Sherlock Holmes on prediction markets

"When you see a man with whiskers of that cut and the ‘Pink ‘un‘ protruding out of his pocket, you can always draw him by a bet," said he.  "I daresay that if I had put £100 down in front of him, that man would not have given me such complete information as was drawn from him by the idea that he was doing me on a wager.

That is from Adventure of the Blue Carbuncle and of course the link is added by yours truly.  The latest news from the prediction markets, by the way, is that the U.S. basketball team is given about a 75 percent chance of taking home the gold medal.


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