Category: Books
Me on NPR Morning Edition
From this morning, here is the link, I was very impressed by Steve Inskeep and how quick on his feet he was.
What I’ve Been Reading
1. A Nation of Counterfeiters: Capitalists, Con Men, and the Making of the United States, by Stephen Mihm. This book offers interesting tales of 19th century counterfeiters — an understudied topic — but it is too quick to slush together counterfeiters, capitalists, and Herman Melville’s The Confidence Man. I read about 80 pages, some of you will wish to read more.
2. Bad Samaritans: The Myth of Free Trade and the Secret History of Capitalism, by Ha-Joon Chang. This is a less subtle version of the "free trade isn’t always best" arguments made by Dani Rodrik. Reread my post The New Attack on Free Trade.
3. Bill Clinton, Giving: How Each of Us Can Change the World. Should we resent that this book is essentially a campaign prop for Hillary? Still, it was better than expected. It’s not deep but it does stress the virtues of commercialization and the profit motive. Less surprisingly, globalization and micro-finance are portrayed as positive forces as well.
4. Denis Johnson, Tree of Smoke. The NYT gave it a rave, lead review, as did The Washington Post and other sources. So far it is being framed as the major American novel of the year. It’s an almost anachronistically modernist in its structure and seriousness. And is there really anything more to say about the Vietnam War? First I was bored but then I reread the first 150 pages and now I love it.
5. Herbert Spencer and the Invention of Modern Life, by Mark Francis. It’s the best intellectual history I’ve read since McCraw’s Schumpeter book, and did you know that he and George Eliot had a non-consummated fling? It’s a highly specialized topic, so I can’t recommend this book to everyone but I loved it and no you don’t need to care about Spencer the libertarian.
Every claim is wrong
I wondered whether that can be said of Naomi Klein’s new The Shock Doctrine: The Rise of Disaster Capitalism. Still, at some fundamental level I liked this book. Perhaps I still had the Greenspan memoir too fresh in my mind, but at least this text is alive. Yes she refuses to admit that Chilean reforms, however horrible the accompanying atrocities, did represent a success for market economics. Yes she misstates the role of Milton Friedman in just about everything. Yes she suggests that black children in New Orleans, pre-Katrina, enjoyed equality of educational opportunity. Yes she is naive enough to think that we need only put the good people in power. Yes she repeats many timeworn fallacies about Halliburton. Yes there is a senseless conflation of torture, Iraq, and the Coase Theorem. And so on.
Still, at the heart of this book she pinpoints the discomfort that free market advocates have with democracy. You can go the non-democratic route, you can claim that markets should stand above democracy, or you can reinterpret libertarian ideas as a general framework for social analysis and a program for gradualist democratic reform. Either way, for all her mistakes, Klein has yet to lose this debate.
The Tyranny of the Market
This new book is by sometimes Slate.com columnist and U. Penn economist Joel Waldfogel, of "Deadweight Loss of Christmas" fame. The subtitle is "Why You Can’t Always Get What You Want."
This well-written monograph is the best extant non-technical treatment of fixed costs and how they limit product diversity. On a given night, you can’t see a live performance of Samuel Beckett in Topeka, Kansas but maybe you can in the larger New York City; fixed costs are why they won’t set up the stage and hire the cast for only five viewers.
But Waldfogel is more pessimistic about the market than I am. The book’s opening example is about how hard it is to find radio stations in underpopulated areas; satellite radio is mentioned on p.120 but I would have started with its reach and also its limitations (and here). There is internet radio as well. The first example in the empirical chapter is that it takes $900 million on average to develop a new drug, but regulations and the FDA are not mentioned.
I can recommend this book but I do not agree with its central conclusion: "Markets do not avoid the tyranny of the majority." There are very few areas of my life, if any, where markets force me to follow the wishes of the majority.
Oddly the biggest problem is not mentioned and that is style and marketing. Retail outlets do not carry many items, not because they couldn’t hang some of the stuff from the ceiling, but rather because they wish to project a focused image. In other words, the real problem, when there is one, is the very limited attention spans of the consumers and the ad watchers and the product line gossipers.
The Age of Turbulence
Here is one summary of the book’s contents. Here is Greenspan on Rand. Here is the WSJ review. Here is Paul Krugman on the book. Here is Brad DeLong’s review. You’ll get my thoughts soon.
Arrived is soon: The book is just boring, there is no reason to buy it, or so says my pre-lunchtime scan at Borders.
