Category: Books
Credible commitment to demonstrated virginity loss?
Several Circassian men boasted to me that they had kidnapped or "stolen" their wives, in order to force them to marry them. At first I was shocked, but the situation was not in fact what it sounded like. Far from being effectively the rape of an unwilling woman, Circassian bride-stealing is a strategic step taken to force her unwilling parents to agree to her getting married. The stealing is ritualized, and accompanied by a volley of gunshots to alert the parents that it has happened. The couple would never be alone together, and the groom's uncle would normally be employed as an emissary to sound out the prospective in-laws.
If they relented — which they almost always do — and agreed to the match, she would return home immediately, and the wedding would be prepared. If they did not agree, she would go to live with the groom's uncle until the wedding.
That is from Oliver Bullough's Let Our Fame be Great: Journeys Among the Defiant People of the Caucasus.
The *Atlas Shrugged* movie trailer
Via Allison Kasic and Chris F. Masse, here it is. Apart looking like a bad movie, I found this jarring. It should be in black and white, or muted colors, with the palate and overall look of a Visconti film. It has some Art Deco architecture (good), but signs of the modern world intrude at the wrong moments. It should not have high-speed rail (will this confuse conservatives? Did those governors end up cutting Medicaid and coughing up the money?) and it should not postulate unrealistic speeds for freight trains. It should not have 2011 cars and Dagny Taggart should not look like a mousy actress imitating Nicole Kidman playing a local news reporter. "If you double cross me, I will destroy you" doesn't ring true. Hank Rearden's line about only wanting to earn money comes across as either a parody of Gordon Gecko or as something worthy of Gecko's parody. To be properly post-Wall Street, Rearden must somehow contain and yet leapfrog over Oliver Stone's vision; a pretty boy look will not suffice.
Tim Harford on *The Great Stagnation*
In the FT magazine, here is the end bit:
In short, if Cowen is right, there will be less growth in future unless a new wave of technology arrives, and our political institutions will have to cope, if they can. The same argument surely applies to western Europe too, and will come as no news to Japan.
And the solution? I am not sure, and neither is Cowen. He hopes to raise the status of scientists and researchers – a good idea, but how? The UK coalition plans to introduce charter schools; we shall have to see whether that delivers results. The government is also reducing subsidies for universities and, indirectly, for public libraries. Both those policies are probably progressive: universities (certainly) and libraries (probably) tend to be middle-class haunts. But if the great stagnation is the problem, making access to knowledge more expensive is surely not much of a solution.
The culture that is Germany
…with 120 Icelandic titles scheduled to come out on the German market this year publishers are having a bit of a hard time finding translators.
Here is more. Please resist making structural unemployment jokes.
In my pile
1. Edward Glaeser, Triumph of the City: How Our Greatest Invention Makes us Richer, Smarter, Greener, Healthier, and Happier. Self-recommending. I've browsed a few pages and he seems like…such a normal, happy man.
2. Bengt Holmstrom and Jean Tirole, Inside and Outside Liquidity. This is a take on what follows from the imperfect pledgeability of corporate assets, by two of the world's leading economic theorists.
3. Jonathan Bendor, Daniel Diermeier, David A. Siegel, and Michael M. Ting, A Behavioral Theory of Elections. The point is to predict both turnout and voting behavior (hard to get both right at once in a model), and the authors a computational model on top of all of that. I have long been wanting more behavioral public choice.
*The Evolution of Progress*
The excellent Brink Lindsey pointed my attention to this fascinating book, subtitled The End of Economic Growth and the Beginning of Human Transformation (like many subtitles, that one is an exaggeration), wirtten by C. Owen Paepke and published in 1993. A brief book summary is here.
It is fascinating to read his take on how the biosciences will be the wave of the future and how much of human progress will come in the "interior" dimension. Here is one excerpt:
The United States enjoyed the dubious honor of leading a world-wide parade toward lesser productivity gains. The growth of both total factor productivity and labor productivity of every advanced economy, notably including Japan, has slowed since 1973. Only the newly industrialized countries, such as South Korea and Singapore, maintained or increased their productivity growth during the 1970s and 1980s, largely by exploiting innovations earlier pioneered in the advanced economies.
In fairness to the data, this productivity trend was temporarily reversed in the mid-1990s, for a few years, right after Paepke wrote. And:
By the middle of the next century, a new generation will surpass its precedessor, not in the traditional realm of possessions of life-style, but in the more fundamental one of genetic endowment.
It seems Paepke is a lawyer (one source has him running a pharmaceuticals company), here is Paepke on "Facebook like." Here is Paepke's patent for "affinity analysis." Here are Paepke's thirteen trademarks.
