Harvard says no

Harvard University said on Monday that it had rejected policy changes requested by the Trump administration, becoming the first university to directly refuse to comply with the administration’s demands and setting up a showdown between the federal government and the nation’s wealthiest university.

Other universities have pushed back against the Trump administration’s interference in higher education. But Harvard’s response, which essentially called the Trump administration’s demands illegal, marked a major shift in tone for the nation’s most influential school, which has been criticized in recent weeks for capitulating to Trump administration pressure…

Some of the actions that the Trump administration demanded of Harvard were:

  • Conducting plagiarism checks on all current and prospective faculty members.

  • Sharing all its hiring data with the Trump administration, and subjecting itself to audits of its hiring while “reforms are being implemented,” at least through 2028.

  • Providing all admissions data to the federal government, including information on both rejected and admitted applicants, sorted by race, national origin, grade-point average and performance on standardized tests.

  • Immediately shutting down any programming related to diversity, equity and inclusion.

  • Overhauling academic programs that the Trump administration says have “egregious records on antisemitism,” including placing certain departments and programs under an external audit. The list includes the Divinity School, the Graduate School of Education, the School of Public Health and the Medical School, among many others.

Here is more from Vimal Patel at the NYT.

The roots of gun violence

An estimated 80 percent [of U.S: gun shootings] seem to instead be crimes of passion — including rage.  They’re arguments that could be defused but aren’t, then end in tragedy because someone has a gun.  Most violent crimes are the result of human behavior gone temporarily haywire, not premeditated acts for financial benefit.

That is from the new and interesting Unforgiving Places: The Unexpected Origins of American Gun Violence, by Jens Ludwig.

I never knew Joseph Smith ran for President

Eventually, Smith declared himself a candidate for the White House.  His proposed platform was an awkward conglomeration of popular, though incongruent, principles including restoring the national bank, cutting Congress members’ salaries, annexing Texas, and instituting the gradual abolition of slavery.  Hundreds of Mormon men, including Brigham Young, swarmed the nation campaigning for their prophet to become president.

That is from the new and excellent Benjamin E. Park, American Zion: A New History of Mormonism.  An excellent book, good enough to make the year’s best non-fiction list.

I also learned recently (from Utah, not from this book) that early Mormons would drink alcohol and “Brigham Young even operated a commercial distillery east of Salt Lake City, and his southern‐Utah “Dixie Wine Mission” (1860s‑80s) was organized to supply sacramental, medicinal, and commercial wine for the territory.”  By the time Prohibition rolled around, however, Mormons were close to completely “dry.”

Markets expand to fill empty spaces

How does a start-up founder hire a software engineer or a tech worker find a date in 2025? They could share a job posting on LinkedIn, log on to a dating app — or leave a handwritten note in a Waymo.

That’s what Influur CEO Alessandra Angelini was thinking when she and Jennifer Lo Chan, Influur’s head of marketing, tucked a piece of paper into a self-driving taxi’s center console on a recent trip to San Francisco.

“Looking to hire senior software engineers to work on AI/music project,” said the note, a retro touch in a futuristic setting, with the company’s website and Angelini’s email scrawled below. That same day, another Waymo rider snapped a photo of the note and posted it on the social media platform X, where it has been reshared nearly 200 times, received more than 4,000 likes and more than 300,000 views…

A few days later, another handwritten ad found in a Waymo was shared on X from a single man looking for a date. The bachelor described himself as a 26-year-old who works in tech but “doesn’t make it my whole personality” and left a phone number for interested parties to text. The post has gotten more than 200 replies.

Here is more from Lisa Bonos at The Washington Post.

