Holocaust denial and hypocrisy

David Irving, the British historian, was sentenced in Austria today to three years in jail for denying the holocaust in two speeches he gave in 1989.  I have little sympathy for Irving but support the right to free speech.  How can we in the West take a principled stand against radical Muslims who riot and kill to protest depictions of Muhammad when we jail those who attack our sacred beliefs?

       
         
         
            

Why am I not surprised?

For Americans troubled by the prospect of federal agents eavesdropping on their phone conversations or combing through their Internet records, there is good news: A little-known board exists in the White House whose purpose is to ensure that privacy and civil liberties are protected in the fight against terrorism.

Someday, it might actually meet.

Initially proposed by the bipartisan commission that investigated the attacks of Sept. 11! , 2001, the Privacy and Civil Liberties Oversight Board was created by the intelligence overhaul that President Bush signed into law in December 2004.

More than a year later, it exists only on paper.

More here.  Thanks to Fred Hamden for the pointer.

More economics of curling!

From Wired:

UK researchers spent $89,000 developing a sensor-laden broom in the
hopes of optimizing curlers’ strokes. Strain gauges measure how hard a
brush is being pushed, while accelerometers provide velocity info and a
thermocouple in the head monitors ice temperature. "Do you want to be
sweeping your heart out and not know what you’re doing?" asks Mike Hay,
the UK’s Olympic coach. "It’s really been smoke and mirrors until now."
The women’s team used an early iteration of the brush prior to winning
the gold in 2002. Now the men, too, are tapping the smart sweeper to
try to ice the competition in Turin, Italy.

Iraq

Lt. General William Odom (Ret.), former Director of the National Security Agency under Ronald Reagan, shocked the crowd yesterday when he called for unilateral withdrawal from Iraq.  Odom was speaking at Innovative Solutions for Iraq, the inaugural event for the Independent Institute‘s Washington office (I am director of research for the Independent Institute).   Odom was then seconded by Lawrence Korb, former Vice President and Senior Fellow at the Council on Foreign Relations and also Assistant Secretary of Defense under Reagan.

Withdrawal may seem like a radical suggestion, but this time around the push for withdrawal isn’t coming from radicals but from seasoned, well-respected, establishment figures.

During the event Odom and others referred to Vietnam, the Gulf of Tonkin incident, and the lessons we should have learned from that war.  It was really stunning, therefore, when during question period a man stood up to praise Odom for speaking out in a way that no figure of his stature had done during the Vietnam war.  The speaker was Daniel Ellsberg.

CSPAN will air the event in about a week.

“Ikea” in India

Although Ikea stores have yet to arrive in India, its catalogs are sold by
street hawkers and bookstores in many major cities….

When Arundhati Ray redecorates her home, she picks up an Ikea catalog to
search for that perfect piece of furniture….she clips a photo of the desired item, which typically includes measurements,
and then takes it to a local carpenter.

The welfare economics of Ikea knockoffs in India, like those of pharmaceutical knockoffs, are not clear-cut.  On the surface, Ikea appears to be losing out to design theft but India’s emerging middle class generates media attention far in excess of its numbers.  India is still a very poor country that probably could not currently support the low-price, high volume Ikea model.  Thus, knockoffs allow a few Indian consumers to take advantage of good design and Ikea loses little to nothing.

Thanks to Carl Close for the pointer.

The Law of Below Averages

I sometimes find evidence of cheating on exams but I rarely take action, I don’t have to.  Almost invariably the cheaters get abysmally low grades even without penalty.  Some people I know get annoyed when students without evident handicap ask for and receive special treatment such as extra time on exams.  I comply without rancor as the extra time never seems to help.  Over the years I have had a number of students ask for incompletes.  None have ever become completes.

I call this the law of below averages.

Addendum: Any student who attempts to take advantage of my lax attitude should first reflect on the Lucas Critique.  Comments are open if you have experiences to share.

Capitalism: The Unknown Ideal

"Capitalism is not much loved," writes Clive Crook in The Atlantic.

Seen a movie lately? Watched television or read a newspaper? The culture that speaks to Americans, and hence to the Western world, radiates suspicion of free enterprise….

