Results for “water” 1034 found
New evidence that being underwater on your house limits labor mobility
Rortybomb has long argued there is no significant effect. I’ve never had a horse in this race, in any case here are new results from Plamen Nenov, on the job market from MIT:
The present paper studies the impact of a housing bust on regional labor reallocation and the labor market. I document a novel empirical fact, which suggests that, by increasing the fraction of households with negative housing equity, a housing bust hinders interregional mobility. I then study a multi-region economy with local labor and housing markets and worker reallocation. The model can account for the positive co-movement of relative house prices and unemployment with gross out-migration and negative co-movement with in-migration observed in the cross section of states. A housing bust creates debt overhang for some workers, which distorts their migration decisions and increases aggregate unemployment in the economy. This adverse effect is amplified when regional slumps are particularly deep as in the recent U.S. recession. In a calibrated version of the model, I find that the regional reallocation effect of the housing bust can account for between 0.2 and 0.5 percentage points of aggregate unemployment and 0.4 and 1.2 percentage points of unemployment in metropolitan areas experiencing deep local recessions in 2010. Finally, I study the labor market effects of two policies proposed for addressing the U.S. mortgage crisis.
I’m still not taking sides here, just fyi.
There are five new popular books on water this year
The two I will recommend are:
Steven Solomon, Water: The Epic Struggle for Wealth, Power, and Civilization. It offers a very good history of water technologies, here is one good review.
David Zetland, The End of Abundance: Economic Solutions to Water Scarcity. Of the five books, this one has the most policy truth. Also, David reviews one of the other books.
The paradox of Tunisian water policy
One quality of life measure put Tunisia first in the Arab world. If you look at water policy, the Tunisian government has long had a strong reputation. Here is Wikipedia:
Tunisia has achieved the highest access rates to water supply and sanitation services among the MENA countries through sound infrastructure policy. 96% of urban dwellers and 52% of the rural population already have access to improved sanitation. By the end of 2006, the access to safe drinking water became close to universal (approaching 100% in urban areas and 90% in rural areas). Tunisia provides good quality drinking water throughout the year.
I've never been to Tunisia, but from readings I've found the country especially difficult to understand. They've had a corrupt autocracy for a long time, but some areas of policy they get (inexplicably?) right. And usually they are by far the least corrupt country in the Maghreb. Dani Rodrik called the place an unsung development miracle. Maybe that was exaggerating but for their neighborhood they still beat a lot of the averages and they've had a lot of upward gradients. They've also made good progress on education.
And now this. Perhaps it is no accident this is "the first time that protests have overthrown an Arab leader." The lesson perhaps is that the path toward a much better world involves…small steps. Civil society there is relatively strong and has been so for a while. Democracy is probably not around the corner, but if you're studying social change it's worth spending a lot of time on why Tunisia and Jordan are often so much better run than the other Arab states.
Negative Equity in Underwater Homes
Calculated Risk gathers the data on underwater homes:
- There are 14.75 million underwater homes and 4.1 million of these have more than 50% negative equity (the homeowners owe 50%+ more than their homes are worth).
- The total negative equity is $771 billion.
Waterless Urinals
I found this sign over the waterless urinal at the Woods Hole Oceanographic Institute (where I am hanging out this summer) difficult to parse (or follow).
Ordinarily I wouldn't devote a blog post to this kind of thing but believe it or not, this month's Wired has an excellent article on the science, economics and considerable politics of waterless urinals. Here's one bit:
Plumbing codes never contemplated a urinal without water. As a result, Falcon’s fixtures couldn’t be installed legally in most parts of the country. Krug assumed it would be a routine matter to amend the model codes on which most state and city codes are based, but Massey and other plumbers began to argue vehemently against it. The reason the urinal hadn’t changed in decades was because it worked, they argued. Urine could be dangerous, Massey said, and the urinal was not something to trifle with. As a result, in 2003 the organizations that administer the two dominant model codes in the US rejected Falcon’s request to permit installation of waterless urinals. “The plumbers blindsided us,” Krug says. “We didn’t understand what we were up against.”
One thing that does annoy me is the claim that these urinals "save" 40,000 thousand gallons of water a year. Water is not an endangered species. With local exceptions, water is a renewable resource and in plentiful supply. At the average U.S. price, you can buy 40,000 gallons of water for about $80.
Facts about airline water
Fact 1:
In the United States, drinking water safety on airlines is jointly
regulated by the EPA, Food and Drug Administration (FDA), and Federal
Aviation Administration (FAA). EPA regulates the public water systems
that supply water to the airports and the drinking water once it is
onboard the aircraft. FDA has jurisdiction over culinary water (e.g.,
ice) and the points where aircraft obtain water (e.g., pipes or
tankers) at the airport. In addition, air carriers must have
FAA-accepted operation and maintenance programs for all aircraft, this
includes the potable water system. (EPA)
Fact 2:
…the news carried stories that the US EPA had determined that 15% of
water on a sample of 327 aircraft flunked the total coliform standards
and inspections showed that all aircraft were out of compliance with
the national drinking water standards.
Rest assured, the EPA has crafted new rules to address the problem.
How do airplanes float on water?
