Reader request for recent jazz CDs

Out here in Japan I am going through some of the old requests; here is one:

Recommendations re new jazz recordings

I have a few:

1. Anything by Brad Mehldau; he is a very subtle pianist, broadly in the mold of Bill Evans.  Start with his CD with Pat Metheny.

2. Saudades, by Trio Beyond.  Excellent guitar work on every cut; bluesy, lots of organ.

3. Pakistani Pomade, by Alexander von Schlippenbach; the sort of jazz that hurts most people’s ears.

4. Ramasuri, by Max Nagl.  An exhilarating blast, with strong overtones of Klezmer.

Those are my favorites from the last two years or so.  What do you all recommend?

Cap and trade vs. carbon taxes

Brad DeLong sums up:

I would say that to first order cap-and-trade and carbon taxes are the same, that there are five first-order differences:

  • Cap-and-trade involves less redistribution because the losses of
    the losers are partially offset by their initial awards of tradeable
    permits.
  • Cap-and-trade runs the risk that the cap will be set at the wrong
    place and so the price will go damagingly above its social optimum
    value.
  • Carbon taxes run the risk that the tax will be set too low and so
    the quantity emitted will go damagingly above its social optimum value.
  • Carbon taxes have the advantage that the government gets money that
    it can use for good–either to cut existing taxes that have large
    deadweight losses or to expand underfunded programs that have large
    social benefits.
  • Carbon taxes have the disadvantage that the government gets money
    that it can use for ill, and that the recipients and beneficiaries of
    that ill-used money will then dig in and defend their rent-seeking
    gains beyond death itself.

and that there are two third-order differences:

  • It’s easier to get not-too-bright Republicans to vote against
    something that is actually in their long-run interest if you can
    demagogue it by calling it a tax.
  • It’s easier to get not-too-bright Democrats to vote for something
    that actually is not in their long-run interest if you can demagogue it
    by claiming that it’s just a restriction on the behavior of corporations and not something that directly impacts people.

The fourth-order considerations would, of course, look at time consistency problems and irreversibility problems.

Where Pretty Lies Perish

Roissy promotes an aggressively instrumentalist view of the sexes; imagine Larry David as a scoreman plus make the language of the monologues ruder and more offensive.  He also thinks like an economist and uses marginalism:
"Smells bad. (when a shower isn’t going to help your cause, why bother?)"

My question is which parameter value he
incorrectly estimates; after all, he is not just evil he is also imprudent in missing the joys of monogamy and matrimony.  I believe that most of all, he underestimates his transparency to his observers in
real life.  I sometimes call this
the endogeneity of face to thought and thus his face must be somewhat evil too.  Since his strategies cause him to spend time only with women he can fool, he doesn’t correctly perceive how he is wrecking his broader reputation; the same is probably true for the rest of us as well.    

(But IS he evil?  Is there not a theorem which suggests that
rule-governed sweet young things will in fact overinvest in the rule
and, if you could selectively induce "rule disengagement," human
welfare might rise?  But no…that theorem was refuted some time ago.)

Can he still be saved by a good woman?  Indeed there are so many good women out there and yet not one has saved him to date.  If only he would read Henry James’s "Beast in the Jungle."

Poor Roissy.  Poor, poor Roissy.  Here’s his advice for much older men who wish to attract 25-year-old women:

Bear in mind that younger women (barring a few notable golddigger
exceptions) are not as practical as older women. They are more
whimsical, flirty, passionate, and romantic, and this means you will
get more mileage having a youthful outlook, being recklessly
spontaneous, maintaining a high level of energy, and focusing on the
emotional connections, than you would tempting them with the allure of
financial stability and security.

Japanese gadget of the day

No, it’s not the glasses-cleaning machine or for that matter the Tenga.  Rather, if it is raining, and you enter one of the fancier department stores, they put out a machine which allows you to very rapidly shrink wrap your umbrella.  You just plunge your umbrella in and it takes about two seconds.  The point is that you don’t drip water from your umbrella across the whole department store.  Simple, no?

And if that doesn’t convince you to visit Japan, maybe Human Tetris will.

