Michael Crichton on Robin Hanson

I think what this post is really telling you is that an individual’s sense of clinical judgement is overrated to the point of being dangerous.  A similar circumstance applies to psychologists, who are most accurate in making diagnoses when they are young, and tend to rely on checklists.  Later, as experienced practicioners, they rely on clinical judgement and misdiagnose.  This means that psychologists become demonstrably less skilled as they become more experienced.  A sort of inversion of expertise. See Robin Dawes, House of Cards.

Here is Robin’s post that evoked the comment, here are the comments.  Here is the recommended book.  We cannot be sure this is the Michael Crichton, you know, the Jasper Johns collector…in any case my favorite Michael Crichton novel is Sphere.