You should be. Right here. C’mon people, turn your TVs off and go crash the InTrade servers, making sure you pay homage to Hayek and Robin Hanson along the way.
If you’re not looking at the betting markets…
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Now 62-38. I guess we’ll learn something here. But that will be a couple of hours from now.
Is it legal for us in the US to use Intrade?
Isn’t information only worth anything if it changes what action you take? Why follow blow-by-blow on election night when you are going to find out for sure what happened first thing in the morning, and you are unlikely to use the information before that?
I tried to set up an account on Intrade but couldn’t get my credit card to work. What am I supposed to do, go to Dublin and give them some cash?
If Obama wins tonight, which is increasingly unlikely, I’d short his position like no tomorrow.
Pointer, as I have argued before, If you love them, short them. It creates incentives for other people to buy your contracts, and then go out and make your candidate win.
(You of course have to announce what you are doing, so that people don’t think all that shorting means that “someone has insider knowledge about his campaign!” etc.)
Pointer, if you don’t love any of them, sell your vote on EBay. What an increase in efficiency that would be.
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