# Remember, remember the 5th of November

Ron Paul has now passed Fred Thompson in the probability of winning the Republican nomination. According to Intrade, Paul has a probability of winning the nomination of 8.8%. (Guiliani (42.0%) and Romney (27.6%) are first and second.)

In closely related news, Paul raised $4.2 million yesterday. V.

Thanks to Barry Klein and Tim Groseclose for the tips.