Friday assorted links

Comments

5. Political ads I hope! So election losers will have "meddling" to whine about!

THEY are meddling in our election.
WE are educatin voters.

Gag me with a spoon

They have been meddling in our elections for decades.

Maybe they sent cases of vodka to Hillary.

“All that evening he talked to the Candle of Arras, in a low confidential tone. When you get down to it, he thought, there's not much difference between politics and sex; it's all about
power." - H. Mantel

wow super insightful... I have nearly the same thing written in my 2nd grade diary.

JJ Henn?/ Asa Hawks was a blind Aristotle as a cop, thereby cementing Ms. Oconnor's legacy as a greek tragedist.

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Ed Abbey got this one right: Display advertsiting is a tragedy of the commons story.

It was the ants on the walk back from the library alongside the tennis courts, the sun not shining but the light spread across, too early to call the shadows shade, the birds chirping a morning melody, too distant to call their calls anything else, but the ants broke his capacity to keep on the track he had been on.

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The Russians did meddle. Giuliani even admits collusion. Whining isn't whining when its reality, son.

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Time to impeach the Orange moron.

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Remember all those pro-Trump mainland Chinese? Wonder how they feel now that their economy is shrinking and ZTE/Huawei will effectively be put of business by Congress. Too many Trump supporters are cucks like this.

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Hi. I am Doctor William Scott from Chattanooga, the fourth-largest city in Tennessee and one of the two principal cities of East Tennessee, along with Knoxville

Let us be blunt. In a time when communism threatens America from within (Sanders, AOC, Krugman, Pelosi, etc.) and from without (Red China, Macron, Putin, etc.), Mr. Trump needs a game changer that will allow him to retake the control of the situation and make America great again. A October surprise, but in January. I have a modest proposal.

President Trump should make a secret trip to Brazil. People would ask themselves where he is, which would suck air from the room.

In Brazil, Trump could sign a comprehensive cooperation treaty. Brazil's new leadership is very anti-Chinese e pro-American. Brazil shares our moral values and principles. Brazilians are weary of Chinese aggression, and a Brazilian group of Congressmen were mercilessly criticized for visiting Red China. Brazil and America have the same interests, but American leaders have been to shirtsighted to noticed that!!

I think such a diplomatic breakthough would be a game changer and make Democrats look stupid. Also, instead of consider Trump the president who lost Brazil, such a move would make history remark that only Trump could go to Brazil.

Please provide your bitcoin address so i can send you money

I do not have a bitcoin address. The dollar, who was good enough for Jefferson, Pierce and Reagan, is good enough for me. A dolar saved is a dollar earned.

I think you mean a dollar earned is one that you can save.

I was making reference to the fsmous sentence "A penny saved is a penny earned" usually attributed to famous statesman Benjamin Franklin. There is good reason, though, to think it is much older: https://www.phrases.org.uk/meanings/a-penny-saved-is-a-penny-earned.html

Wait a second, YOU are Doctor William Scott?!?

Can't be. Dr. Scott knows too much about Tennessee. No way an outsider could fake that.

No, it is a misunderstanding.

You seem to think the rib of adam isn't development as freedom.

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Thiago... is that you???

No. I am Doctor William Scott from Chattanooga, a city in Tennessee.

Sure you're in Chattanooga. Tell me what know about Rock City.

It is licated atop Lookout Mountain, just 6 miles from downtown Chattanooga. It is a true marvel of nature featuring massive ancient rock formations, gardens with over 400 native plant species, and breathtaking "See 7 States" panoramic views.

It sounds a wonderful place, Doctor. Almost as nice as some parts of Brazil.

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I love that Thiago thinks people from Chattanooga always add "a city in Tennessee" when introducing themselves.

Then again, he once posted that Spanish was the language of Brazil, so perhaps all of his personae are meant to be inherently stupid.

You, sir, are an idiot. What I mesnt was that Brazil is the only South American Portuguese speaking country surrounded by scores of Spanish speaking countries. I just misplaced the words "Spanish" and "Portuguese". Unless you want to say that someone thinks there is only one Spanish-speaking country in South America.

