Low-skilled immigration into the UK

I asked GPT 5.2 Pro what it thought of the welfare consequences of UK immigration, and here are its summary remarks:

The literature does not support the claim that low-skilled immigration has imposed large net welfare losses on the UK as a whole. Instead, it supports something like:

  • Net welfare for existing residents is likely modestly positive (or near zero but not strongly negative) on average,

  • but the distributional impacts can be meaningfully negative for some low-skilled native workers and for some localities,

  • and the sign/magnitude hinge heavily on productivity spillovers and on dynamic trajectories (skill acquisition, occupational mobility, family formation).

The entire response is useful and well thought out.

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