Surely you've all been wondering, here's one answer I ran across (more at the link):
All airplanes will eventually sink if it is in water, even pressurized
planes. (more on that later) But there are several areas in the
airplane that have pockets of air that help keep the plane afloat. For
example, in the area between the outside skin of the fuselage and the
interrior there is a space that is usually insulated and has air that
needs to be displaced by the water. In most airplanes built today, the
wing is the fuel tank, and since water is heavier than fuel the fuel in
the wings help offset some of the weight of the plane…not a lot but
some.
There is also air in the cargo hold of larger planes that will help
maintain buoyancy until the air is replaced by water. Anyone who thinks
an airplane is water tight and will float because it is pressurized is
nuts! The airplane is pressurized only while the engines are running
and the air being pumped into the aircraft to pressurize it is almost
escaping the aircraft just as fast as it is being pumped in. There are
control valves in the forward and rear bulkhead that regulate the
pressure inside the plane but all pressure is lost if the engines quit
running. At the altitude that the A-320 that crashed in the Hudson
river was at when it lost it's engines, it probably didn't have much
pressurization anyway since it was only a few thousand feet above sea
level.
Pay For It: Radical Water Privatization for Poor Countries
Here is my piece for Forbes.com on the privatization of residential water supply in the Third World. Excerpt:
And no, I don’t mean a water
concession with a price regulated by the government, I mean true
laissez faire in water supply. No price regulation, no rate of return
regulation, no government ownership of assets, no political pressure to
keep prices low. Water companies should be allowed to maximize their
profits, and because supplying water is nearly always a monopoly, they
should be allowed to make monopoly profits. I know the idea sounds
crazy–to an economist, water supply is a classic "natural"
monopoly–but on closer inspection the other alternatives might be
worse.
And more:
If complete deregulation
is too radical for you, consider the interesting compromise proposed by
the economist Jeffrey Sachs, currently heading the Earth Institute at Columbia University.
He suggests that the private company be allowed to charge high prices,
but only under the condition that it allocates a minimum amount of
water for everyone, either for free or at a much lower price. Basic
water needs would be met, and the company still might make a profit.That said, I’m less worried about high prices than Sachs. Let’s say
the new water prices were so high as to capture all the benefits that
buyers would receive from the new supply of water. We can expect much
lower rates of diarrhea and other diseases, if only because the water
supplier can charge more for cleaner and safer water. The resulting
decline in disease means that children will die less frequently and
adults will be healthier and more energetic. Those long-term social
benefits are of enormous help to poor communities, even if high prices
take away many of the initial, upfront benefits of the new water
supply. In other words, we should consider radical privatization
precisely because water is a public good and because clean water is so
important for long-run economic growth.
Read the whole thing.
Jeff Sachs on water policy
Chapter five of Common Wealth is called "Securing Our Water Needs," an important topic but one neglected by most economists. One lesson is that climate change will put a big stress on water supplies. So far, so good, but the recommendations start with greater international cooperation:
A first step, at least, would be to focus on the hardest-hit lands, specifically the world’s drylands. Fortunately, these are covered by the UN Convention to Combat Desertification, which has 191 member governments as signatories. Unfortunately, the treaty as it now stands is little known and has little clout and financial backing. Rather than reinvent the treaty, however, it would be better to reinvigorate it.
I would say it needs invigoration, not reinvigoration. It is no accident that the Convention has little clout and little financial backing. Many such Conventions are toothless objects, designed to appeal to a least common denominator within the process of the Convention itself (recall, it has 191 signatories). No one is opposed to "international cooperation" but it is no accident that truly international bodies have to either find a way to make profit (e.g., the World Bank lends to China) or they are usually very strapped for funds. That’s just not where the political rents are and that isn’t going to change.
Since Sachs calls this a "first step," his position is in some sense invulnerable. Whatever you really think should be done can be called the next step. Sachs writes, however, that the next step is more finance if I understand him correctly he wants to increase funding by more than a factor of 100). I would prefer finance from national governments, or even from the states or provinces, than finance at the level of international organizations. Most of the 191 signatories just aren’t that good at R&D, funds accountability, or even technology adoption.
I might add that national governments are the ones that subsidize the price of water to ridiculously low levels, most of all for agriculture. My first step is to remove all these water subsidies, allow water prices to rise, institute more water trading, and then see which innovations the private sector decides to finance (hmm…those are my first four steps). One role for government would be to ensure that patent law does not hinder international transfer of worthwhile innovations, a point which Sachs makes in other contexts. That sounds less glamorous than a big international plan, but I think it has a better chance of succeeding.
Hayek Doesn’t Stop at the Water’s Edge
In the miasma (here and here) of people explaining why they got the war wrong here is Jim Henley explaining why he got it right.