Overtreated
Eventually, Medicare should completely transform the way it pays physicians and hospitals. Instead of paying doctors and hospitals separately and reimbursing them for how much care they deliver, it will want to begin paying them as a group on a per-capita basis, depending upon the number of patients they care for. (Because outcomes of their patients will be monitored and eventually made public, these integrated systems will not want to attract more patients than they can handle simply to boost their incomes.)
That is from Shannon Brownlee’s new Overtreated: Why Too Much Medicine is Making Us Sicker and Poorer, which should be read by anyone interested in health care economics. I have a few points:
1. The early chapters are too anecdotal for my tastes, but later the book becomes more analytical.
2. The author writes as if doctors can be steamrollered into submission and forced to adopt better compensation schemes; in this sense the public choice analysis is naive. Yes maybe that is what "should happen" but I predict that greater government involvement will be geared toward protecting the rents of American doctors, not making them passive servants of the public interest.
3. The (favorable) discussion of VHA is more insightful and more subtle than the usual treatments. For instance we learn that the much-heralded computerization of VA records was created in direct violation of government law.
4. The chapter on the rise and fall of managed care was excellent. Yet the core problems with managed care also would plague the author’s proposal for compensating doctors and hospitals, quoted above.
5. The policy prescriptions focus on changing the bundle of health care, rather than just cutting back on health care, so the title is not strictly accurate. The author is not a radical Hansonian but rather favors more "integrated care" and more primary physicians.
Robin Hanson, now there’s a guy who favors gross cutbacks in health care, he argues they won’t cost us actual health. See the recent forum over at CatoUnbound.
Addendum: See also this NYT magazine article, "Do We Really Know What Makes Us Healthy?"
The Stuff of Thought
The idea that shapes can be cognitively melted down into schematic blobs skewered on axes originally came from a theory of shape recognition by the computational neuroscientist David Marr. Marr noted how easily people recognize stick figures and animals made from pipe cleaners or twisted balloons, despite their dissimilarity from real objects in their arrangement of pixels. He proposed that we actually represent shapes in the mind in blog-and-axis models rather than in raw images, because such a model is stable as the object moves relative to the viewer.
Yes indeed, Steven Pinker has a new book out.
Farewell to Alms, final session
The final section of Greg’s book has many fascinating bits, but I would rather conclude by summing up why the book is important.
The Industrial Revolution, or whatever it was that happened, is the
big question in Western history. Yet most economists do not work on it
and I believe that most have never read a book on it or taken a course
on it. Greg’s work puts this historical development back on center
stage where it belongs. Furthermore he helps reconceptualize what the
Industrial Revolution really was and wasn’t; without that step further
progress is not possible.
But that’s not all. When it comes to what happened, Greg brings two
new interrelated but distinct hypotheses to the table, namely labor
quality and downward mobility. That’s two new hypotheses, and
he makes a good case for each of them. That achievement holds up even if you are unconvinced by his
dismissal of institutions, or by his embrace of the Malthusian model.
As I read Greg, he wants to replace extant explanations with his story. In my creative "rereading" of Greg, I want to add
his two factors to extant explanations. Greg wants an explanation with
a Malthusian or a Ricardian rigor and logic. I believe our
explanations will be more like those of history than of economics.
That means lots of variables, lots of messiness in the causal chains,
unclear predictive power, and the accretion of knowledge bringing less
rather than more simplicity.
In short, Greg is more of an economist than I am.
Most of all, I’d like to thank Greg for his participation in this BookForum. Here are links to previous MR posts on his book.
In sum, what did you all think?
Inner Economist podcast
By me (who else?), interviewed by the ever-acute Russ Roberts (who else?), get it here.
Among other things, I let on which is my favorite art museum and why, and what is wrong with the National Gallery of Art. And how I have rediscovered my Austrian subjectivist roots. And which remark in the book I meant as a joke, but everyone took seriously.
Get the book here.
Library appreciation day
The world’s most beautiful libraries, amazing photos, and this picture of course is from Glasgow. Portugal and Brazil do surprisingly well in this category. But how about that Berlin library shown in Wings of Desire?
*The Economist* reviews Discover Your Inner Economist
Here is the link, excerpt:
It stands apart from its predecessors by making its revelations not so
much about the way the world works as about the way we ourselves work
(and play) and how we can take practical steps to do both better.
Or:
The version of economics advanced here has nothing to do with algebra
or interest rates. It is economics in Ludwig von Mises’s formulation of
a “logic of choice”.
Thanks to numerous loyal MR readers for the pointer.
