Envy pollution

Greg Mankiw considers Brad DeLong’s view that the presence of the rich makes the poor worse off.  Jane Galt discusses Cindy Crawford.  I will add the following:

1. Often the rich make us feel we are worse off when we fill out questionnaires, but the quality of experienced life doesn’t go down much from their existence.

2. Consider food.  If I hear of other people visiting El Bulli, I might downgrade the quality of my own eating life on a survey.  But I don’t enjoy my Sichuan Chili Chicken or my Silpancho any less.

3. "…its a great testament to economic progess that, walking round the city
center these days, say, it’s very hard to differentiate the rich and the
poor in the first instance. In this sense, things have indeed become a
lot more egalitarian."  That is from one of Greg’s commentators.

4. Envy tends to be local.  Few Americans resent Bill Gates or Warren Buffett.  The real definition of a wealthy man is one who earns more than his wife’s sister’s husband.

5. Greg Mankiw suggests that perhaps we segregate the rich into places like Nantucket and Aspen, so as to minimize the envy of the poor.  That won’t get at the root of the problem, as expressed in #4. 

What we need to do is tax gatherings of extended family and other like-minded people.

What makes individuals take up science?

In a nutshell, mentors:

The most common response to the question ‘What inspired you to take up science?’ – given by respondents including Dr Colin Berry, Peter Cochrane, Jorge Mayer, Simon Singh and Christopher Llewellyn Smith – is that they were inspired by teachers or mentors. Typical of such reponses are Alom Shaha‘s description of ‘gifted teachers, whose enthusiasm for their subjects was relentless and infectious’, and Michael Wilson‘s account of ‘inspirational and rigorous teachers in high school, who engendered an insatiable intellectual hunger for factual knowledge, and who encouraged observation and deductive thinking’.

Survey respondents often point to one or two particular individuals who made a lasting impact. Josef Penninger, for instance, was inspired by ‘a great mentor and teacher’, and argues that ‘most of us became what we became because of one dominating person, who moved us into a certain direction’. Frances Downey, James Enstrom, Pat Norris, John Zarnecki and Anton Zeilinger describe inspirational mathematics and physics teachers, Thomas Addiscott and Eliot Forster discuss inspirational chemistry teachers, and Kenneth Freeman had ‘a very capable and very overworked teacher’ who taught him mathematics, physics and chemistry. Meanwhile, Professor Sir Colin Berry, Keith Davies and William Ledger found inspiration in their biology teachers.

Here is much more, via www.politicaltheory.info.  Here is the answer of Sophie Petit-Zeman: falling in love with the teacher.

Joe Stiglitz watch

Let me start with the concessions.  Joe Stiglitz is one of the most brilliant economic theorists of the last thirty years.  The current Bolivian distribution of wealth is drastically unfair and is a legacy of prior and indeed ongoing theft and oppression.  Large enough resource confiscations, as occurred when the Saudis nationalized Western oil interests, can make a people better off. 

Now let’s move to the train wreck, quoted from The New York Times Book Review, written by Alma Guillermoprieto:

Stiglitz and his wife first visited Bolivia four years ago, and returned in May. "Morales’s election was such a big thing," he said in a recent phone conversation, "that we decided to make the effort to go down there and take a look."  He spent one day of the visit listening to Powerpoint presentations by members of Morales’s economic team, most of whom are academics who at some point have studied abroad.  He found his interlocutors thoughtful and impressive, he said.

In May, Evo Morales decreed the nationalization of the energy industry…In July, Stiglitz, who has written about energy resources and how they are used, did not seem to find the policy startling or irrational, even though it has enraged the representatives of the companies that have invested in Bolivia’s tempting deposits of natural gas.

It should be noted that the Bolivians were receiving only 18 percent royalties on these resources, and that figure was calculated on a base lower than market prices might imply, given that the country is landlocked and does not receive market prices for its gas.  So yes it is unfair.

But under the new regime, the gas yields only $820 milliion in revenue a year.  That is over $100 a person a year.  Lots of money for a poor Bolivian, but hardly enough to retire on or hardly enough to then stagnate.  And Bolivia wrecks its credibility with foreign investors.  And a renegotiation of the deal with the private companies would have been possible.  And most state energy companies are very badly run.  And energy and indeed natural gas shortages are already popping up in Bolivia.  And many people in the wealthier, eastern part of the country (e.g., Santa Cruz) opposed nationalization; they are keen to do business with Brazil.  And few poor countries — dare I say any? — have done well going down the route of economic populism.  And if we are going to be populist, is anyone — read: Stiglitz — calling for that money to go directly to Bolivia’s citizens?  That includes the indigenous ones who live on the barren altiplano and even now don’t control the government and probably never will.  Yup, those people.  (I might add that I have such a hat, which I cherish, although Natasha asks I do not wear it in the United States.)