Cap and trade vs. carbon tax

Robert Samuelson writes:

Unless we find cost-effective ways of reducing the role of fossil fuels, a
cap-and-trade system will ultimately break down. It wouldn’t permit satisfactory
economic growth. But if we’re going to try to stimulate new technologies through
price, let’s do it honestly. A straightforward tax on carbon would favor
alternative fuels and conservation just as much as cap-and-trade but without the
rigid emission limits. A tax is more visible and understandable. If
environmentalists still prefer an allowance system, let’s call it by its proper
name: cap-and-tax.

Mark Thoma gets upset at this passage, here is Ryan Avent, Brad DeLong and Matt Yglesias, all upset.  Avent was the fount of the opposition:

Yowza. As any economist worth his or her salt will tell you, a cap and
trade plan with auctioned permits is essentially identical to a carbon
tax. That also happens to be exactly what Barack Obama is proposing.
So, another way for Samuelson to have written this column would have
been to title it, “Barack Obama has a good plan to reduce carbon
emissions."

But Samuelson is correct here and Avent is misleading.  When there is uncertainty about the location of the social optimum, and uncertainty about elasticities, a carbon tax and cap-and-trade are by no means equivalent.  If you see very high costs from setting the binding cap too low and choking off growth — as Samuelson mentions — you should prefer the carbon tax.  The price of carbon is more certain and you bear less risk from uncertainty about how fast solar power and other technologies will develop.  Alternatively, you might say that risk is transformed into price risk rather than "you can’t exceed this cap no matter what" risk.

Of course the postulated uncertainties are realistic in this context and you don’t have to invoke uncertainty about the science of global warming. 

If there is very high environmental risk to having emissions above a certain level, and we are unsure about the relevant elasticities (again, uncertainty about the pace of technological development can drive this), that militates in favor of cap and trade.  It is then easier to ensure that emissions do not exceed a particular level.

You can see that we are comparing the "growth threshold problem" to the "environment threshold problem."  Samuelson is apparently more worried about the former than the latter.  Maybe he shouldn’t be so sure he is focusing on the right problem, but on the economics he is on the mark in the criticized passage.

Addendum: Here is Mark Thoma with more on the topic, here is Megan McArdle on same.

Markets in everything, Japanese edition

The Otaku are at it again:

So the niches are always getting narrower. Maid cafes have been the rage for about four years now, and a true otaku
would never be satisfied to go to any old one. There must be a fetish
about the experience. Perhaps you’d like to put your head on the maid’s
lap and let her groom your ears. "Let me show you an extra-special
level of nuttiness," Lewis says. He leads me to a shop called Candy
Fruit, where a maid cafe once stood. It’s now a shop selling glasses to
two specific breeds of client: women who want glasses to wear with
their maid uniforms. And men who want to buy their glasses from a woman
in a maid’s costume wearing glasses.

The entire article is interesting.

Does fast food really make us fat?

Matsa and Anderson next looked at data on individual eating habits from
a survey conducted between 1994 and 1996. When eating out, people
reported consuming about 35 percent more calories on average than when
they ate at home. But importantly, respondents reduced their caloric
intake at home on days they ate out (that’s not to say that people were
watching their weight, since respondents who reported consuming more at
home also tended to eat more when going out). Overall, eating out
increased daily caloric intake by only 24 calories.

The researchers also find that greater access to fast food restaurants, as created by new highway construction, doesn’t much matter for weight.  Here is more, including a link to the original paper.

Hegel, or Department of Yikes

Eric, a loyal MR reader, asks:

Could you comment on
Hegel?  What do you make of his argument regarding the desire for
recognition as a fundamental driving force of history.  I have not read
much of Hegel, but this idea was attributed to him in Francis
Fukuyama’s "The End of History."