*Endgame*, and the rationality of Bobby Fischer
The author is Frank Brady and the subtitle is Bobby Fischer's Remarkable Rise and Fall — from America's Brightest Prodigy to the Edge of Madness. It is sure to make my list of the best books of 2011 and it requires no real knowledge of chess. Here is an excerpt on the rationality of the young Fischer:
While they were waiting for the results, Bisguier asked Bobby why he's offered the draw to Shipman when he had a slight advantage and the outcome wasn't certain. If Bobby had won that game, he would have been the tournament's clear winner, a half point ahead of Bisguier. Bobby replied that he had more to gain than lose by the decision. He'd assumed that Bisguier would either win or draw his own game, and if so, Bobby would have at least a tie for first place. That meant a payday of $750 for each player, a virtual gold mine for Fischer. Recognizing Bobby's greater need for money than the capture of a title, however prestigious, Bisguier noted: "Evidently, his mature judgment is not solely confined to the chessboard."
Much later in Fischer's life:
…Bobby and Miyoko attended a screening [in Japan] of the American film Pearl Harbor. When the Japanese Zeroes began bombing the ships in Battleship Row and destroyed the USS Arizona, Bobby began clapping loudly. He was the only one in the theater to do do — much to the embarrassment of the Japanese. He said that he was shocked that no one else joined in.
There are many revelations in this book, including that Bobby turned to Catholicism in the last period of his life.
Observations about Chinese (Chinese-American?) mothers
I agree with many of Bryan Caplan's views on parenting, and Yana can attest that I have never attempted a "dragon mother" style. Yet I think that Bryan is overreaching a bit in rejecting virtually all of Amy Chua's claims. The simpler view — which most Americans intuitively grasp — is that some Asian parenting styles do make kids more productive, and better at school, although it is less clear they make the kids happier. It remains the case that most people overrate how much parenting matters in a broader variety of contexts, and in that regard Bryan's work is hardly refuted. Still, I see real evidence for a parenting effect from many (not all) Asian-American and Asian families.
1. James Flynn argues, using evidence from tests, that Chinese families boosted their children's IQs by intensive parental techniques. Based on some very specific research, he claims the parenting was causal and the IQ boost followed. I hardly consider this the final word, but it's more to the point that the adoption studies and the like, which don't try to measure this effect directly and don't have measures of strict Asian parenting.
2. It is obvious that some Asian parenting techniques make the children much more likely to succeed as classical musicians. It's a big marginal effect upon whatever genetic influence there might be (and in this case the genetic influence might well be zero or very small; Chinese hardly seem genetically superior in music.) The only question is how much longer this list can become. What else can the parents make their kids better at, even relative to IQ? Future engineering success? If violin is a slam dunk, I don't see why engineering is a big stretch.
3. I suspect that Bryan and his wife do, correctly, apply the notion of "high expectations" to their children and to the benefit of those kids.
4. Bryan, like Judith Harris, argues that the influence of parents is typically mediated through peers and peer effects. But we should not confuse the partial and general equilibrium mechanisms here. For any single parent, the peers may well carry the chain of influence to their child and a lot of the parenting style applied to that individual kid will appear irrelevant. But for the culture as a whole, the peers can serve this function only because of the general influence of culture and parenting on all of the peers as a whole. In other words, peer quality is endogenous and a single family is free-riding upon the parenting efforts of others. That's a better model than just looking at the partial equilibrium coefficient on the parent effect and concluding that parenting doesn't matter. This is a mistake commonly made by Harris fans.
5. As an aside, I wonder how much there is a common Chinese parenting or mothering style. Chua, of course, is from the Philippines. It is estimated that about 20 percent of the children are China are "abandoned" by their parents — mothers too – typically as the parents move to the cities to take better jobs. When Chua writes, to what extent is she referring to Chinese immigrant parenting styles, uniquely suited to new situations, and derived from Chinese culture but distinct nonetheless.
6. There is a significant literature on Chinese immigrant parenting styles, based on lots of empirical evidence, but I don't see anyone giving it much of a close look. Here is a simple and well-known piece, not about Asians per se, arguing that "authoritative parenting" leads to superior performance in school. There is also evidence that the effects accumulate rather than disappear over time. There is a lot of research here, often quite disaggregated in its questions, and it goes well beyond the twin studies and it does not by any means always yield the same answers.
7. I expect great things from Scott Sumner's children.
Iceland fact of the day
The total literature of Iceland is under 50,000 books, which is easily scannable in 2 years by 12 people using the scribe scanners of the Internet Archive.
Indeed they might put it all on-line. Hat tip goes to Annie Lowrey.
My video dialogue with Nick Schulz
Find it here, and Nick's summary is very good:
In my conversation with Tyler about his new and much-debated book, The Great Stagnation, I was particularly struck by his explanation (at around 21:30) for how he came to embrace the idea that we are experiencing an innovation slowdown. His remarks about Julian Simon are also very noteworthy.
