According to the latest poverty rate estimates – released by the Census Bureau on Aug. 30 – the total percentage of Americans living in poverty was higher in 2004 (12.7 percent) than in 1974 (11.2 percent). According to that same report, poverty rates for American families and children were likewise higher last year than three decades earlier.
But can this be true?
Per capita income adjusted for inflation is over 60 percent higher today than in 1974. The unemployment rate is lower, and the percentage of adults with paying jobs is distinctly higher. Thirty years ago, the proportion of adults without a high school diploma was more than twice as high as today (39 percent versus 16 percent). And antipoverty spending is vastly higher today than in 1974, even after inflation adjustments…
The soundings from the poverty rate are further belied by information on actual living standards for low-income Americans. In 1972-73, for example, just 42 percent of the bottom fifth of American households owned a car; in 2003, almost three-quarters of "poverty households" had one. By 2001, only 6 percent of "poverty households" lived in "crowded" homes (more than one person per room) – down from 26 percent in 1970. By 2003, the fraction of poverty households with central air-conditioning (45 percent) was much higher than the 1980 level for the non-poor (29 percent).
Besides these living trends, there are what we might call the "dying trends": that is to say, America’s health and mortality patterns. All strata of America – including the disadvantaged – are markedly healthier today than three decades ago. Though the officially calculated poverty rate for children was higher in 2004 than 1974 (17.8 percent versus 15.4 percent), the infant mortality rate – that most telling measure of wellbeing – fell by almost three-fifths over those same years, to 6.7 per 1,000 births from 16.7 per 1,000.
Here is the link. There are two bottom lines. First, we have made more progress against poverty than the numbers indicate. Second, we should look first to consumption data, not income data.
Well, it all depends on whether your definition of poverty is absolute, relative, or some combination of the two. Adopting an absolute definition of a poverty threshold makes no sense at all over a long enough period of time (we couldn’t possibly use the 1855 standard now — and eventually even the 1974 standard will seem absurd), but if the threshold is purely relative, the poverty rate is nothing other than a measure of inequality.
It occurs to me that it might be better if we simply designated the bottom 15 or 20 percent as ‘the poor’ by definition and then focused on measuring to what extent the lives of the poor were getting better or worse and in what ways.
I believe the increase in homelessness, to the extent it actually exists, is largely due to state cutbacks in mental health services. The crazy and the dead drunk are no longer incarcerated in mass.
It’s interesting to see the different reactions to stats like this. I’ve seen folks on the left look at these numbers and question the income distribution in the US, say that the US needs to find/develop a new industry(alternative energy?) now that the IT boom has run its course, criticize the Bush tax cuts, etc. The reaction from the right/libertarians seems to be uniformly(in response to these stats and, basically, any numbers that might hint that the average Joe isn’t sharing in the benefits of free trade, productivity growth, etc) “things aren’t bad, they’re actually much better than they used to be”.
Anecdotally speaking, I love being able to buy a $30 DVD player and $20 jeans at Old Navy but it seems like anything that the US can’t outsource/offshore, prices are shooting out of control. Will housing, education, and health care ever stop increasing in price by over 10% a year?
I think the institutionalizing issue comes down to money, plain and simple. How can you fund a mental hospital when Grover Norquist is drowning gov’t in the bathtub?
This is not wholly convincing. Per capita income is a mean, so increases may reflect increases at the high end. It does not tell us about the distribution of the increases. Similarly, the focus on employment statistics automatically ignores children living in poverty.
Nor do I accept the statements about consumption. The figures cited in the article are more than a little strange. Unless you can explain the $10,000/yr. excess of consumption over income I am unwilling to think that this is a meaningful number.
Finally, I find it odd that conservatives like Eberstadt, who generally are unwilling to consider infant mortality informative when American figures are compared to other countries’, suddenly declare it a crucial indicator when it helps to push their agenda.
Hmm, the comments seem to be stripping tags. How annoying. Oh well.
There are comments about the price of housing for the poor increasing. While that’s true, you can’t ignore the facts presented in the article, like how the average amount of space per person (and the presence of air-conditioning, etc.) has increased for housing for the poor as well. If people are paying more but getting more, then it’s complicated.
“Not as long as the government continues to subsidize them, no. ”
Not to mention regulate the living crap out of them. Note that “the average amount of space per person (and the presence of air-conditioning, etc.) has increased for housing for the poor as well.” Regulation plays a part in that; the poor (and middle class) are stuck buying bigger houses than they might otherwise choose because of housing regulations.
Inadequate policing of cheap neighborhoods also plays a role; this leads to a sort of arms race where people must squeeze out as much money for housing as they can, so as to minimize their chances of getting shot.
Health care is even more heavily regulated. The number of medical residents each year is set by Congress, not by anything remotely resembling a market. A staggering (and growing) web of regulation drives up costs and delays new treatments, all in the name of stopping us from hurting ourselves (suffering through lack of treatment apparently not being seen as quite as bad for some reason).
While we’re on the general subject, could someone confirm to me that those poor black people that we’ve been seeing on the news programs in Louisiana and Mississippi, are the same ones who are meant to be enjoying a lifestyle equal to that of the average citizen in Sweden?
I’d like to see the definition of poverty based on a broad survey of the electorate done every few years. Ask specific questions about what type of housing, food, education, health, and mobility = poverty. The definition will be relative and change over time, but it’s better than some arbitrary government bureaucracy definition. It means that when stats come out saying “X% live in poverty”, we know that definition of poverty matches what our citizens think it does.
I dont understand how there are such a vast majority of people going hungry in state.Why is it that there are people in america going hungry when we live in one of the richest countreis in the world.I am not to up on politics but,this much I do believe that the government on the state and federal side could and should do more to help these people help themselves.
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