I think what this post is really telling you is that an individual’s sense of clinical judgement is overrated to the point of being dangerous. A similar circumstance applies to psychologists, who are most accurate in making diagnoses when they are young, and tend to rely on checklists. Later, as experienced practicioners, they rely on clinical judgement and misdiagnose. This means that psychologists become demonstrably less skilled as they become more experienced. A sort of inversion of expertise. See Robin Dawes, House of Cards.
Here is Robin’s post that evoked the comment, here are the comments. Here is the recommended book. We cannot be sure this is the Michael Crichton, you know, the Jasper Johns collector…in any case my favorite Michael Crichton novel is Sphere.
I’m assuming that you get the whole “back at ya!” aspect of an gentleman worrying about calcification and misdiagnoses … in others.
I imagine doctors, psychologists and nurses will diagnose more accurately once they begin using more artificial intelligence to assist them. Of course younger practitioners will probably be more comfortable using AI. (And why is it that on the TV show House we see the doctors hitting books, but never using an expert system? Are even young, good-looking doctors that AI illiterate?)
I thought I was the only one who noticed who had posted that comment to OB. Oh, well I think we can be sure that Crichton will be now be receiving a vast flood of emails from every celebrity hound who reads MR. . .
“I think what this post is really telling you is that an individual’s sense of clinical judgement is overrated to the point of being dangerous. ”
Guess Crichton wouldn’t think of turning that assertion of overconfidence on his
own forays into climate science. Physician, heal thyself.
Surely the real Michael Crighton would not
misspell “judgment” twice…
The Great Train Robbery pwns Sphere
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