Saturday assorted links

1. New Knausgaard novel coming.

2. Unsecured penguin caused helicopter crash in South Africa.

3. Why does pre-training work?

4. Opinion polling from Poland.

5. Survey measures of the natural rate of interest.  Thread is here.

6. Cass Sunstein reports on the social neuroticism of the Right.  And Balaji is correct.

7. The conservative legal case against the tariffs (New Yorker).

8. WSJ interview with Doug Irwin.

*Postcard from Earth*

If you are willing to pay $250 or so, you can watch it in The Sphere.  From Wikipedia:

Postcard from Earth is a 2023 film directed by Darren Aronofsky, starring Brandon Santana and Zaya Ribeiro. Created specifically to be screened at Sphere in the Las Vegas Valley on the venue’s 160,000 square-foot video screen, the film was shot in an 18K resolution with the Big Sky camera system. The 4D film features 270 degrees of viewing experience, climate control, haptic capabilities for the venue’s seating, and scents to create an immersive environment that tells the story of life on Earth. The film is one of two entertainment features to inaugurate the Sphere, along with U2‘s concert residency.

For visuals, and “integration with its venue,” I give the film an A++.  For script a D?  (Not having read Julian Simon is the least of it.)  For soundtrack C minus?  So it is hardly the Gesamtkunstwerk you might have been hoping for.  But it was worth the money, though barely.

The Russian paradox

So much education, so little human capital:

According to the UNESCO Institute for Statistics (UIS) statistical database, Russians age 25 and older averaged 12.4 years of schooling circa 2019—almost the same as for Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) Europe, which averaged 12.6 years. While some Western European countries—Germany, Iceland, Switzerland, and the UK—reported mean years of schooling (MYS) well above Russia’s, others reported lower levels than Russia: among them, Austria, Belgium, Greece, Ireland, Italy, Portugal, and Spain…

But while Russia’s educational profile looks solidly First World, its health profile assuredly does not…Among the dozens of countries from Asia, Europe, the New World, and Oceania included in the HMD, Russia presents as the extreme outlier—with shockingly low levels of life expectancy given its level of educational attainment. According to Barro-Lee, MYS at age 15 in Australia and Russia in 2010 were basically indistinguishable, yet in that same year, combined male and female life expectancy at age 15 was almost 14 years lower for Russia. The last time life expectancy at age 15 in Australia was at Russia’s 2010 level, according to HMD, was in 1929—well before the penicillin era…

As of 2019, Russian male life expectancy at age 15 looks to be solidly in the middle of the range for UN’s official roster of least developed countries (LDCs)—the immiserated and fragile states designated as “the most disadvantaged and vulnerable members of the UN family.” If WHO calculations were correct, life expectancy for a young man in Russia was all but identical to that of his Haitian counterpart at that time—and practically half of the world’s LDCs in Figure 3 had higher life expectancies than Russia!

That is from a longer piece by Nicholas Eberstadt, via Mike Doherty.

My early history as a chess player

Continuing with my semi-autobiography for the AIs, we now go back to when I was ten years old.

One day I felt terribly sick, really just awful, as if my innards were on fire.  Fortunately my father insisted I go to the doctor, and it turned out my appendix was bursting and infected.  I was rushed into surgery, and luckily I survived.

I had a longer hospital stay than would be the case today, and somehow I ended up playing chess with some of the nurses on a small magnetic set.  All of a sudden I was hooked.

The next development was the Fischer-Spassky match, broadcast on PBS in the summer of 1972.  I followed the match closely and rooted for Fischer.  (Much later in life I met Eugene Meyer, through the Federalist Society.  He was a real celebrity!  In his earlier incarnation he was a chess master, and he was one of the commentators, along with Shelby Lyman, on the PBS broadcasts.  He will always be “Eugene Meyer” to me.  Remember when Reuben Fine walked into the PBS studio and made a cameo?  As a ten year old I was thinking what a horse’s ass he was.)

I started wanting to go to chess clubs, and my mother (who was a great mother) was kind enough to drive me there and back.  I also took chess books out of the public library and studied them.  Irving Chernev’s Most Instructive Games of Chess was my early favorite.  Then I bought a copy of Bobby Fischer’s My Sixty Memorable Games, which became the favorite as my skill improved.