Addendum: Here is Brad DeLong on Paul Krugman’s economic populism: "…when I read Paul’s call for "smart, bold populism," I am reminded of earlier calls a couple of decades ago by Milton Friedman, Marty Feldstein, and their ilk for smart, bold conservatism or smart, bold libertarianism.  But they did not get what they ordered: on the economic policy front the policies of Reagan and of Bush II have been a horrible botch.  What populist policies that we can think of would be smart?  And how can we make our high politicians allergic to populist policies that are stupid?"

China clinic of the day

The first clinic for internet addiction opened up in China last year, but now internet-addicted teens can take advantage of an improved facility, the Shanghai Sunshine Community Youth Affairs Center, an actual halfway house set up to soothe and detox the internet-riddled souls of young Chinese addicts.

According to the BBC, "internet addiction is reaching epidemic proportions in China". Internet addiction, like most of the so-called addictions, is usually diagnosed as a compulsion which requires intervention.

That is from Alina Stefanescu.

The new New Republic blog

Catch it here, with Cass Sunstein, Steven Pinker, Alan Wolfe, and other luminaries.  But how frequently, and what about the free-rider problem?  Can it work to pay them by the post, and who has really the chance to establish a voice?  Of course I didn’t think the Huffington Post blog or the Euro would work either, but I did forecast the downfall of "Redeem Team" USA, which just lost a basketball game to Greece.

Trudie on long-distance relationships

"Your long-distance relationship faces two main enemies, you and the other person. 

The first danger is that you deliberately seek someone far away because he is inaccessible and thus less emotionally threatening.  If that is the case, you don’t really want to be closer.  Go for it.  Or don’t.  More precisely, you will do both at the same time; that is what preference intransitivity means.

If you had opted for someone geographically closer, you would be more distant in some other way, in Ramsey rule-like fashion.  Until you have conquered your fears, geographic distance is probably less emotionally abusive on you and the other person than the other kinds of distance you might opt for.  So go for it.  The "longing" will feel sad but it is also beautiful and bittersweet and will lead to lovely poems; more importantly it is better for social welfare than directly torturing some poor guy next door.

Under the cheerier scenario, you do actually think the distant person is your best bet and you are not seeking distance per se.

But then you must confront the Alchian and Allen Theorem.  The higher the fixed cost, the "higher quality" a trip you will both tend to seek.  (New readers: take any set of relative prices and add a fixed cost to each; notice that the ratio, in relative terms, shifts in favor of the bigger, more costly, or higher quality item.)  More concretely, who would fly across the country for a mere kiss on the cheek?

But moving too fast is dangerous and ill-advised.  And in the longer run you will each "expect too much" from each visit.  Remember the old question: "Are We Having Fun Now?"  The quest for continual high-quality excitement is not conducive to casual down time together, which is the glue which binds relationships together in the longer run.  The Alchian and Allen Theorem is a potent enemy of the all-important "low expectations" and that alone is one good reason to keep transportation costs low in your life.

The solution is simple conceptually but difficult to implement.  Do something else with part of your trip to the west (east) coast.  Lower expectations for the visit.  Meet another friend too, or set up some business, or give a paper at a scintillating academic conference.  Yes you will have less time with your potential beloved, but the remaining time will get you further toward where you want to be.  How much time does one need to fall in love anyway?

Affectionately Yours, Trudie"

China fact of the day

Or is that India fact of the day?

China invests $7 on roads, ports, electricity and other backbones of a
modern economy for every dollar spent by India and it shows.  Ports here
[in India] are struggling to handle rising exports, blackouts are frequent and
dirt roads are common even in Bangalore, the center of the country’s
sophisticated computer programming industry.

Here is the full story — recommended — on India’s rapid but bumpy rise as a manufacturing power.

Matt Yglesias could be the Gilbert Arenas of libertarianism

If only he wanted to.  Matt writes:

I actually think I am pretty cynical about government.  I’ve learned a lot from my various libertarian friends, from my seminar with Robert Nozick, from libertarian blogs, etc. and I think public choice economics is a very important perspective.  The upshot of this is that, as a general matter, I’m considerably less enthusiastic about regulatory solutions to policy problems than are most liberals.

Sadly, though, the upshot of my libertarian-infused cynicism has mostly been to push me left of where I used to be on domestic policy issues.  It’s cynicism about government and the political process that, for example, has made me much more enthusiastic about labor unions and much more hostile to means-testing entitlements than I used to be.  If I believed that the deliberative democracy people weren’t naive fools, I’d be much more sanguine about various "third way" approaches to things.

Matt is probably the closest I will ever get to thinking I could be a Democrat.  But I am not sure what he is favoring in his post

One view is that a once-and-for-all change favoring labor unions would produce a stream of ongoing benefits greater than we could achieve through smaller piecemeal government interventions.  On empirical grounds I am skeptical of our ability to manipulate the union participation variable in a very useful way, and that is assuming I were to like labor unions more than I do (I do like them somewhat; I am not a union-basher, but I am not nearly as keen on unions as Matt.)  Union participation varies largely with whether "unionizable" sectors of the economy expand and contract.  Clearly we are headed away from labor unions as manufacturing shrinks as a percentage of gdp.