It is really sad to see the point the flames of anti-Brazilain hysteria, expertly and carefully stoked by malefactors of great wealth, have reached in today's America.

And then four years ago,

What?!

he had received a job offer from an advertising agency called Scylark on twenty-fourth street closer to Avenue of the Americas than Fifth Avenue. He scoured PubMed, BUJO, the BLS, NYT archives, and did research on the Four Color Theorem, Chess Databases, Our World in Data, and used Seven Habits of Highly Successful People and the Seven Steps in a Preliminary Search on US Patents as a reference guide, all the while taking a dissenting view on the prevailing paradigm of social media. Jonathon’s only conceit was that he compartmentalized (Michael friendenberg) his life, and he didn’t befriend anyone at the office

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Scores? there are six, eight if you include Ecuador and Chile which don't directly surround Brazil

Then, a sea of countries. "‘Whether tis nobler in the mind to suffer the slings and arrows of outrageous fortune, Or to take arms against a sea of troubles, And by opposing end them’."

Also, they are seven. You forgot so-called Uruguay.

1 Venezuela
2 Columbia
3 Ecuador(which has a dispute with Peru in that border area)
4 Peru
5 Bolivia
6 Paraguay
7 Argentina
8 Uruguay
9 Chile(not directly)

9-2 (Chile and so-called Ecuador) =7 As I said.

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Doctor Scott, I am President Trump. I think your idea is excellent, a really really great idea. You know that I am him because I like to post on the internet, usually I use Twitter but I wanted to reply to you personally.

Although I support your president Bolsonaro, my advisors tell me I cannot just disappear like that. American presidents have a lot of security personnel around them, and our every move is watched closely. Plus those awful Democrats would pitch a fit.

I will reach out to President Bolsonaro today to offer support. I appreciate normal Americans like yourself coming up with good ideas like this one. Especially ones from states that voted for me, like Tennessee!

I know that President Bolsonaro will make Brazil great again, just as I am making America great again. Thank you for your support.

"Although I support your president Bolsonaro, my advisors tell me I cannot just disappear like that. American presidents have a lot of security personnel around them, and our every move is watched closely."

Yet, Presidents make surprise visits to troops all the time. The secret just would have to be kept a little longer than it is usual. Tell the Democrats to go suck a lemmon.

Brazil's President Captain Bolsonaro has been showed great leadership. Yet, he has not yet been visited by the American president (not even when he was facing death after a leftist terrorist attack). Yet, Macron, Prince Salman and Kim Jong-un have met with America's president. The message those facts send is awful. It is time to act and support our allies, Mr. President.

I really like your style, William! Maybe if you get tired of being a doctor I can hire you for my administration!

I will direct my Chief of Staff Mick Mulvaney to look into implementing this idea. I will support President Bolsonaro to the end!

Thank you, sir. I think you will see it is a great chance to advance your own ideas and drain the swamp. Furthermore, Brazil has not being affected by the shutdown and has lots of great food. You can take the Clemson Tigers with you if you want.
The important thing is getting momentum and making it clear that the Administration has a great agenda the Democrats can not disrupt. Remember: only Trump could have gone to Brazil.

So it has come to this. As the contradictions of the American regime hasten its collapse, citizens in Tennessee urge their leader to tell the opposing political party to overingest citrus fruits.

Maybe if the opposing political party stopped obstructing, it would not be necessary.

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I am lovin' this exchange between the Doctor and the President!!! Amazing improvisation!

Thank you. I have given much thought to this game changer political action.

I wash myself with a rag on a stick.

I am being impersonated.

