6 Maybe if Americans had not sold out their Formosean friends to Red China, those things would not happen.

The American 7th fleet continues to challenge Chinese imperialism. The Brazilian navy is nowhere to be found. Sadly, Brazilian Greatness is in decline.

No, it is not. President Captain Bolsonaro has vowed to block key Red Chinese investments in Brazil. One must remember that there is a division of tasks. Brazil, which was a screw turn from having nuclear weapons, gave up nuclear weapons and vowed to exterminete Latin American communists (Operação Condor) while the USA vowed to check Chinese-Soviet imperialism in Europe and Asia. That is why America keeps occupation forces in the Empire of Japan and South Korea. It has benefical for everyone.

2. Am I the only person to notice that the article linked by Cowen was published the same week as this article in the NYT: https://www.nytimes.com/interactive/2019/03/30/opinion/sunday/jerusalem-city-of-david-israel-dig.html Is humanity at greater risk from the earth colliding with an asteroid or colliding with religious/cultural differences? I suspect the latter.

President Captain Bolsonaro has officially declared Jerusalem the Zionist Entity's indivisible capital.

These two articles remind me of the Randy Travis song Diggin Up Bones. Some things are better left alone.

he didn't come!

#1 Organizations are 'illegal' based on their revealed mission and activity. The 'illegal' label is earned. As an example, the crips aren't necessarily illegal so much as the things they do are. So sure...fine...'legalize' the crips while continuing to nab each and every single one of their 'members' for illegal activity.

#2 "Disruptor"

#3 Unimpressive. I prefer to use enemy scalps. Anyone can pick up a shell, but it takes real moxie to scrape someone's top-knot. I traded 2 scalps last year for a horse AND a woman. It was better than stealing!

#4 Participants are advised that NASA is not liable for bed-sores.

#6 There are some countries where it might be more effective to map "locations not involved in paid-to-play" activity. China, Taiwan, and India are at the top of that list.

“I traded 2 scalps last year for a horse AND a woman. It was better than stealing!”

You’re a veritable indigenous Adam Smith! Apply at Harvard Law!

You should buy my book, The Wealth of First-Nations available now in buckskin. It talks extensively about macro-forces within the aboriginal economic ecosystem caused by variables related to scalp demand vs. supply. It also includes several useful exercises solving for the equilibrium between immediate and delayed utility of horses and women.

A follow up book on aboriginal insurance is scheduled for release next year involving newly created actuarial tables related to scalping and horse theft insurance. I'm like a native William Morgan!

1. Yes, conceptually quite muddled.

1. It’s all about a progressive, rational policy for social control. There’s this idea known as “deviance amplification” — basically, when you want to stop a behavior, the worst thing you can do is prohibit it. Social inclusion is the most productive means of social control. You have to have a system where most of people’s engagement with the authorities is as positive as possible.

Pretty much as is the case with the banking and finance gangs.

If we legalize corruption, it will decrease!
If we legalize selling cigarettes to teenagers, fewer people will want to sell to them!
If we remove speed limits, very few people will speed!

More positive inclusion!

It makes a lot of sense for both sides. The gangs acquire information that assists them in their ordinary crime activity and allows them to more easily identify and compromise turn-coats in law enforcement. The cops can slip informants into the gangs, keep an eye on their plans, and skim some of the proceeds while tempering the criminal activity to levels that the populace will tolerate. It's basically a merger of two gangs, the criminal and the official.

Pretty much as is the case with the banking and finance gangs.

Tellers who embezzle get fired. Get over it.

As are tellers who blow the whistle on the fraudulent behavior of management:

5. This is a local variation on a deeper underlying factor, namely households reallocating resources from family formation. In the US, childless households likewise provide the initial impetus for "gentrification" (rents going up in poor neighborhoods), although here the gentrifiers are more likely to be gays.

The problem of younger people foregoing reproduction in order to make more money, and then using that money to bid up the cost of the resources used by the non-impulsive for family formation, is obviously destructive, of course. Pricing the underclass out of desirable real estate might literally be the least of the problems with this model.

