From PaddyPower, not the same as the InTrade odds
From an email:
As EU leaders gather in Brussels to formulate a financial package to avert monetary meltdown, the latest odds from bookmaker Paddy Power show they face a mammoth task to convince the cynical markets.
Odds for Greece to leave the Euro first and a complete Eurozone break-up have shortened as analysts nervously wait for any detail which will secure the financial fate of the monetary union.
Greece is 2/7 to be first to leave the economic union, with Portugal next at 6/1. Germany is at 16/1 – perhaps an indication that the major player in the currency may fancy leaving the worst countries to their own devices. It is 6/5 at the Eurozone will be non existent by 2015.
Paddy Power said: “The ministers have a lot of work to do here. Concerns continue to grow about the stability of Spain and Italy and Greek financial stability still isn’t a foregone conclusion. If the great and the good in Brussels don’t come up with a detailed plan soon, it’s going to get a whole lot worse and that is what we are seeing in our betting.”
First to leave the Euro
2/7 Greece
6/1 Portugal
8/1 Ireland
12/1 Italy
12/1 Spain
16/1 Germany
16/1 CyprusEurozone Break Up
6/5 Eurozone to break up by 2015
4/7 Eurozone to break up by 2020
Caveat emptor!