Wednesday assorted links

1. Profile of Samotsvety forecasting team.

2. Cornered markets in everything: “An auction of the tattooed skin of an Austrian performance artist has been cancelled after all 12 pieces were bought by a collector for “a seven-figure sum” ahead of the event.”

3. Some dating bounties are now at 100k (NYT).  “He is polyamorous now, so the bounty will be paid out to the person who introduces him to his long-term primary partner.”

4. Good Henry Farrell post about Hayek and Mill and women and game theory.

5. Ross D.: “Only elites can keep populism alive.” (NYT)

6. “One study by the German Economic Institute (IW) found the army had been underfunded relative to Nato standards by at least €394bn between 1990 and the early 2020s.” (FT)