5. Women have always been different from men but do the differences seem to be getting greater? And those differences seem to favor women in an economy increasingly dominated by services including relatively high paying services such as finance, insurance, real estate, and business services referred to in the linked article about Hong Kong. May it really is the End of Men. No wonder they are so angry.

Yes, what a contrast to the relaxed and easygoing attitudes of the modern feminist woman. If anything has shown a lack of rancour and rage among women relative to men to be the case it is recent cultural changes.

And those differences seem to favor women in an economy increasingly dominated by services including relatively high paying services such as finance, insurance, real estate, and business services referred to in the linked article about Hong Kong. May it really is the End of Men. No wonder they are so angry.

Women account for 47% of employed persons. The median age of employed workers is as we speak 42.2. In 1995, when those workers of median age were completing high school, women accounted for 46% of the working population. Women have constituted a majority of college matriculants since 1979; 82% of the working population is younger than those women matriculating that year. "You Go, girl!" discourse has been a staple of public discussion since about 1971; 95% of the working population is younger than the cohort shuffling out of high school that year.

The share of women in the listed occupational strata is as follows:

Management occupations: 40% (women most common in HR, PR and fundraising, medical practices, social and community service, and education - in that order. Women least common in construction, architecture and engineering, transportation and storage, production, IT, and in the chief executive's chair).

Business and financial operations: 54% (women most common in event planning, HR, fundraising, budget analysis, accounting and auditing, and market research, in that order. Women least common in cost estimation, financial advisory, financial analysis, and management analysis).

Protective service occupations: 22.5% (women most common as crossing guards)

B & G employees; 41% (2/3 of the women work in housekeeping)
Personal care occupations: 77%
Food service: 55%
Sales occupations: 49%
Office administrative occupations: 71%
Farming: 24%
Construction and extraction: 3.7%
Installation and repair: 3.7%
Production workers: 29%
Transportation workers: 18%

In the professions, the female share:

Computer and mathematical: 25.6%
Architecture and engineering: 16%
Life, physical, and social scientists (not teachers): 47%
Community and social service: 66.5%
Lawyers: 37.4%
Postsecondary teachers: 49%
Physicians and surgeons: 40%
Veterinarians: 71%

5. Perhaps the great sex slump, from around 2008 to now (ongoing) has something to do with housing? Fewer people can afford housing, so they are postponing marriage and thus postponing children. Most (regular) sex occurs in marriage. Put it together and perhaps we can account for the % decrease.

#1 - looking forward to the tribal gang approach to governance here in the imperial homelands.

"Fewer people can afford housing"

Not only does this mean more people in their 20s early 30s living with their parents (a definite barrier to sex, whether a one-off, relationship, or marriage), but even bigger than that it means people living with multiple roommates and sometimes even sharing rooms. To millennials raised with a significant sense of privacy and exiling dorm roommates for college sex, letting go for passionate sex at 26 is difficult in an old creaky house when you know there is one roommate trying to sleep next door, and two others downstairs watching TV.

That's why you drive out to the park...

"Mr. Toad" portion from the same cartoon feature. But for older children, this breezy, hip adaptation, and Bing’s ditto projection should prove thoroughly winning. Portions of the songs are woven in, and adults too will find plenty of entertainment here. The package itself is attractive, and pictures together with portions of the tale are inside the folder. Also available as one side of an LP disking. Retail rating 86

Is "NASA" now a generic label for any national space program, including Germany's, akin to "crescent" for adjustable wrenches and "vise-grip" for locking pliers?

4. “NASA will pay people $19,000 to stay in bed for 2 months.”

So will the social security commission.

#5. Not a single mention of the sad part of never marrying, and not having kids. Also, I am impressed by this non sequitur:

"And in Iceland, some 70% of children were born to single mothers in 2016, more than double the share in 1970."

In the Nordic countries, never married single mother, does not typically mean dysfunctional family lacking a father, like is typically the case in the US, still, the article seems to be using the former to normalize the latter. Voxworthy!

#6: Anny collusion? Good opportunity for Mueller to get out of his second retirement?

We can just call gangs "teams" or "clubs" -- problem solved!