My competence here is low but who I am to turn down a loyal reader?  I have looked at every page of Hegel’s Phenomenology of Spirit — usually considered his most profound work — but I can hardly claim to have read it.  Maybe the Master-Slave dialectic was profound at the time but, frankly, I considered the book a waste of time and I couldn’t keep on paying attention.  Philosophy of Right and Philosophy of History are more coherent (the writings on aesthetics also) and every now and then Hegel is striking prescient or otherwise brilliant, such as when he is writing about the forthcoming nature of bourgeois commercial society.  But "every now and then" is the operative phrase here.  Mostly you read him because he has been an influential thinker.  A few points:

1. He is more of a classical liberal than most people think.  The correct translation does not in fact have him writing: "The State is the march of God in the world."  And he had a very well-developed theory of property rights.

2. "Thesis-Antithesis-Synthesis" is a very bad representation of what Hegel believed.

3. The whole Hegelian structure becomes more plausible once you see it as motivated by the belief that philosophy had become truly, absolutely stuck after Hume and Kant.  Hegel thought that his "moves" were required to get out of the mess that preceded him.  I prefer the pragmatic turn myself.

4. I very much like Charles Taylor’s book on Hegel.  I do not think it is what "Hegel really meant" but perhaps it is what "Hegel would have had to have really meant, had some smart people like Robin Hanson pinned his back against the wall, lectured him about futarchy, and made him write shorter sentences to boot."

5. I believe that the secondary literature on Hegel is fraught with danger and is highly unreliable.

On the desire for recognition, yes it is a fundamental driving force (ask any blogger) although it was a well-known eighteenth century idea.

Overall I don’t think much people should spend much time with Hegel, although if someone tells me he found it a revelation, I don’t think him crazy.

Michael Stack, a loyal MR reader, asks

When I was in 5th grade I participated in a charity event called "Jump Rope For Heart". People donated a certain amount of money per rope jump. I found myself wondering why it was structured that way – after all, people didn’t really care whether I jumped or not.

Many charitable events are structured this way, though typically they involve public walking.

Why do they work this way? Why not ask for lump-sum donations rather than having a bunch of people dig fence post holes? Is it make-work bias? Is it the labor theory of value? Maybe instead my willingness to jump/walk or otherwise participate indicates my commitment to the cause and in some sense certifies the event? A band-wagon effect? Maybe the dollar amount per unit of effort (jump, miles walked, etc) is so low that it induces people to donate more money than they would otherwise?

Rather than paying somebody to do busy-work, why not instead pay people to do something productive, such as soliciting even more donations?

Consider publicity as the main scarcity a charity faces.  If you elicit volunteers to walk, run or skip rope for you, those persons will talk up the activity — and the charity — to their friends, both ex ante and ex post.  They’ll even wear your T-Shirt "Cystic Fibrosis Marathon."

Since most of the people are exercisers anyway, the charitable activity doesn’t cost them much on net.  In fact the exercise is one way of expressing a greater commitment to the charity and may encourage subsequent donations.  Commitment, of course, is not infinitely elastic in supply.  So some of the person’s commitment may be transferred to the charity and away from the ideal of personal exercise.  Counterintuitively, in the long run the person may end up less fit but more committed to the charity.  In other words you’re paying with some of your health and discipline rather than with your money.

What your funeral music says about you

Here’s an interesting article about the Brits, many of whom prefer "Always Look on the Bright Side of Life," the Monty Python song, for their funerals.  My probably unrealistic (and not morally binding) vision of my funeral is to forbid any tributes or even spoken words but make everyone sit through Brahms’s Ein Deutsches Requiem (Kempe or Klemperer versions, about 79 minutes long) and then simply close the event and send everybody home.

Whether this is an aesthetic preference, or whether I don’t want to let them talk themselves out of weeping over my death, I am not sure.

eBook sales are way up

Penguin has reported that e-book sales from the first four months of
2008 have surpassed the house’s total e-book sales for all of last
year. According to the publisher, the spike is "more than five times
the overall growth in sales, year-on-year, through April 2008." Penguin
Group CEO David Shanks said he attributed the jump, in large part, to
the growing popularity of e-book readers. 

Here is the link and right here you can buy Discover Your Inner Economist in Kindle form (it’s also available as a Sony eBook) and paperback as well, here is the Amazon link.

Addendum: Here is more on the economics of Kindle.