A contrarian look at CEO pay
Here is my latest New York Times column (non-gated). Excerpt:
Their [Gabaix and Landier) core argument is simple. If we look at recent history,
compensation for executives has risen with the market capitalization of
the largest companies. For instance, from 1980 to 2003, the average
value of the top 500 companies rose by a factor of six. Two commonly
used indexes of chief executive compensation show close to a
proportional sixfold matching increase (the correlation coefficients
are 0.93 and 0.97, respectively; 1.0 would be a perfect match).
By the way, Japanese CEOs are paid much more than many popular or Internet sources indicate. American CEOs are paid about three times more than their Japanese counterparts (on average), but not forty or so times more.
Rockonomics
"Early on in the entertainment industry, it’s in the interest of the business to think of themselves as throwing a party, not selling a product. I think they attract more of a following that way," he said.
"But over time, the industry takes more the form of a market and is driven by market forces. The Superbowl initially felt like it was rewarding its fans. But then it becomes established and the League finds it in its interest to push up prices."
That is Alan Krueger, from this BBC article on his work on the economics of rock music. Hat tip to EconBall blog.
Markets in everything, literary edition
A first-time author has bypassed the traditional route of getting an agent, and is publishing a collaborative thriller on eBay. The novel is being written one page at a time, one writer to a page. As each installment is finished, the chance to create the next is offered for auction on eBay. So far, 17 pages have been completed, with 234 to go, and while the quality of the writing might charitably be described as variable, there is no shortage of plot.
By the way: "Money generated from page auctions goes to Macmillan Cancer Support."
Mexico fact of the day
Currently, 451,000 Mexican students are enrolled in full-time undergraduate [engineering] programs, vs. just over 370,000 in the U.S.
That is from Business Week, 22 May 2006, p.47.
Evidence on Latino assimilation
Here is one good short piece. Try this also. If you have comments, please leave them on the previous thread on assimilation.
Bordeaux bleg
Next week I am headed to Bordeaux for the inaugural meeting of the Society for Quantitative Gastronomy. How will they react to hearing I am not (yet?) much of a wine drinker? They will be talking of Michelin stars and the econometrics of wine prices; I will be harping on Texas barbecue, Sichuan peppercorns, and why Hyderabad has the best Biryani.
Your suggestions for Bordeaux, wine or otherwise, would be most welcome. I might have a free day or two for a side trip as well.
Luxury markets in everything
Some khaki pants are now selling for as much as $1055; $400 and $500 khaki pants are becoming common.
See The Wall Street Journal, May 13-14, p.P7. Makes you want to sign up with Peter Singer, doesn’t it?
One Saks Fifth Avenue fashion director noted: "For some of these brands, that’s a lot of money."
If you know of other absurd luxury markets, please mention them in the comments.
Questions about immigration
Following on my Op-Ed from yesterday, one loyal MR reader asks me, in an email, a few questions about immigration. Here is my first cut at answers:
–Is there no amount of unskilled immigration that is too high? In other words, do you advocate open borders?
I don’t believe in open borders for today’s America. I would increase current immigration quotas for all groups and allow illegals to move back and forth more readily. Many current illegals would prefer to spend more time in their home country than is currently possible. I don’t know exactly how much we can boost immigration and of course I don’t expect political progress on the issue. But we should start with a twenty percent boost in the yearly quotas. And how about another twenty percent increase two years later?
–Why do you have faith that federal policy can address the regionalized problems [with immigration] when you don’t trust federal policy to correctly judge which immigrant skills we ought to give priority?
I think the federal government is capable of giving more money to subsidize emergency rooms near the border. This is an easier task than judging what professions we will need thirty years down the road.
–You mention the success of second-generation offspring of most immigrant groups, but let’s get real, this whole issue is about Mexicans, mostly, not Canadian economists. How have their offspring done? Of course, it might not even matter; if you’re right that a growing supply of unskilled labor isn’t bad, then does it make any difference if the second generation is also unskilled?
David Card and others have plenty of data on how well the second and third generations of Latinos do in assimilating and entering the mainstream of American life. I find the overall portrait a reassuring one. I will look for data on Mexicans per se and let you all know if I find anything useful.
N.B.: If the quality of current Mexican immigration is "lower than you would like," keep in mind the current mix is partly an artifact of current immigration law, which encourages the least rooted and the most desperate to cross the border. Young male teenagers are those who least mind being cut off from returning home. Allowing immigrants to come and go would raise the quality of the pool.