The fossil dinosaur discovery by DePalma should give pause to environmentalists that think humans and their bad habits are the scourge of the earth. A tiny 6 mile wide pollution-free space rock did more damage to life in a few minutes than humans can or ever will. Better yet, I figure about the same time we figure out how to stop using the remains of of the Chicxulub and previous disasters in the form of fossil fuel, another tiny space rock will start the whole process over again. The environmentalists will be just a tiny speck in the fossil remains. Amazing how arrogant people can be to think they control their own future destiny that’s already written in the next pollution-free and natural cataclysmic event.

1: is 4chan a gang?

4. I linked earlier to a video about age related muscle loss. Part of that was horrifying statistics on how much muscle people (not only the old) lose with a couple months of hospitalization. Two months? Nineteen grand is not nearly enough.

Should have been "a couple weeks" of hospitalization, two months no thanks.

#1, this article is incoherent. What does it mean to legalize a gang - that people are free to form a voluntary association (certainly legal in the US and most countries outside of the totalitarian world) or form a voluntary association in order to engage in criminal activity - -illegal by definition

#5, you'd expect to see disproportionate female (and particularly single female) increase in 'gentrifying' areas because the term tends to imply increases in public safety, and women tend to be more scared of violent stuff.

That said, my impression would be that it's easier to imagine women trading wealth for the opportunity to live in a 'cool' neighbourhood than men.

A telltale sign of gentrification is the shift from rentals to owner-occupied housing. The share of units with owners living in them in these areas climbed from 45.5% in 1986 to 64.2% two decades later.

Maybe in Hong Kong? Doesn't seem like the trend associated to 'gentrification' elsewhere.

It's trickier than people think to tie a fossil find--even a bed like this--to a specific event. The issue is that most beds, even ones associated with sudden catastrophes, are to some extent time- and space-averaged. Further, even global forcing mechanisms are translated through regional variations to result in local events, and fossils (individual organisms) are about as local as you can get.

Frankly I'm withholding judgement until I see something a bit more rigorous. Definitely something with less biographic information. No offense to the guy--I've been a 20-something paleontologist, and am frankly jealous of this find--but he's not the thing that interests me (I think he'd understand what I mean!). I don't want to dig through six pages of anecdotes to get to the actual data.

The New Yorker needs a tl;dr summary on the top of each article

What about the PNAS paper?

I have it printed out. A preliminary glance doesn't show any huge errors, and several of the things I was looking for were taken into account; still, I'm going to be most interested in how they deal with confounding factors. The figure showing flow direction as determined by fish orientation bothers me....It's standard stuff in sedimentology, but it assumes a rigid body, like a stick or a bone. I'll have to think more about how well it applies to floppy bodies, like dead fish. I'm also dubious about some of the arguments regarding scavenging behavior; I'm not sure you can relate this to depleted biodiversity, since we see similar outcomes in other formations where we know biodiversity was NOT depleted.

That's all preliminary, though. Gotta find time to dig into it.

2: This is an excellent article about a potentially game-changing paleontological find. But Alex had a whole post about it a couple of days ago.

3: Sort of a reverse Gresham's Law in operation there with good money driving out bad. Or more accurately, bad money getting transformed into good, by being used and picking up spiritual value.

Also instead of bitcoin mining, those East New Britainers have been engaging in tabu mining -- and not too surprisingly have wiped out the local population of Nassariidae snails.

The Gazelle Peninsula was a crucial locale during World War II: it's where Rabaul is located, which was a key Japanese stronghold that took the US and its allies a year to neutralize. The Battle of Guadalcanal, itself a major sea-air-land campaign that lasted months and included two of the five major carrier-based naval battles of the war, was merely the opening phase of the campaign against Rabaul.

I'm curious: How is this find "game-changing"?

What I mean is, while this find is exciting, it doesn't establish any new theories. At best it's evidence for an existing theory--one with a mountain or two of evidence supporting it already. How is such a find game-changing?

#6 The big spender tourists in Taiwan are from China. The restaurants will show Chinese mainland channels even not being paid. Just like European places showing CNN.

2. Okay but I think in general research output is very unequal & PhD candidates at lower ranked institutions are mostly wasting their time or looking for rich marriage partners

1. So membership in the gangs was legalized, and the gangsters started acting like yakuza. Not a bad result.

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