H1-B visa fees and the academic job market

Assume the courts do not strike this down (perhaps they will?).

Will foreigners still be hired at the entry level with an extra 100k surcharge?  I would think not,as university budgets are tight these days.  I presume there is some way to turn them down legally, without courting discrimination lawsuits?

What if you ask them to accept a lower starting wage?  A different deal in some other manner, such as no summer money or a higher teaching load?  Is that legal?  Will schools have the stomach to even try?  I would guess not.  Is there a way to amortize the 100k over five or six years?  What if the new hire leaves the institution in year three of the deal?

In economics at least, a pretty high percentage of the graduate students at top institutions do not have green cards or citizenships.

So how exactly is this going to work?  There are not so many jobs in Europe, not enough to absorb those students even if they wish to work there.  Will many drop out right now?  And if the flow of graduate students is not replenished, given that entry into the US job market is now tougher, how many graduate programs will close up?

Will Chinese universities suddenly hire a lot more quality talent?

Here is some related discussion on Twitter.

As they say, solve for the equilibrium…