What can you infer from three Russian data points?
THREE times in the last 35 years, Russian military forces have crossed international borders – in Afghanistan in 1979, Georgia in 2008 and the Crimea earlier this year. As Simon Derrick, the currency strategist at BNY Mellon points out, each occasion coincided with a peak in the oil price. And each incursion was followed by a very sharp fall in the price of crude (see chart).
…If the previous episodes are any guide, oil has a fair way to fall.
That is from Buttonwood at The Economist, file under “speculative”…