Sunday assorted links


#3 That would be the romulan tractor beam sending it on it's way to earth to speak to humpback whales. Probe should get here in about 150 years. Saw it in a movie once.

#4 Spongiforma squarepantsii. I love it when scientists have fun.

#5 "Society needs a balance of personality types, including some disagreeables" I swear I read that first as "deplorables". Even with the substitution, still true.

6) Still puzzled by how this guy can be the most talked-about novelist on Earth right now but there's no US version of Seratonin planned until next year? Is that lag-time typical?

Translation is hard. Unless you translated side by side 6 months sounds pretty quick.

Errr "next year" seems reasonable too.

There is a fair amount written on the nuances of translation online. I have no special knowledge

I'm sure you're right about that -- but how long has the book been in production already? You'd think the publisher would have someone top-notch working on the manuscript earlier in the process.

(Or just use that program that translates the Wiki page when I look up some Norwegian rock band!)

It's already available in German:

#7: Watson got the Watson treatment a second time. The unaccomplished NYT SJW didn't need any references to disprove the statements of Watson, and the 80 present of the NYT commenters that participated in the cruzifictio also didn't provide any references, because the science is in!

Strangely enough, the heretics provided references from peer reviewed journals, which I found very confusing, as I thought progressives believe in the scientific process, and Watson's claims can be falsified.

I skimmed the NYT comments. Lots of heritics to be burned!

Maybe better not to burn them all on account of the carbon emissions.

Imma gonna steal that.

I like how your comment completely missed the point as though comments on the internet matter more than the thing itself.

We bring this new #7 here because Marginal Revolution is a known racist clubhouse?

There was a lengthy discussion on a previous thread about partisanship and evidence based thinking.

This is clearly an example where one side shuts down in response to a “sacred belief” that cannot be questioned.

The opposite, really. You hide hear from genetic science.

2) Americans really love to kowtow.

Bolsonaro likes to bow to China:

No, he does not. He has vowed to block key Red Chinese investments. Mr. Araújo, his Foreign Affairs Minister, has promised to oppose Red China and uphold Christianity against Red Atheism.

"Welfare Queens of Jerusalem"

after many years of sociology
the murder rate in baltimore usa has increased to 56/100,000
and in brazil about 27/100,000
could bolsonaro use our extra sociologists?

No. Brasil has reached self-suficiency in Sociology.

Lol, and then some.

In the last few years, Brazil has doubled its Sociology capabilities.

4. Some of those are kinda weak, e.g. Chebychev's inequality. He proved it, he should get the honors.

#3: Payload. Locate the payload, before its too late...

#3. Old news. Didn't I see this here in Nov'18? Maybe, IDK. The problem with the idea that it's an interstellar craft using a solar sail as a means of propulsion is that it is tumbling and so this won't actually work. The solar sail was justified because the object's speed seemed to be nonballistic, but you shouldn't invoke a source of propulsion which wouldn't be effective with the objects other known characteristics (or at least be very careful in making any claims).

It'd be interesting to see if a collision (or close approach) to some other object could explain its apparent change in speed....

My understanding from several months ago is that this is a normal thing driven by out-gassing (caused by the heat of the sun). In this case, no out-gassing was observed, leading to speculation about other possibilities. But it was also noted that just because no out-gassing was observed it does not mean it did not happen. This object was just barely spotted.

" The problem with the idea that it's an interstellar craft using a solar sail as a means of propulsion is that it is tumbling and so this won't actually work. "

I thought the premise was that it was an old solar sail that was just tumbling through space. Not an actively working solar sail.

Yes, it is old. Yes it still needs a good explanation.

Submission is hardly new. Read it in French then in first US English version 4 years ago. Interesting but not Earth shattering. Although it did provoke me to read a whole bunch on Nativism's history over last 2 centuries that I would not otherwise have done.

The review is for his new novel, Serotonin.

1: Floriography, interesting. We still have red roses and black roses, but that's a much less rich vocabulary. OTOH, we do have emojis now, so why say it with flowers?

The notion that floriography was especially used by women reminds me of the writing system that Chinese women developed to communicate between themselves. But I don't think their system was disguised within objects such as flowers.

The notion of the pansy representing thought made me wonder if the phrase "a penny for your thoughts" started as "a pansy for your thoughts" but apparently it did not. However wikipedia does say that the word "pansy" comes from the French "pensee" i.e. thought.

The article has several internal contradictions. If floriography was a code mostly restricted to women, it would have been mostly useless as the proported means of romantic communication with men. If it became popular after 1763, was Shakespeare's use of it targeted to some earlier narrow audience? Most suspiciously, the existence of complex written novels of relationship in plain English (Austen and E.Bronte are mentioned) renders the idea of a repressive society which demands that women "perhaps above all abide by a degree of silence" a little bit silly. Future writers will tell our descendents that 20th century nerds were forced to communicate in Sindarin because our culture prohibited them from speaking in plain English.

#3. The problem with drawing any conclusions about Oumouamoua is that we have an extremely thin dataset. Even its shape is open to interpretation and may not be anything like what's depicted in the article.

The most likely cause of its 'acceleration' is outgassing. We didn't see a cometary tail when it went around the sun, so we assumed it doesn't have any volatiles that could be boiled off into space. But when facing an unknown, it's always best to assume that there's a natural explanation we don't understand. In the case of Oumouamoua, the amount of information we have about it is so small that we'll likely get 'novel' interpretations forever. And we will never have any more information about it than we already have, since it's now too far away to detect and it's never coming back. We never even imaged it as anything other than a single pixel - our assumption about its long thin shape is purely derived from the blinking light curve it exhibited. But other attempts to deduce shapes from light curves have met with little success, so the shape of the thing is at best an educated guess.

But if we could put money down on an answer that we'll get sometime in the future, my money would be that it's just an oddly shaped object behaving totally naturally, but in a combination that's just not common and slightly outside our experience.

Stop Making Sense

I agree. That one pixel is giving birth to a lot of speculation. Loeb is already pushing for a light sail to send probes to the stars and Oumuamua is too convenient for him to pass up. Based on the light curve, it seems like the object is tumbling, which would make deployment of the sail a problem.

6. Don't know much about Houellebecq but he may be just pandering to this feeling of ennui. But France has always been Nationalistic to an extreme. People yearn for the good old days when France was France and men were men, or mostly men.

You display a link to "Klassic Klingisms". Imagine my dismay after joyfully clicking and expecting great Star Trek Klingon quotes only to find Arnold Kling...

It's a good list, with lots of common sense. My main question is over his concerns on the financial solvency of the US government due to pensions/social security. I think this is a highly unlikely event. As the Japanese show the amount of Government debt can be very high in a fiat currency system without precipitating a crisis as in any "run" the money can always be printed.

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