Participant | University | Vote | Confidence | Comment | Bio/Vote History |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daron Acemoglu | MIT | Agree | 9 | Bio/Vote History | |
Alberto Alesina | Harvard | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Joseph Altonji | Yale | Strongly Agree | 9 | Bio/Vote History | |
Alan Auerbach | Berkeley | Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
David Autor | MIT | Strongly Agree | 8 |
Temporarily yes. Over the long run, no. Labor force participation has risen throughout most of the 20th century. |
Bio/Vote History |
Katherine Baicker | Harvard | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Abhijit Banerjee | MIT | Uncertain | 8 |
It is not easy to find evidence one way or the other that it did not shift the aggregate labor demand curve down. |
Bio/Vote History |
Marianne Bertrand | Chicago | Agree | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
Markus Brunnermeier | Princeton | Agree | 8 |
new employment opportunities opened up e.g. in the service sector. |
Bio/Vote History |
Raj Chetty | Harvard | Strongly Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Judith Chevalier | Yale | Agree | 8 | Bio/Vote History | |
Janet Currie | Princeton | Agree | 8 | Bio/Vote History | |
David Cutler | Harvard | Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Angus Deaton | Princeton | Strongly Agree | 8 | Bio/Vote History | |
Darrell Duffie | Stanford | Agree | 1 | Bio/Vote History | |
Aaron Edlin | Berkeley | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Barry Eichengreen | Berkeley | Strongly Agree | 10 | Bio/Vote History | |
Liran Einav | Stanford | Uncertain | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Ray Fair | Yale | Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Amy Finkelstein | MIT | Agree | 2 | Bio/Vote History | |
Pinelopi Goldberg | Yale | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Austan Goolsbee | Chicago | Agree | 7 |
Over the long run, that is true |
Bio/Vote History |
Michael Greenstone | MIT | Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Robert Hall | Stanford | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Oliver Hart | Harvard | Agree | 7 |
There has been temporary displacement but displaced workers have found jobs elsewhere, as theory might predict |
Bio/Vote History |
Bengt Holmström | MIT | Agree | 8 | Bio/Vote History | |
Caroline Hoxby | Stanford | Agree | 5 |
Hard to be certain b/c a GE issue, but little econ history supports mechanization having reduced employment. |
Bio/Vote History |
Hilary Hoynes | Berkeley | Disagree | 9 | Bio/Vote History | |
Kenneth Judd | Stanford | Agree | 7 |
Productivity increases options. Employment becomes more beneficial, but it is irrelevant if people choose to work less. |
Bio/Vote History |
Steven Kaplan | Chicago | Agree | 9 |
Automation has increased greatly over last 100 years. Employment has increased. Labor participation rates have varied. |
Bio/Vote History |
Anil Kashyap | Chicago | Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Pete Klenow | Stanford | Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Jonathan Levin | Stanford | Agree | 4 | Bio/Vote History | |
Eric Maskin | Harvard | Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
William Nordhaus | Yale | Agree | 8 |
Really would say unemployment. Otherwise need to incorporate income effects. |
Bio/Vote History |
Maurice Obstfeld | Berkeley | Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Emmanuel Saez | Berkeley | Strongly Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Larry Samuelson | Yale | Agree | 8 |
Automation can cause significant displacement and can require costly adjustments, but has not reduced long-run employment. |
Bio/Vote History |
José Scheinkman | Princeton | Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Richard Schmalensee | MIT | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Carl Shapiro | Berkeley | Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Robert Shimer | Chicago | Strongly Agree | 8 |
Automation has not reduced net employment, but some workers have lost their jobs due to automation |
Bio/Vote History |
Nancy Stokey | Chicago | Strongly Agree | 10 |
If this had been true over the last two centuries, almost no one would be working anymore. |
Bio/Vote History |
Richard Thaler | Chicago | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Christopher Udry | Yale | Uncertain | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Participant | University | Vote | Confidence | Comment | Bio/Vote History |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
Daron Acemoglu | MIT | Agree | 9 | Bio/Vote History | |
Alberto Alesina | Harvard | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Joseph Altonji | Yale | Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Alan Auerbach | Berkeley | Uncertain | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
David Autor | MIT | Agree | 7 |
Technology and trade/globalization are probably two largest factors. Would also include deunionization. |
Bio/Vote History |
Katherine Baicker | Harvard | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Abhijit Banerjee | MIT | Disagree | 6 |
There are so many other factors including trade (including in services).
