…I hate candidate blogging, but here is my neck on the line. Obama faces too high a chance of self-destruction through scandal, meltdowns, and lack of testing at the national level. Hillary has too many people who won’t change their mind about her, is too unpopular with suburban Cincinnati housewives, and looks shrill and ugly on TV. Americans are tired of family dynasties in the White House. Edwards has the best chance of any Democrat but won’t get the nomination. Democrats do well when voters’ main concern is the economy, not foreign policy; that won’t be the case. No matter how badly Iraq goes it helps the Republicans, who benefit from an emphasis on foreign policy, an area where Democrats are never trusted. It is the Democrats who will tear themselves apart over Iraq, not the Republicans. The evangelicals hate a Mormon candidate more than an immoral candidate; the latter allows them to stay unified. McCain looks too old these days, and he peaked too early, so I’ll predict Giuliani as our next President. Speeding up the primaries will make it harder for the Christian Right to sabotage him. Rudy has many political negatives, including his name, his home state, and his flamboyant personal history, but all will be neutralized when his opponent is Hillary Clinton.
Don’t expect to hear about this topic again.