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1. Unless one has been part of youth sports, one cannot imagine the lengths parents will go, and the amount of money they will spend, to turn their child into the next superstar athlete. I attribute this to a combination of celebrity culture, the mimetic theory popularized by Rene Girard, and ignorance. My sport was baseball. I coached what's called a "travel team", which means a youth baseball team that practices and plays year-round: it's called a "travel team" because the team travels from city to city to play in tournaments. I devoted four to five years of my life to travel baseball. Was I delusional like the other parents? Probably, as I believed my godson was destined for the major leagues. Like all of the boys, he eventually dropped the sport, having grown tired of the year-round effort and having adopted more mature hobbies (such as girls). As my travel team gradually disintegrated, others came along behind to pursue the dream of the superstar athlete. [Baseball, in particular, is not the sport with the best odds for achieving superstar status. For one, college baseball scholarships are limited (11.7 total scholarships for a team with a roster of 35-40 players). For another, at any given time there are at least 6,500 professional minor league baseball players. Do the math.]

Not to mention destroying young arms.

The evidence against the travel ball mentality is overwhelming, leaving only the rationale that all the other talented kids are doing it.

The problem with opting out of travel is that it often means opting out of high performing ball as well

Or because the boys of the other parents are doing it. Girard was a genius, yet very few have even heard of him. Did Thiel invest in Facebook because of Girard's influence on him? Probably.

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It is basically an ad for a nanny/manny with a special skill--it says child care is also part of the gig. And the pay is not much more than mid- to high-end childcare here in NYC. I assume that London is no cheaper on that front. I guarantee you thousands of parents in NYC would pay $96k for a nanny with an in at St. Ann's admissions. Not sure how this is even newsworthy. In fact, it may be simply a clever way to draw attention to the post.

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I coached travel baseball for several years, and I never knew anyone who thought their kid was gonna go pro.

One kid from our team actually ended up as a D1 quarterback though. Different sport, but I like to think I left my mark.

My nephew played in Phoenix on a team with this kid who thought he would turn pro. He got 148 ABs in the show for Oakland in 2017.

Not so many pro fantasies as perhaps college scholarship dreams

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#1 Cuckmeister-General, you have been summoned. Do thy worst.

#3 Yes. Now being one in a million in China will mean having to compete with only 800-1000 people instead of 1,300. Just more consolidation for the 1%.

#4 Mint-condition Star Wars Legos were smoking-hot for a while until recently. I wonder why?

#5 Blade-Runner futurists rejoice.

#7 Finally, a forthcoming lawsuit that will end this silly practice. Screencap this.

#7 - I have an emotion support AK15.

Seriously, old people in nursing homes (not quite there, yet) may obtain "emotional support" by watching on YouTube the antics of a small flock of laying hens or of college kids.

I have an emotional support fainting goat, but it's less than ideal. I have anger issues and yell a lot. Maybe I should try the alligator. I understand they have a different reaction to surprises...

12× Gold Glove Award (1961–1972).
Pittsburgh Pirates No. 21 retired

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3. I didn't read the link because I wanted to share the population projection for China I read several years ago. The mid-range projection then was that China's population would continue to grow the first half of this century, and then decline by roughly 400 million during the second half. Again, that's the mid-range projection. You think a population decline of 400 million, which is more than the population of the U.S., might have serious economic, social, and political ramifications.

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5. Google is planning to convert the windshield of autonomous cars into billboards. Duh.

So, that's the angle. Google "innovation" is mostly how to put more of their crap on my screen. Soon it will be impossible to find the content .

Google first attempted to build an autonomous car. Ha ha ha! They abandoned that silly effort and went back to software and ads. Tech.

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Not quite. They are building self driving cars so you can spend more time attending to ads.

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2. What if regulation is not what is limiting innovation?

Will they accept papers that propose breaking up monopolies, reforming patent law, and modifying the tax code to prevent incumbents from amassing huge anticompetitive war chests?

MR is a safe space for monopoly and inequality. Don't intrude on the safe space.

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"Sponsored by Charles Koch".........."goal is to impact policy".... thanks but no thanks

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Evil Kochspiracy!!!

So much so one of the authors of this blog published a study that said the opposite.

Apparently the record for intellectual integrity is 100% for Koch funded profs. When they disagree they publish anyways. Night and day....

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I agree in general with what you are saying and we absolutely need to go all Roosevelt (Teddy and Franklin) on them but fewer regulations and more streamlined rules for small businesses couldn't hurt.