Finishing *A Farewell to Alms*
We’ll do the final segment next Wednesday, also prepare your general thoughts on the book as a whole. Like Arnold Kling, I’ve been very happy with the experiment and we’ll do another one; it is important to do just the right book.
Revise and resubmit
For a novel about memory, the plasticity of the novel’s narrative was one of its most realistic elements. Proust was always refining his fictional sentences in light of new knowledge, altering his past words to reflect his present circumstances. On the last night of his life, as he lay prostrate in bed, weakened by his diet of ice cream, beer, and barbiturates, he summoned Celeste, his beloved maid, to take a little dictation. He wanted to change a section in his novel that described the slow death of a character, since he now knew a little bit more about what dying is like.
That is from the new and quite interesting Proust Was A Neuroscientist, by Jonah Lehrer.
Underrated novels
Here is a new list from The Guardian (I’ll second the call for Alasdair Gray’s Lanark). Here is an only slightly older list from New York magazine, I like David Markson too.
A Farewell to Alms, through p.272
…comes again on the question of science. He points out correctly that most of the major technological innovators did not get much for their efforts. Clark therefore does not see the late 18th century or early 19th century as giving special incentives for science. I agree as far as he goes, but I view the incentives for science more broadly.
Core Europe, starting in late medieval times, developed a new and still poorly understood organizational technology. This was, very roughly, the ability to work in groups, cumulate technologies and advances, and learn from each other in competitive environments. Most notably, this new technology led the Florentine and Venetian Renaissances, especially in the visual arts. But there was more. The rise of printing. The rise of classical music, starting in 1685 or whenever. The rise of early modern philosophy. Europe goes crazy with inventiveness, albeit in splats and bursts. (Clark’s own chapter 12 gives good evidence for this tendency, though it will play a less central role in his version of the story.)
It is also the case that most of these bursts of inventiveness didn’t do much for the average standard of living. Yes mastering oil paint technique made Florence richer but not so much.
It just so happened that one of these bursts came in science, technology, and engineering. And it came in England, mostly for reasons of "national character." It just so happened that the English burst did more for the standard of living, for reasons of external benefits. But having had such a burst was not unique to England. England was just one spoke on a more broadly turning wheel, and a European distribution of bursts was well in place prior to most of the special conditions we might find in England.
England, by the way, also had the literary revolution of the 18th century, and England plus Scotland drove the rise of modern economics. There is no Chinese Adam Smith and that is because that Europe was pulling decisively ahead in ideas production. I consider this a fact of great importance whereas for Clark it is a sideshow to some other story.
Most generally, I see the historical problem of growth through the lens of culture — in the sense of the history of the arts, music, and letters — more than through the economic history literature. I am very taken by Max Weber’s writing on Western music and also his conception of the broader style of Western rationality. And I see the rise of these organizational improvements as a central — the central? — story of early modern Europe and the move to prosperity. It simply took a long time to apply these organizational movements to science, and to turn that science into concrete technical advances.
None of this need contradict Clark and indeed you will find parts of this narrative in his book. But unlike Clark I would not superimpose this on a broader Malthusian story or an emphasis on the long run. Nor am I putting much stock in genetic evolution. So these organizational/technological improvements, in my view, move closer to the center of the story of European progress.
Unlike Clark, I think incentives to create matter greatly, but not through patents or other direct pecuniary rate of return effects. The great creators have a burning desire to create, provided they have the opportunity to do so. This new European technology of organization (whatever it should be called), combined with growing wealth for the upper classes, meant that such creative opportunities were far more available than ever before. And powerful intellects grabbed them, for reasons of psychic incentives. So incentives are paramount to the European story, while Clark remains correct in criticizing the standard account of how those incentives might have mattered.
I also see England has having innovated with the quality of its state in particular its fiscal grounding. I wish this played a larger role in Clark’s account although of course I understand why it does not. Institutions are not allowed to become a competing force on center stage. The economic returns from colonies might be given more play as well.
Overall I am willing to accept many of Clark’s arguments, but I always go back to wanting to superimpose a broader institutional story on his microfoundations.
He resists that move, and that is the major place where I part company with him. I think he is too intent on pushing institutional and ideological factors off the stage; I am happy to allow Clark’s factors on the stage — most of all gradual growth downward mobility and quality of labor — but I want a very busy and cluttered stage.
I believe, by the way, that if Clark’s vision were correct, Australia and New Zealand would be stronger economic powerhouses than has turned out to be the case.