|
Bio/Vote History |
Marianne Bertrand | Chicago | Agree | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
Markus Brunnermeier | Princeton | Disagree | 7 |
Winner-takes-it-all technologies are more prevelant than only in IT. Moreover, globalization (containers), ... are also important factors. |
Bio/Vote History |
Raj Chetty | Harvard | Agree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Judith Chevalier | Yale | Disagree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Janet Currie | Princeton | Disagree | 7 |
Rising health care costs may actually be more important for the median worker. |
Bio/Vote History |
David Cutler | Harvard | Agree | 4 | Bio/Vote History | |
Angus Deaton | Princeton | Strongly Disagree | 8 | Bio/Vote History | |
Darrell Duffie | Stanford | Uncertain | 1 | Bio/Vote History | |
Aaron Edlin | Berkeley | Uncertain | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Barry Eichengreen | Berkeley | Uncertain | 6 |
They are A reason, among others. And a reason is not the same as a result; there could have been offsetting policy/policies. |
Bio/Vote History |
Liran Einav | Stanford | Uncertain | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Ray Fair | Yale | No Opinion |
Question is too broad. |
Bio/Vote History | |
Amy Finkelstein | MIT | Agree | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
Pinelopi Goldberg | Yale | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Austan Goolsbee | Chicago | Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Michael Greenstone | MIT | Uncertain | 5 |
Stagnant education levels and the financial crisis are almost certainly culprits. Work on assigning shares will go on for a long time. |
Bio/Vote History |
Robert Hall | Stanford | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Oliver Hart | Harvard | Agree | 6 |
Unskilled jobs have been lost which may well be a factor, although not the only one, behind stagant median income and increasing inequality |
Bio/Vote History |
Bengt Holmström | MIT | Agree | 7 | Bio/Vote History | |
Caroline Hoxby | Stanford | Uncertain | 8 |
Skill biased tech probably a cause of flat median wages,but there are MANY other causes. GE problems like this cannot be sorted definitively |
Bio/Vote History |
Hilary Hoynes | Berkeley | Disagree | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Kenneth Judd | Stanford | Agree | 5 |
It may have a short-run impact but there is no reason to believe that it is permanent. |
Bio/Vote History |
Steven Kaplan | Chicago | Uncertain | 3 |
IT and automation have helped the "top 1%." Not clear what that has done to median relative to financial crisis, government policy, etc. |
Bio/Vote History |
Anil Kashyap | Chicago | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Pete Klenow | Stanford | Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Jonathan Levin | Stanford | Agree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
Eric Maskin | Harvard | Disagree | 6 | Bio/Vote History | |
William Nordhaus | Yale | Disagree | 8 |
Many other factors going on. |
Bio/Vote History |
Maurice Obstfeld | Berkeley | Uncertain | 4 | Bio/Vote History | |
Emmanuel Saez | Berkeley | Disagree | 4 | Bio/Vote History | |
Larry Samuelson | Yale | Uncertain | 1 | Bio/Vote History | |
José Scheinkman | Princeton | Uncertain | 5 | Bio/Vote History | |
Richard Schmalensee | MIT | Did Not Answer | Bio/Vote History | ||
Carl Shapiro | Berkeley | Uncertain | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |
Robert Shimer | Chicago | Agree | 7 |
Trade is likely also important for median wages. |
Bio/Vote History |
Nancy Stokey | Chicago | Uncertain | 6 |
The wage distribution has expanded and compressed over long periods. Technology is probably, involved, but it is unclear exactly how. |
Bio/Vote History |
Richard Thaler | Chicago | No Opinion | Bio/Vote History | ||
Christopher Udry | Yale | Agree | 3 | Bio/Vote History | |