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#1. Only $96,000 per annum to turn their kids into athletes? Good luck with that. Sending them the support alligator would arguably be more effective.

And you can always turn the gator into a purse

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Definitely not enough money for purpose. You need someone who is good enough to be an assistant coach in a pro league. Those people probably get paid more than that.

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That first headline is ominous. When genetic engineering and being born into great wealth are combined, can that really be called equal opportunity? The cultural preferences will be to go with the well bred/designed and coached versus a random genetic offspring that is self motivated. Would the latter even get a chance to prove oneself?

Is it really that different from the private schools, full time tutors, and quasi arranged marriages of the rich?

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You "hit the nail on the head." It's nature not nurture.

You can't teach or train aggressiveness, quickness, size, hand-eye coordination, etc. You may be able to instill an iron will, but that isn't enough.

If Mom and or Dad don't pass on those genes, there is no hope for a pro career.

Archie Manning's two sons (Payton and Eli) and Pat Mahommes' son (Patrick) are proverbial "chips off the old block." I'm not saying their pro careers were automatic, but they inherited the "wheels."

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Equality of opportunity is overrated.

Underrated: Exceeding expectations.

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#3 I'd comment more, but I need to go use my toxic masculine traits to help my wife with a potentially dangerous crisis in a couple minutes.

Are you gonna the insect in a paper towel and let it free outside, or just smush it?

The true toxic masculine answer is to save it in a paper towel and let it free outside. Women *always* want you to smush it.

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Do you cry into your pillow at night because you found your wife enjoying lotsa black cocksa? That's really masculine.

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Alligators make total sense as support animals. They must be wise, they've been around like a hundred times longer than dogs and cats. Plus, they never have a bad day - they're always smiling.

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So could we have a list of traditional masculine traits that the APA does not consider 'toxic' and in need of remediation? Bueller?

And aren't some of the supposedly toxic traits (adventure, competitiveness, self-reliance) exactly the kinds of things celebrated in ubiquitous 'go girl!' messages?

If you're trying to imply that this is just some sort of relative status game, well...you're probably correct about that.

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I eagerly await the missive about toxic femininity. Passive aggression that achieves nothing except pissing people off, fear of confrontation that results in low salaries, obsession with children that distracts from productive activity, catfighting, neurosis...

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1: Two hours three times a week is not much. Kids that aren't already playing four hours a day of their own volition are probably not going to make up that gap with specialist training. Reading between the lines, they're stuck in an environment with limited opportunities for the type of lengthy, unstructured play with kids their age that forms the youth training of the best players. The fact that the kids are not born to professional players and are already (at 8 and 10) not within a sufficiently challenging youth system ("easily the best on their team") means their chances at high-level professional soccer are low.

That said, I don't think the salary is outrageous and a good candidate can easily make two hours of soccer fun. (The major worry is that they'll hire someone who can teach and won't have this skill.) I played for hours and hours growing up and never burned out or tired of the sport in any real sense. And even if they aren't top professionals, there are infinite pro, semi-pro, and recreational tiers in Europe so it's not like their skills'll be wasted. Looked at as an "investment" in letting the kids push to their natural limits in a difficult, competive skill vs. an "investment" to be paid off with future wages, it seems fine.

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"The Center for Innovative Governance Research is pleased to announce our Technology Zones White Paper Competition: “Towards a New Regulatory Framework”. The winner will receive a $10,000 prize and second place will receive a $5,000 prize.

Technological progress in the U.S. is stagnant. America’s technological stagnation is responsible for both the decay of our global technological leadership and the increasing concentration of industry in a few geographical hotspots.

Our burdensome and increasingly outdated federal regulatory system bears some responsibility for this slowdown. The modern American administrative state was built during an era in which most innovations came from large, slow-moving corporations, at times in conjunction with the government. But this is no longer the case, and as the nature of innovation changes, so too must our regulatory system. Reversing course requires a bold, new regulatory framework."