It would be an innovation for this blog if I could embed, but alas it is not to be…
Dialogue with David Leonhardt
It's about how to spur innovation, read it here. Here is one excerpt:
I would also like to see more of our elite institutions of higher education take the explicitly meritocratic and indeed arguably anti-egalitarian approaches of Caltech and also University of Chicago. Those two institutions are big successes – M.I.T. too – yet they are not always so easy to copy. We should be trying harder. In terms of respect for intelligence, achievement, and science, we should be more like Singapore.
The question did not come up, but I also favor reduced liability standards for major new innovations. Take the various plans for robot-driven cars. They will kill some people, as do human-driven cars. We run the risk of having the status quo so locked into place, so grandfathered, and so implicitly favored by the realities of regulation and lawsuits, that such an idea might never get off the ground. That in turn affects the incentives of innovators ex ante.
What I’ve been reading
1. Tino Balio, The Foreign Film Renaissance on American Screens, 1946-1973. One of the best pieces of U.S. cultural history I've read in years. This book explains and recreates the time when foreign films were culturally central in the United States. Here is a recent article on how we are consuming foreign films today; we're in a new renaissance of production, but few people seem to know the films themselves.
2. Darin Strauss, Half a Life. The author, as a young man, runs over a young girl on her bike and it ruins much, but not all, of his life. It wasn't his fault. This tract was well done enough to hold my interest, but I'm not sure how much it goes beyond the summary I offer right here. Nominated for a National Book award.
3. Martin Gilman, No Precedent, No Plan: Inside Russia's 1998 Default. This is not the definitive study it could have been, but it is a start toward writing a serious economic history of a still-neglected period.
4. Jeffrey Friedman, editor, What Caused the Financial Crisis. Of all the books on the crisis, this one is arguably the most conceptual. The authors of the essays include Stiglitz, John Taylor, Acemoglu, and Richard Posner.
5. New readings on the Euro include Paul Krugman's essay, Philipp Bagus, The Tragedy of the Euro, and Matthew Lynn, Bust: Greece, the Euro, and the Sovereign Debt Crisis.
6. Richard B. McKenzie, Predictably Rational: In Search of Defenses for Rational Behavior in Economics. The subtitle says it all, and the cover inverts the colors on the Dan Ariely book. Here is a short McKenzie piece on the book and here is Mario Rizzo on the book.
For the Canadians amongst us
From a loyal MR reader:
When I go to the Amazon site and pretend I'm a new, Canadian customer, GREAT STAGNATION does appear to be available…
I don't understand what that means, or how to do it but I was sent a screen shot, so I am sure it is true. Also remember, you don't need a Kindle or E-reader to buy or enjoy the book.
Stan Kenton and Leslie Kenton
I never knew my paternal grandfather, but I was told he loved the music of Bartok, Stravinsky, Hindemith, and above all, Stan Kenton. My grandfather was a professional jazz drummer in the era of big band, supposedly with more talent than workplace discipline. Maybe because it's a way of keeping a connection with Grandpa Tom, but I've been listening to the music of Stan Kenton for about thirty-five years. In any case the best Kenton cuts (download here) still strike me as underrated. Despite the clunky and sometimes elephantine side of Kenton's style, his work draws upon, and anticipates, developments in compositional jazz, European modernism, Phil Spector's "Wall of Sound," and early Latin rhythms, all topped off with an energetic American brashness. I eagerly lapped up last year's new Kenton biography. But now — what am I to do? I've just read Leslie Kenton's Love Affair: A Memoir of a Forbidden Father-Daughter Union, which among other things is a very good treatment of how little consent lies behind father-daughter incest (review here, and it was from ages 11 to 13).
None of Kenton's previous biographers seems to have suspected this horror and overall he had the reputation of a straight-laced man. I had long thought of him as a somewhat dour disciplinarian, firmly wrapped up in middle American values.
The lesson is how little we know of an individual life. And what do we still not know? When we judge others, or decide not to, that is worth keeping in mind.
*Euphemania: Our Love Affair with Euphemisms*
The author is Ralph Keyes and you can buy it here. Here are three excerpts:
Yesterday's polite euphemism is tomorrow's prissy evasion. "Cherry" was once considered more respectable than "hymen." Now, just the opposite is true. The former is thought to be vulgar, the latter decent.
And:
When the unfortunately named rapeseed oil had trouble competing with products that had nicer names, a Canadian strain low in saturated fat was dubbed Canola (i.e., "Canadian oil") in 1978 and has done rather well since.
And:
It used to be said that "Horses sweat, men perspire, and ladies glow."
Most of all, this book was…interesting.