3. Community labs and DIY biology (New Yorker, interesting piece).
5. Are airplanes actually pretty safe for Covid-19 risk? (Not endorsing this piece or offering it up as advice, I do not myself know one way or the other. Any opinions here?)
6. “More generally, the entire Yemeni monetary system has split on the basis of banknote age.” The older notes of course no longer can be increased in supply and thus, if priced separately, are more stable in value.
7. Sweden is not getting to herd immunity very quickly. This also seems to imply Swedish policy does not matter very much.
2. BuildAtmos.com — Home building, simplified.
3. Short essay on how an ex-CDC person sees things. From my point of view off base, but fascinating in any case and of course you should read that side of the story.
8. Pizza arbitrage.
1. Chess set markets in everything I can’t even tell if this is a joke (short video).
3. The complexities of Ronan Farrow (NYT). Amazing (but good) that they ran this.
4. Selection pressures and colliders in Covid-19 research, or is smoking really good for you?
5. “Bali’s unique governing structure of village committees has been credited with stemming the virus’s spread.
“The villages have a very strong influence on the community. Whatever the elders in the villages said, people will abide,” Ngurah Wijaya, adviser to the Bali Tourism Board, told Bloomberg News. “This has enabled the government to impose its policies down to the community level effectively.”
Villages’ awareness of residents’ whereabouts has also proved useful in contact tracing, and the island has banned outsiders since March.” Link here.
7. If you go by recent past history: “The overall estimated PoS for an industry-sponsored vaccine program is 39.6%, and 16.3% for an industry-sponsored anti-infective therapeutic.”
1. “About 100 surrogate babies are waiting for parents to pick them up in the country, about half of them at BioTexCom’s facilities, the Ukrainian Parliament’s human rights commissioner, Lyudmila Denisova, told The Associated Press. The numbers could rise to the thousands, she said, if coronavirus travel restrictions are extended.” Link here.
6. “…the path that individual job-losers follow back to stable employment often includes several brief interim jobs, sometimes separated by time out of the labor force.” A new Hall and Kudlyak paper on job market recovery, in my view shows the importance of matching.
1. Heckman vs. Chetty? (The Economist)
3. Fracking spread gonorrhea but not through prostitution. (Is that good or bad news?)
8. If you read this Apple/Google app track and trace piece carefully, you will learn who is really for privacy and who is not, rather being just anti-corporate. Here is good commentary on said story.
2. Long summit on vaccines, long video, many top names represented.
5. Tokyo deaths do not seem to be up. What is the best model for this?
8. Budget allocation cuts going to higher ed appear to be brutal. Again, the “free college” idea is a complete non-starter.
9. “Importantly, we detected SARS-CoV-2−reactive CD4+ T cells in ~40-60% of unexposed individuals, suggesting cross-reactive T cell recognition between circulating ‘common cold’ coronaviruses and SARS-CoV-2.”
10. NYT covers Navy reports of UFOs, and no they’re not just a few simple, repeated optical illusions like maybe you saw in that YouTube video, for instance radar evidence too.
5. What it is like to land in Hong Kong and try to enter (recommended, short photo essay).
10. I find this kind of defense convincing for many research efforts, but not for actual real world problems with immediate decisions to be made: “I don’t know the 2 Swedish models in question but in general it is disingenuous to say the models that do not try to take into account changes in human behavior failed because people behaved in ways the models didn’t model. The models were upfront about the scenarios addressed.”
1. Sentences to ponder: “He’s in London with his girlfriend, in the apartment the Batman folks rented for him…’I went for a run around the park today,’ he says. ‘I’m so terrified of being, like, arrested. You’re allowed to run around here. But the terror I feel from it is quite extreme.’…I was so obsessed with watching Christopher Hitchens debates.”
6. How are bookstores doing? (NYT)
3. Ross Douthat is back from paternal leave (NYT).
6. What are the macro benefits of large cities?, by Salim Furth.
1. Photos from Belarus, interesting in their own right but all the more so now.
3. The lockdown culture that is Ontario: “19-year-old charged after Mercedes clocked doing 308 km/h.”
5. Covid-19 has largely spared the baseball world (model this).
6. An argument that all will be well soon enough. Not my view, but happy to pass along this perspective from Lars Christensen.
1. Where have all the briskets gone? A good lesson in supply chain economics. And China to slap big tariffs on Australian barley exports.
10. Millie Small, RIP (music video).
11. To be clear, I am not against this kind of article (NYT). “Sweatpants and Caviar,” but in the paper edition it is called “A Chance to Think About Composing that Opera.” Still, we can learn a bit from doing a small amount of modeling of how it came about.
13. “Ethics of controlled human infection to study COVID-19.” That is what you might call “an establishment piece.” On one hand, it is nice to see them not reject the idea, though they cannot agree on monetary compensation for exposure. I wonder how they feel about fishing boats?
6. A thread threading threads on heterogeneous super-spreaders. Best update on this discussion I have seen lately.
8. “Far more mildly ill or asymptomatic COVID-19 patients in Japan are opting to self-isolate at home than hole up in hotels, leaving accommodations catering to them with abysmal occupancy rates, recent figures show.“
3. Who is at most risk from Covid? A new study based on very good NHS data.
4. Further new data on transmission. And useful overview of how Covid-19 “works.” Maybe it seems a little late in the game to be reading this kind of short survey piece, but it is actually the best one I’ve seen and it is quite up to date, recommended.
7. Why are coronavirus survivors banned from the military? How can that possibly make sense?
10. Epidemiological model from some data scientists at Stripe (but not a Stripe product). Do you have any comments or suggestions for improvements for them?
4. Source code for the Imperial College model. And Sue Denim is very upset about the quality of that source code. Another reader with a strong technical background wrote me equally critical remarks. Are there further opinions on this?
11. “A county in Washington State dealing with a coronavirus outbreak has identified a confounding new source of spread: “Covid-19 parties” organized so that people can deliberately mingle with an infected person in the hope of getting their own illness out of the way.” (NYT link) I wonder what they play for the music.
12. How are the social sciences evolving? Less rational choice, for one thing.
13. Why are meatpacking plants hit so hard? Holds true for numerous countries — is it the deliberate circulation of cool air?
9. Model this (Australian camel plunge, multi-camel plunge in fact).
11. How do the CRISPR tests for Covid-19 work? (pretty amazing stuff).
12. Are panviral defenses a real option? (NYT)
13. The Quebec plan for school reopening — feasible or not?