The polarization of hurricane opinion?

A difference-in-differences analysis demonstrates that Trump/Clinton vote share strongly predicts evacuation rates, but only after the emergence of conservative-media dismissals of hurricane warnings in September 2017, just before Irma made landfall in Florida. Following this viral “hurricane trutherism”, we estimate that Trump-voting Florida residents were 10-11% less likely to evacuate Irma than Clinton-voters (34% vs. 45%) after controlling for key demographic and
geographic covariates, highlighting one consequence of political polarization.

Here is the full paper, by Elisa F. Long, M. Keith Chen, and Ryne Rohla.  Via the excellent Kevin Lewis.


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