The point is not that such movies, or the culture more generally, argue that capitalism is evil. Just the opposite: it is that they so often merely assume, innocently and expecting to arouse no skepticism, that capitalism is evil….

It is difficult to see where any heightened
appreciation of the market system is going to come from. Economists,
presumably, ought to be supplying it. Unfortunately, in most cases,
communicating a sense of wonder is not among their gifts. In some ways,
teachers of economics are probably making matters worse. As practiced
in universities, economics continues to turn inward, with ever more
emphasis on math, quantitative methods, and narrow specialization. You
can make a case for that, but it silences the discipline on the thing
that matters most.

Crook is right of course but his piece would have been a lot better had he mentioned the book Americans found most influential in their lives after the Bible.

PDUFA

PDUFA, the Prescription Drug User Fee Act, is a shining example of a Pareto optimal policy innovation.  First passed in 1992 the act was essentially a deal between the drug manufacturers and the FDA that said we, the manufacturers, are willing to pay an extra tax for submitting new drug applications to the FDA so long as the tax is earmarked for hiring more FDA staff to accelerate new drug review. 

Critics of PDUFA claim that it has reduced safety and made the FDA a "servant of industry."  It’s true that to avoid conflicts of interest it might have been better had Congress funded the FDA at optimal levels but when has Congress ever done anything optimally?  Prior to PDUFA millions of dollars in pharmaceutical
investment was regularly being held in limbo for want of a much cheaper FDA reviewer. 

A new working paper from Tomas Philipson and co-authors presents the most sophisticated cost-benefit analysis of PDUFA.  They find that PDUFA did increase manufacturer profits and reduce FDA review times.  Moreover, they find no evidence that safety declined under PDUFA.  Most importantly faster review times meant big gains for consumers which they evaluate as equivalent to savings of 180 to 310 thousand life-years.

Ugly Criminals

Mahalanobis points us to Ugly Criminals:

Using data from three waves of
Add Health we find that being very attractive reduces a young adult’s (ages
18-26) propensity for criminal activity and being unattractive increases it for
a number of crimes, ranging from burglary to selling drugs. A variety of tests
demonstrate that this result is not because beauty is acting as a proxy for
socio-economic status. Being very attractive is also positively associated with adult
vocabulary test scores, which suggests the possibility that beauty may have an
impact on human capital formation. We demonstrate that, especially for females,
holding constant current beauty, high school beauty (pre-labor market beauty)
has a separate impact on crime, and that high school beauty is correlated with
variables that gauge various aspects of high school experience, such as GPA,
suspension or having being expelled from school, and problems with teachers.
These results suggest two handicaps faced by unattractive individuals. First, a
labor market penalty provides a direct incentive for unattractive individuals
toward criminal activity. Second, the level of beauty in high school has an
effect on criminal propensity 7-8 years later, which seems to be due to the
impact of the level of beauty in high school on human capital formation,
although this second avenue seems to be effective for females only.

Lord of War

I was an equal opportunity merchant of death.

That’s arms dealer

Yuri Orlov played by Nicolas Cage in Lord of War, an ironic portrait of the arms trade in the late twentieth century.  More history, politics and economics than I expected, this is not an action/adventure movie.  Recommended.  Not surprisingly there are some violent scenes.

Four sentences from Ed Glaeser

Decades of public housing projects should have taught us that the federal government is not a good real estate developer.

If this law is passed, billions will be spent on outlays that will
create only the slightest benefit to those Katrina hurt most.

…bizarrely, the report spends as much space on a light rail system as it does on levees.

and the sad topper:

…we are in danger of doing a far worse job rebuilding New Orleans than rebuilding Baghdad.

The whole thing is here if you are in the mood to be depressed.

Addendum: David Smith has another good post on the state of reconstruction in New Orleans.

Exporting Pollution?

Long before Larry Summers shocked the elite by suggesting that men and women might be different he signed on to a World Bank memo noting:

"I think the economic logic behind dumping a load of toxic waste in the
lowest wage country is impeccable and we should face up to it."