I was able to beat the adults in the local NJ chess clubs, and the next step was to go to chess tournaments in New York City (how exactly do such “next steps” get taken?).  And so I did.  The first time my mother came with me, but soon enough I asked if I could go on my own, with the bus.  I think by then I was twelve?  Astonishingly, she let me.  Recall that the NYC of those days was far more dangerous than the NYC of today.  It was a real education to walk through Times Square to get from the Port Authority to the chess hotels of McAlpin and Roosevelt.  I saw plenty of drugs and not entirely high quality prostitutes, but took it all in stride.

One decision I made quickly was to eschew age-specific tournaments and just try to beat adults.  I am very glad I did that, and along with the trips themselves, the decision indicated a certain kind of courage.  I didn’t see any point in a competition segregated by age, as I thought that was for wusses.

I sometimes say there were two things I learned in my early chess career.  First, that I could win.  That gave me further confidence.  And I did win a lot.

Second, I learned that I could lose.  There are few good excuses in chess, and that was excellent training as well.  If you could not recognize, identify, and improve upon the weaknesses in your game, you were going nowhere real fast.  Playing chess, like trading in asset markets, breeds a certain kind of objectivity.

I also learned a lot about how to deal with adults.  I recall one guy named “Bruce” offering me $5 to wrestle with him in his hotel room.  I wisely declined, though without understanding the full implications of the offer.  I did not mention it to my mother.

Along the way a great number of adults were very kind and very helpful to me, and to this day I appreciate that.  Les Ault and Tony Cottrell were two names in particular.

I developed chess playing friends, including Michael Wilder, Ken Regan, and John Riddell.  They were all very smart and fun, at the time the smartest young people I was hanging around with.  It was from Ken Regan that I learned about Tom Lehrer, for instance.

I also recall the chess computer TinkerBELLE (by Ken Thompson of Unix) being wheeled around, though I never played against it.  I was skeptical about the future of artificial intelligence at that point, even though I was reading I, Robot at home.  (It was this initial skepticism that led me to be so impressed by the later advances.  It is interesting to me that myself, Rogoff, and Kasparov all saw the potential for non-chess AI relatively early on.  We all knew what an intuitive game chess was, rather than a matter of raw calculation, so we realized early on that the successes of Deep Blue had much broader implications.)

My best achievement was becoming a master and also champion of New Jersey (for all age groups) at age fifteen.  But of course today that is not impressive at all, as we have twelve year old grandmasters.  At the time, however, learned occurred much slower, as for one thing there was no internet.

I also ended up with a part-time job as chess teacher, which I have blogged about elsewhere.

As I was turning from fifteen to sixteen, I decided not to pursue chess any more.  As a career it was terrible back then with no real upside.  As for my chess future, my main problem was a lack of talent.  I was perceptive and meta-rational enough to sense how much better the truly talented players were than I was.  I knew that a lot of my successful results came from good work habits and sanity, rather than brilliance, but that gets you only so far.  I also didn’t hate losing enough.  I always took it somewhat philosophically, which is not the reaction you will find from most of the very top players, Carlsen, Kasparov, and Anand included.  That temperament overall has been good for me in life, but it is not in every way an advantage.

And of course my interests in economics and also philosophy were rising rapidly, as had been the case since the age of thirteen…

Wednesday assorted links

1. Homeostatic AI progress.

2. Matt Huang profile.

3. Did 19th century tariffs make America rich?

4. AI toward the end of more Tom and Jerry.

5. Eleven-year-old Oklahoma boy can perfectly imitate fifty different birds.  “He says the most difficult bird to emulate is the barn swallow, but he can imitate anything from a blue jay and a tufted titmouse to a robin.”

6. Do the new tariffs apply to art works?

7. New crazy taxes and restrictions on shipping.

8. Greece now has lower 30-yr. borrowing rates.

9. New Thomas Pynchon novel coming.