Watch AMD, they are building an AI coprocessor which allows extremely fast AI algorithms. These new chips can spot a government inefficiency in a moment by watch for 'out of money' moves in the government transaction flow, moments when the government agencies suddenly behave irrationally. Mathematically provable result, as long as we assume 'economic minimization of transaction counts' is good outcome. In other words, if you think efficiency means always finding the small savings in a budget, then the AMD chips can spot violations everywhere in government.

I’d be willing to bet that the vast majority of basic research is being done with government involvement. Either directly or via grants and subsidies at least via tax preferences and public universities.

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5. Russian company wants to put giant ads in low-earth orbit.

I have the perfect ad:

"Sunlight, only $250 million per day!"

Heh.

The first comment on that tweet was about starting a company to blow those billboards out of the sky, called Adblocker Kinetic.

A reference to an episode in Boiardo's Orlando innamorato, in whihch Agricane's army, consisting, (consonant?) of "twenty-two hundred thousand knights," laid to Albracca. .276

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#3a seems like a good example of media narrative vs reality. The article says this:

"A report, issued this month by the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences, is the latest recognition that while China’s notorious “one child” policy may have achieved its original aim of slowing population growth, it has also created new challenges for the government."

And yet is positioned directly below a chart which seems to show China's population growth rate and been declining for about a decade before the one child policy was introduced. Whats more, a few years after that policy was introduced, growth rates actually begin to rise.

Whats more, the report they cite (or, at least, the google translation that i skimmed) makes no mention of the one child policy at all.

The evidence that the one child policy is to blame seems to rest entirely on the word of "Yi Fuxian, a professor at the University of Wisconsin-Madison" who is quoted extensively throughout the rest of the article.

In classic NYT fashion, they do briefly mention (11 paragraphs in) that
other factors might be at play, saying "As in other countries, there are myriad reasons for the declining birth rate, including rising prosperity and new opportunities for women. "

Having briefly mentioned that the chart they highlight doesn't at all support the narrative they are pushing, they then go back to the narrative for the rest of the article.

Shockingly, China had a two child policy for about a decade before it had a one child policy. Also during the early 70s there was the Whole Cultural Revolution thing where the stability to have a family was just a wee bit suspect.

What we know is that early on Mao's government officially encouraged mass fertility. This saw China double in population in just a few decades with a total fertility of around 6. We saw the population starve in the Great Leap Forward, and births plummeted. We saw them rebound and then began to fall with the Cultural Revolution and with the government's push for a "two child" policy. Once the one-child policy was enacted you had both the demographic inertia from the post-Great Leap Forward baby boom and individuals trying to exploit exceptions before they believed them to be closed. In the mid-80s we saw another rise when some provisions of the one child policy were relaxed.

I am sure that fertility was falling on its own ... I just doubt it would fall this quickly absent decades of government intervention.

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#1 The dad, the one who "was pushed down a more academic route", probably had immigrant parents who smacked him in the head when he wanted to play soccer. Now he's over-compensating, not realizing that he can afford his kids' soccer fantasies precisely because he was forced into that academic route.

Not sure about that pal. I went to academic route, it didn't pay off with an extra 100K per year to throw around.

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#1 - wouldn't they be better off using that money to buy lottery tickets?

Instead they're going to push their kids into this where they top-out at mid-level pro-am while not having any other skills to back them up. You think you don't like your 'corporate job'? Imagine how much the kids won't like hustling soccer for a living at that level. Not, 'I work a meh job and play pro-am on the side because I enjoy it' but 'I play pro-am and hustle side-jobs as I can'.

And the whole 'I don't like my job' - as if that's important. A huge chunk of your life is spent not-at-work. Make *that part* better.

These guys can afford to live in London AND have an extra $100K a year to throw around like that? I'm sure their jobs aren't that meh.

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"While not having any other skills to back them up" - cite? I'd imagine these kids are both high academic performers.

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#4 Doh!