I wasn’t born yesterday. I had heard of the Middle East before
September 12, 2001. I knew that many of the loudest advocates for war with Iraq
were so-called national-greatness conservatives who spent the 1990s arguing that
war was good for the soul. I remembered Elliott Abrams and John Poindexter and
Michael Ledeen as the knaves and fools of Iran-Contra, and drew the appropriate
conclusions about the Bush Administration wanting to employ them: it was an
administration of knaves and fools…Libertarianism. As a libertarian, I was primed to react
skeptically to official pronouncements. “Hayek doesn’t stop at the water’s
edge!” I coined that one. Not bad, huh? I could tell the difference between
the government and the country. People who couldn’t make this
distinction could not rationally cope with the idea that American foreign policy
was the largest driver of anti-American terrorism because it sounded to them too
much like “The American people deserve to be victims of terrorism.” I
could see the self-interest of the officials pushing for war – how war would
benefit their political party, their department within the government, enhance
their own status at the expense of rivals. Libertarianism made it clear how
absurd the idealistic case was. Supposedly, wise, firm and just American
guidance would usher Iraq into a new era of liberalism and comity. But none of
that was going to work unless real American officials embedded in American
political institutions were unusually selfless and astute, with a lofty and
omniscient devotion to Iraqi welfare. And, you know, they weren’t going to be
that….What all of us had in common is probably a simple recognition: War is a big
deal. It isn’t normal. It’s not something to take up casually. Any war you can
describe as “a war of choice” is a crime. War feeds on and feeds the negative
passions. It is to be shunned where possible and regretted when not. Various
hawks occasionally protested that “of course” they didn’t enjoy war,
but they were almost always lying. Anyone who saw invading foreign lands and
ruling other countries by force as extraordinary was forearmed against the lies
and delusions of the time.
More here.
The reasons why I opposed the war are given here.
Hat tip to Brad DeLong for the link.
Getting oneself in hot water
I am surprised by all the opposition to my argument for not burning the unpublished Nabokov manuscript. I say this: we limit all sorts of destructive transactions for the living, so why not every now and then a limitation upon the wishes of the dead? I was not staking out the extreme (but possibly true) position that the wishes of the dead should count for nothing.
I might add that the status quo is permitting the Nabokov manuscript to
be published and that civil society has not collapsed. Nor are people panicking that their gravestones will be overturned three years hence and sold to finance the expansion of the EITC.
In any case I propose a thought experiment. If you disagree with me, you should never have read Kafka or Virgil, nor should you set foot in the British Museum, go to an ancient Egyptian art exhibit, or for that matter visit any ethnographic museum. Lots of that stuff was taken from graves. They probably didn’t want "the public" to look at it and yes that includes you. How many of the nay-sayers will pledge they have behaved this way or even that they are much bothered they didn’t?
Nor are you allowed to hear Doors tribute bands, remixed or recombined Beatle vocals (would John have approved?) and who knows about late Schubert or Mahler’s 10th? Better safe than sorry and that goes for unapproved translations and editions as well, or how about any religious compendium that refers to the Hebrew Bible as "The Old Testament"? Don’t even pick it up. I do in fact regard Sussmayr’s completion of Mozart’s Requiem as an aesthetic crime but not a moral one; it is better to hear the work unfinished. The really sad thing is how many people like the revised version.
How to sound smart around the water cooler
The baseball playoffs begin today. (Go Red Sox!) But if you haven’t been following the 162-game season, you may risk sounding foolish around the water cooler.
Here’s how to sound like an expert: Research tells us that prediction markets yield accurate forecasts. Indeed, a prediction market forecast is likely smarter than any expert. Simply point your browser to your favorite prediction market, and make the following observations confidently around the water cooler:
- Note that the American League looks much stronger than the National League. (HT: Mike Giberson at Midas Oracle.)
- Sigh, while you say that "Once again the American League race looks like being the Red Sox or the Yankees."
- State emphatically that "the National League is anyone’s race. Heck, even the come-from-behind Phillies are a chance." (Say this as though you didn’t already know they were the betting favorites)
That’s it. You are now an expert. (How else do you think an Aussie can keep up a conversation about U.S. sports? I’ve been faking it for years… but shhh, don’t tell David Stern.)
Water transport and economic development
The French economic historian Maurice Aymard has estimated that the Dutch Republic was the only country in Europe where water transport was appreciably greater than land transport, in terms of tonnage carried. In England it was about 50-50; in Germany the ratio was 1:5, but in France it was 1:10.
That is from Tim Blanning’s The Pursuit of Glory, Europe 1648-1815; here is my previous post on the book.
A libertarian approach to water policy
Presented in one long, excellent blog post (do read it), here is a partial response. I’ll note that water policy has long been an area where libertarian insights are hardest to apply. Property rights in water (to the molecules? to a flow? to water of a certain quality? what is the natural unit? …and don’t even get me started on water tables) are more of a fiction than, say, property rights to your toothbrush. That makes administrative law more important, more valuable, and more of a balancing effect for water than for most other sectors of the economy.
If you wish to purge yourself of all libertarian tendencies, just study water law for a few months.
If you wish to increase your libertarian tendencies, study farm policy, corporate welfare, teachers’ unions, or anti-marijuana laws. A stroll by the HUD building isn’t a bad refresher course either.
Water fact of the day
It is a little known fact that the United States today uses far less water per person, and less water in total, than we did twenty-five years ago.
That is water expert Peter Gleick, quoted in the excellent article "The Last Drop," (not on-line), from the 23 October The New Yorker.