Macro earthquake insurance
The Mexican government has tapped international markets to issue a
special catastrophe bond to finance rescue and rebuilding in case of a
disastrous earthquake, finance ministry…Swiss Re, the Zurich-based reinsurance group, issued the bonds,
which pay 230 basis points over the Libor benchmark interest rate."If
there’s no disaster in three years," the finance minister, Francisco
Gil Diáz, said, "the investors keep the premium and the interest" and
get back the bond.But if a quake hits, the government gets the full value of the bonds, and investors lose their money.
Catastrophe
bonds were started in the 1990’s, and have largely been issued by
private companies to cover losses from natural disasters. Taiwan is the
only other government that has issued such a bond against a quake, but
it covers damages from losses.In Mexico’s case, the government
collects the $450 million in the bonds and the insurance payout if a
quake of 7.5 or 8 magnitude on the Richter scale hits specific regions,
regardless of damage. Mr. González Anaya said that meant the government
would have money for rescue operations immediately after a disaster.Mexico has a special fund for natural disasters but the fund has only $80 million.
Last
year, the Mexican government spent $1.2 billion to cover rescue and
rebuilding operations after Hurricanes Stan and Wilma. Mr. González
Anaya hopes to issue a similar kind of catastrophe bond against
hurricanes.
Here is the full story.
Four new journals
Less is certainly not more for the American Economic Association. According to David Warsh’s latest column, Broader, Deeper, they have adopted plans to produce four more economic journals, all titled – prosaically enough – American Economic Journal. They will cover macroeconomics, microeconomics, economic policy and applied economics.
Here is much more information. Is this good news? I fear greater fragmentation in an already-splintering profession. Could this mean fewer idea pieces and greater room for excess specialization? I like the idea of whacking commercial journal publishers but is it wise to centralize so much influence in one centrally-chosen set of editors?
LA Times Op-Ed on immigration
I am again writing with the excellent Daniel M. Rothschild. Read it here, registration is free and (relatively) simple. Excerpt:
Gianmarco Ottaviano of the University of Bologna and Giovanni Peri of the National Bureau of Economic Research have shown that immigrants and low-skilled American workers fulfill very different roles in the economy. For instance, 54% of tailors in the U.S. are foreign-born, compared with less than 1% of crane operators. A similar discrepancy exists between plaster-stucco masons (44% immigrant) and sewer-pipe cleaners (less than 1% foreign-born). Immigrants come to the United States with different skills, inclinations and ideas; they are not looking to simply copy the behavior of American workers.
Addendum: Here is a link without registration.
What are independent bookstores really good for?
Here is my new Slate piece. Excerpt:
If you don’t like the superstores, it is easy enough to expand your
viewing horizons through other means. Just go to new sections of your
superstore (the best popular book on geology, gardening, or basketball
is very good, whether or not you like the topic). Stoop or
stretch to slightly uncomfortable levels. Use the stool. Peruse books
randomly. Look at other peoples’ discard piles. Spend more time in
public libraries, which offer many of the best features of indie
bookshops, including informed staff, diversity, and offbeat titles. Of
course, public libraries aren’t exactly atmospherically "cool." The
clientele is often young children, women over 40, and retired men. I
visit five public libraries on a regular basis, and each one makes me
feel old. But they deliver the goods.
China trend of the day
Team buying. The bottom line?
More and more consumers meet online before banding together at stores to bargain down prices…Some team buyers approach store managers beforehand, others simply show up and flex their collective muscle.
The Walrasian Auctioneer
Swaptree isn’t the first to try online bartering — Peerflix, Bookins, and La La help people trade movies, books, and CDs, respectively, while SwapThing lets users combine goods, cash, and services.
But it is, significantly, the first site to pull off direct trades between more than two people: Thanks to a nifty algorithm designed by Boesel, Swaptree can engineer three- and even four-way trades among users who want different things.
…For instance, one person sends a book to a second person, who sends a CD to a third, who sends a DVD to a fourth, who then sends the first person a videogame. Of course, ferreting out possible trades among tens of thousands of items requires intense computing. "The first four-way trade took 20 minutes to complete," Boesel says. His team has since squeezed the time down to one-fifth of a second.
Read more here. If this kind of procedure is generalizable, what does it imply for the path of future money demand and the price level? Of course it does require that everyone send what he or she promises to send…
Britain fact of the day
More than 60 percent of Britons use items
such as screwdrivers, scissors and earrings to remove food from between
their teeth, according to a survey published on Friday.
And they talk about American exceptionalism…read more here.