A number of people suggested that the US was doing just this as lower tariff barriers made it easier to export dirty manufacturing industries and import the goods.  An NBER paper, however, finds no evidence for this effect.  Quoting from the NBER Digest:

Imports overall grew by 318 percent during the period. But according to World Bank data that characterizes industries by their pollution intensity, imports of goods manufactured in highly polluting processes grew at a much slower rate. In other words, just as the U.S. manufacturing sector was growing while simultaneously shifting toward clean industries, the same thing was happening to our imports: they were rising, but the percentage of goods coming from polluting industries was going down. "The cleaner U.S. manufacturing composition is not offset by dirtier imports," the authors write. "Rather, the composition of imports has also become cleaner."

One reason pollution hasn’t been exported may be that the dirtier (older) industries have more political power and have resisted tariff reductions.  The authors find, however, that even if one eliminated all tariffs on manufactured goods pollution would still not be exported.

It’s not that this wouldn’t be a good idea, it’s just that it so happens that poor countries don’t have a comparative advantage in producing the goods that require a lot of pollution.  Of course, if we tax pollution in the United States at higher levels it will make more sense to export it – an interesting dilemma.

I want to be a Saint!

I know, I know, first I dream of becoming a dictator, now a saint.  Make of it what you will.  It turns out, however, that becoming a saint is a lot easier than I thought.  Reuters reports that:

The Vatican may have found the "miracle" they need to put the late Pope John
Paul one step closer to sainthood — the medically inexplicable healing of a
French nun with the same Parkinson’s disease that afflicted him.

Monsignor Slawomir Oder, the Catholic Church official in charge of promoting
the cause… said the "relatively young" nun, whom he said he could not identify for
now, was inexplicably cured of Parkinson’s after praying to John Paul after his
death last April 2…."  (italics added).

A surprisingly frank report in Catholic World News hits the nail on the head:

Last
November, in commenting on the progress of the cause for Pope John
Paul’s beatifiction, his former secretary, Archbishop Stanislas
Dziwisz, said that there would be no problem finding a miracle to
advance the cause– or rather, that the problem would be to select one
miracle from among the many reported.

Indeed.  I would be more impressed, however, if the cure rate of those who prayed to John Paul exceed that of those who prayed to Elvis.  Will the Vatican be performing a t-test?  I suspect not.

In anycase, to get my candidacy for sainthood going would you please ask in my name for something good to happen to you today.  Go on, what have you go to lose?  "In the name of Alex Tabarrok I pray that my article will be accepted by the AER."  Try it out!  If something good does happen please note the miracle in the comments section.  Do not comment if nothing happens. Thanks!

Shopping in 1975

Don Boudreaux goes shopping in a 1975 Sears catalog.

Sears’ lowest-priced 10-inch table saw: 52.35 hours of work
required in 1975; 7.34 hours of work required in 2006.

Sears’ lowest-priced gasoline-powered lawn mower: 13.14 hours
of work required in 1975 (to buy a lawn-mower that cuts a 20-inch swathe); 8.56
hours of work required in 2006 (to buy a lawn-mower that cuts a 22-inch swathe.
Sears no longer sells a power mower that cuts a swathe smaller than 22
inches.)

Sears Best freezer: 79 hours of work required in 1975 (to buy
a freezer with 22.3 cubic feet of storage capacity); 39.77 hours of work
required in 2006 (to buy a freezer with 24.9 cubic feet of storage capacity;
this size freezer is closest size available today to that of Sears Best in
1975.)

Sears Best side-by-side fridge-freezer: 139.62 hours of work
required in 1975 (to buy a fridge with 22.1 cubic feet of storage capacity);
79.56 hours of work required in 2006 (to buy a comparable fridge with 22.0 cubic
feet of storage capacity.)

Sears’ lowest-priced answering machine: 20.43 hours of work
required in 1975; 1.1 hours of work required in 2006…

In an earlier post Don writes:

Other than the style differences, the fact most noticeable from the contents of
this catalog’s 1,491 pages is what the catalog doesn’t contain.  The Sears customer in 1975 found no CD players for either home or car; no DVD or
VHS players; no cell phones; no televisions with remote controls or
flat-screens; no personal computers or video games; no food processors; no
digital cameras or camcorders; no spandex clothing; no down comforters (only
comforters filled with polyester).

The past is another country.  I once lived there but have no desire to return.