Another view, not excluding the first, is that Matt has abandoned Rawls’s "publicity condition."  That is, he is willing to advocate policies he knows to be bad, out of fear that they prevent a political tidal wave.  Means-testing Medicare, for instance, might lead the whole system to lose favor and collapse.  Therefore we shouldn’t means-test, even if the idea taken on its own terms has merit.  I don’t dismiss this possibility.

If Matt is willing to admit I am right about unions (I am pretty sure about that one), I am willing to call the other question a draw.  Deal?

Addendum: Here is Matt’s new book-to-be.

Economics and the Law

That is a new revision of the book by Nicholas Mercuro and Steve Medema; here is chapter two.  Here is a book description

Elsewhere from Princeton University Press, here is the first chapter of Philip Tetlock’s wonderful book.  Thanks to www.politicaltheory.info for the pointers.

Addendum: Not from PUP, here is a new Daniel Drezner book on trade, completely on-line.

Markets I will bet against

Blurb.com, a self-publishing startup, will invite 600 bloggers this week to test out its new service by creating a free bound copy of their blog.  It’s a fresh shot across the bow to traditional publishers in an industry already facing disruptive changes from digital giants Google and Amazon.

Here is the story.  Not every blogger book has been a big hit, in part because the two media are so different.  Blogs are sequential, rely on daily freshness, an ability to send around links, and they are best consumed in small bits.  A snarky bit which is excellent in a daily blog cannot be repeated verbatim in a book, especially not every fourteen pages.  Translating good blog ideas into book format is best done by people who…have experience writing books, or who have journalistic experience, not by people who have large staplers.

The most suprising two paragraphs so far today

“How tall your parents are compared to the average height explains
80 to 90 percent of how tall you are compared to the average person,”
Dr. Vaupel said. But “only 3 percent of how long you live compared to
the average person can be explained by how long your parents lived.”

“You
really learn very little about your own life span from your parents’
life spans,” Dr. Vaupel said. “That’s what the evidence shows. Even
twins, identical twins, die at different times.” On average, he said,
more than 10 years apart.

Here is the full story, which is interesting throughout.  But of course the day is young, and I haven’t seen Bryan, Robin [Hanson], and Alex yet…

Are free capital movements a good idea?

The standard line is that Chile and China have avoided crack-ups — of the sort that plagued Thailand, Indonesia, and Argentina — by restricting the free flow of capital in and out of their country.  Kenneth Rogoff and co-authors now offer a very serious 92-page look at whether such views are true.  Their conclusions include:

The majority of empirical studies are unable to find robust evidence in support of the growth benefits of capital account liberalization. However, studies that use measures of de facto integration or finer measures of de jure integration tend to find more positive results. More importantly, studies using micro data are better able to detect the growth and productivity gains stemming from financial integration.

There is little formal empirical evidence to support the oft-cited claims that financial globalization in and of itself is responsible for the spate of financial crises that the world has seen over the last three decades.

The conceptual framework we present suggests that in addition to the traditional channels (e.g., capital accumulation), the growth and stability benefits of financial globalization are also realized through a broad set of “collateral benefits”…These collateral benefits affect growth and stability dynamics indirectly, implying that the associated macroeconomic gains may not be fully evident in the short run and may be difficult to uncover in cross-country regressions.

How does the argument here work?  First, liberalization tends to bring growth, which offers long-term protection against crises.  Banking crises tend to be more disruptive than currency crises and also tend to precede them; free capital markets are not usually at fault in those cases.  Plenty of countries with capital controls have gotten into big messes.  Macro-volatility has been declining as the world has become more integrated in terms of capital flows.

I wish this piece had looked at the (supposedly?) negative instance of free capital movements more closely, but still it shifted my priors [correction: posteriors] on the issue.

Blogs which give our lives meaning

Here is the blog, here is the premise:

From August 28, 2006 through August 27, 2007, I’m going
to buy (at least) one…superfluous item, use it, and then write
about it.  What made me want to buy it?  How did it feel to give someone
money, and take a product in exchange?  What will the workers think of
me?  If it’s food, what will it taste like?  If it’s a product, what will
happen when I use it for the first time?  What kind of feeling will I
get when I plug it in, charge it up, and turn it on?  [Judith] Levine calls her
experience "voluntary simplicity."  I’ll call mine "conscious
consumerism."

…Since today is the first day of my year of superfluous shopping, I
decided to kick off the experiment by purchasing the book that inspired
me: Judith Levine’s Not Buying It: My Year Without Shopping
It’s hard to think of something less necessary than a book about why
it’s good to stop shopping.  For that reason, and because I felt I
should be familiar with and understand Levine’s work if I’m going to
fully understand my own, I made this book the first purchase of the
year.

The public library is my version of this idea, the price is free, and the blog is called MarginalRevolution.com.