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#3

Japan's "youth" population peaked in '91 and their working age population peaked in '95. Japan's total population (including old people) peaked in '05. If China's total population (not just working age) peaked last year, China would only be 13 years behind Japan demographically speaking, not 20 years like most of us assumed.

If so, gotta love the one child policy (from a crude Realist IR perspective).

The pan-East Asian dynamics are pretty interesting here. Across the world, development coincides with a high expectation of achieved status and resources before marriage and child rearing takes place. Add that to high East Asian adherence to these norms, and you get East Asian baby busts that are even harder than in the West. Though even within the West, there's a difference between the Central Europeans, with more rule adherence in culture (Germany, Poland, Czech, Hungary) and the more freewheeling North and West (Sweden, Britain, France), and the same differences mirrored in the colonies.

In these baby bust times, its hard to remember that fears of overpopulation were real. At the time, though, it was not clear if economic development would reduce birthrates and solve the problem. You also need to realize that many people still believe in the Malthusian limits to growth with regards to natural resources with the usual response about how "3 Earth's worth of resources would be needed to uplift the rest of the world to U.S. economic standards" being the sort of thing trotted out by these people. There will always be pressure to further reduce birthrates everywhere as long as these sentiments continue to exist. As a result, the political pressure to further reduce birthrates will not abate until either there are no kids left or until we start mining asteroids. I prefer the asteroid mining.

Is it really 'political' pressure reducing birthrates? Don't really see that in the US. And is it plausible that the entire world, every continent, has falling birthrates due to 'political' pressure? It's really more simple than that, affluence = reduced fertility, as M says above you.

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3b another great leap forward for meme zombies.
so if a large American pshycological group cant get
their studies to reproduce why not get a razor seller
to sell your narrative for you.

you know there was probably a American psychologicial ass. meeting where somebody said
well boys the science is pretty shakey and we mangle the dictionary,
think outside the box
lets get Gillette on the phone and see if we can salvage this mess

It's Coleridge, bro.

water water everwhere
also a lotta cat hair

old earls nads once fair
Just lay there bleeding
theres probly a link

is the poem about
toxic masculinity or toxoplasmosis?
At the end of the day
poets let the reader decide

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##1 Read the fine prints for the job requirements written by the children,

Desperate parents list nanny job with very generous pay packet for kids with ‘challenging behaviour’. IT COMES with a huge salary, reasonable hours, accommodation and very generous holidays. But it also has one glaring catch.

1. We want to play football and other stuff with them
2. I want them to play Fortnite and FIFA with me
3. I want them to be fun and not have any rules and we want to stay up to whatever time we want
4. We want to make cakes every day and have pizza for dinner all the time
5. We don’t want them to be angry with us ever
6. They have to do all of our homework and I don’t want to do any chores

The pay advertised to look after two children is peanut compare to what others might offer. T
hey might also be tax deductable as personal assistant expenses. Example of what others might have p
aid.

K's son is allegely a mediocre student in high school, allegely commented by one of the high school
official. K allegedly pledged $250K per year over 10 years to a university. That exclude the allege plan B donations to other universities, together with other donations to hospitals and other charity organizations allegely to over $100 millions.

K's son seems to be a bit smarter, he might have spent only about $100K per year to hire a Mandarin speaking Chinese tiger nanny for his daughter who can recite Chinese poems at a young age and might also already provided some diplomatic edge. K's grand daughter might be able to enter THE university by her own merit, saving the potentially $2.5 million donation to the university.

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Soccer is by far the most competitive sport on the planet earth. The kids would have to be exceptionally talented to make it to that level even with an army of coaches. If they're unbelievably lucky, they might make the 4th division and won't have the pleasure of complaining about having high paying corporate jobs that they hate (from the article).

How about Olympic curling?

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#1: Is there a mafia / money laundering angle to this? perhaps the parents are not bored corporate drones.

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Technology zones would be nice, but why not try the same with Manufacturing zones. Goal is not to skirt environmental regulations but to lighten up on labor regulations and allow manufacturing employers (and worker owned coops!) the freedom to measure and filter out low productivity workers, as is common in the tech sector.

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