Predictious is the premier Bitcoin betting market

Or so they say.

Via Maxim Lott, whose piece on Predictious is here.

Comments

I predict this site will develop a "technical problem" and "accidentally" lose all their customers monies in escrow, as often happens with such "anonymous" companies. I would like to join a prediction market, since as a dual-national I can use my non-US passport and not run afoul of any US laws against gaming. And where can I bet on chess? I've not found a decent site, Betson does not have it for example. I have bet on cockfights here in the Philippines, illegal in the USA (see recent NY bust), and made money (beginners luck, though I got pretty good at spotting which bird seemed more aggressive in the prefight lineup). It's kind of fun but not as a habit. And IMO since chickens feel less pain than dogs it's not that cruel, except it seems a shame that people spend 2 years feeding and grooming their roosters all for a 3 minute fight where the contestants both die, but then again these birds are bred to fight and love it.

yea like silk road 2 got 'hacked' and 'lost' 2m in coins. Also you need a google acount

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It's a good thing you can't be defrauded in US dollars, and that law enforcement is *extremely* diligent about recovering money lost this way.

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It's not anonymous (details in the piece.)

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'since as a dual-national I can use my non-US passport and not run afoul of any US laws against gaming'

This is not correct, as the United States does not recognize any citizenship but its own (and that pretty much includes those with a Green Card, with the IRS claiming the right to tax their world wide income the same as an American citizen). As a concrete example, an American citizen using a non-U.S. passport to travel to a country like Cuba is still subject to this - 'Unless authorized by a general or specific license, any person subject to U.S. jurisdiction who engages in any Cuba travel-related transaction violates the Regulations and may be subject to penalties.' http://www.treasury.gov/resource-center/sanctions/Programs/pages/cuba.aspx

I am not a lawyer, nor is this legal advice. But if you are an American citizen, that is all you are in the eyes of the American government.

Ah, good point. I guess then my point is as a dual-national I can present my non-US passport upon application for an account with say Betson, and they would never know I'm an American, hence if they ever get audited by the US IRS somehow, the IRS would never recognize my name.

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Isn't Bitcoin the premier Bitcoin betting market?

Zing!

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It also doubles as a roller coaster

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Soon obsolete by Counterparty XCP.

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Interesting the site has (binary) options on the price of Bitcoin. I'd love to see what the B-S implied vol surface looks like.

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BEIJING, Feb. 21 (Xinhua) -- A Beijing-based Tibetology scholar has criticized the Dalai Lama's Friday meeting with U.S. President Barack Obama in the White House, saying it was another "anti-China farce." "Once again, the Dalai Lama slipped into the White House Map Room for a so-called 'unofficial meeting' with Obama. This was another farce against China," said Lian Xiangmin, a researcher with the China Tibetology Research Center, in a signed article.

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